82
closed trades
50%
win rate
-67.81
total pnl ($)
1.107
weight
7d window — n=10 wr=60% pnl=-18.61
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 82 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 10:40 | BTC | Sell | 59886→59450 | +3.21 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:46 | BTC | Buy | 60891→59755.1 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:56 | BTC | Sell | 61344.9→61301.1 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 06-24 14:17 | BTC | Buy | 62165.1→61000.4 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 23:57 | BTC | Buy | 62351.1→62712.9 | +2.45 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:48 | BTC | Buy | 62242.1→62565.9 | +2.16 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63395.2→62195.8 | -9.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:38 | BTC | Sell | 64680.8→64472.2 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:18 | BTC | Sell | 64101.8→63943.2 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:48 | BTC | Sell | 63233.8→63026.2 | +1.20 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:55 | BTC | Buy | 63589.2→62404.7 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 10:45 | BTC | Buy | 63829.2→63989.8 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:02 | BTC | Sell | 65819.7→64113.2 | +12.51 | timeout |
| 06-17 14:31 | BTC | Buy | 65142.3→65172.7 | -0.22 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:52 | BTC | Buy | 65680.3→65828.7 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:51 | BTC | Sell | 66768.7→65693.3 | +7.62 | timeout |
| 06-15 23:31 | BTC | Sell | 66749.7→66181.3 | +3.82 | timeout |
| 06-15 17:26 | BTC | Sell | 66336.7→66840.3 | -4.22 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:37 | BTC | Buy | 63966.2→64037.8 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:11 | BTC | Sell | 64274.8→64258.2 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:06 | BTC | Sell | 64012.8→63461.2 | +3.86 | timeout |
| 06-12 12:39 | BTC | Buy | 62913.1→63386.8 | +3.30 | timeout |
| 06-11 23:32 | BTC | Sell | 63198.8→63466.2 | -2.53 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:36 | BTC | Sell | 62885.9→62713.1 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:12 | BTC | Sell | 62666.9→62904.1 | -2.31 | timeout |
| 06-10 21:31 | BTC | Sell | 62285.9→61633.1 | +4.80 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:20 | BTC | Buy | 61004.1→62141.9 | +8.86 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:47 | BTC | Buy | 62305.1→61142.4 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 10:48 | BTC | Sell | 63316.8→62648.1 | +4.82 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:22 | BTC | Sell | 63598.8→63512.2 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:39 | BTC | Buy | 62753.1→63215.8 | +3.24 | timeout |
| 06-07 16:53 | BTC | Sell | 62360.9→62188.1 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 06-07 08:48 | BTC | Sell | 61781.9→62934.6 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 16:30 | BTC | Buy | 60307→60583 | +1.84 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:11 | BTC | Buy | 60363→60655 | +1.95 | timeout |
| 06-05 18:44 | BTC | Buy | 60730→59600.2 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:57 | BTC | Buy | 61913.1→60760.6 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:23 | BTC | Buy | 62395.1→61234.3 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 14:11 | BTC | Buy | 62441.1→64434.8 | +15.52 | take_profit |
| 06-04 12:09 | BTC | Sell | 64178.8→62410.1 | +13.31 | timeout |
| 06-03 20:46 | BTC | Buy | 66270.3→65038.2 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 11:07 | BTC | Sell | 66947.7→67186.4 | -2.20 | timeout |
| 06-02 19:33 | BTC | Buy | 67687.4→66428.4 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:00 | BTC | Buy | 69981.5→68679.2 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 08:08 | BTC | Buy | 70281.5→70010.5 | -2.41 | timeout |
| 06-02 01:02 | BTC | Buy | 71468.6→71309.4 | -1.60 | timeout |
| 06-01 15:31 | BTC | Buy | 72657.6→71235.8 | -10.26 | stop_loss |
| 05-29 20:23 | BTC | Buy | 72718.6→73670.3 | +6.08 | timeout |
| 05-28 19:35 | BTC | Buy | 72884.6→73426.3 | +3.23 | timeout |
| 05-28 09:59 | BTC | Buy | 73249.7→73509.3 | +1.33 | timeout |
| 05-27 19:27 | BTC | Buy | 75189.8→74998.2 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 05-26 22:53 | BTC | Buy | 76405.8→75699.2 | -5.08 | timeout |
| 05-26 16:36 | BTC | Sell | 77345.1→76672.8 | +3.90 | timeout |
| 05-24 16:26 | BTC | Sell | 76959.2→76550.8 | +2.20 | timeout |
| 05-23 20:38 | BTC | Sell | 75395.2→76801.2 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 13:51 | BTC | Buy | 74317.7→75074.2 | +4.64 | timeout |
| 05-22 20:22 | BTC | Buy | 76854.8→75910.2 | -6.61 | timeout |
| 05-21 22:50 | BTC | Buy | 77016.9→77582.1 | +3.20 | timeout |
| 05-21 16:26 | BTC | Buy | 77309.9→77120.1 | -1.70 | timeout |
| 05-20 13:23 | BTC | Sell | 77371.1→77456.9 | -0.98 | timeout |
| 05-19 20:34 | BTC | Buy | 76256.8→76901.2 | +3.74 | timeout |
| 05-18 18:39 | BTC | Sell | 77611.1→76298.8 | +8.02 | timeout |
| 05-16 13:16 | BTC | Buy | 78035.9→78032 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 05-15 13:51 | BTC | Buy | 80276→78787.6 | -9.72 | stop_loss |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 05-11 22:11 | BTC | Sell | 81670.9→81784.1 | -1.14 | timeout |
| 05-11 10:01 | BTC | Buy | 80704→80965 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 05-08 18:29 | BTC | Sell | 80273→80205 | -0.00 | timeout |
| 05-07 19:49 | BTC | Buy | 80385→80101 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 05-07 13:18 | BTC | Sell | 81644.9→81008.1 | +3.47 | timeout |
| 05-04 22:20 | BTC | Sell | 80068→80256 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 05-04 16:05 | BTC | Buy | 79160→79878 | +4.13 | timeout |
| 05-04 10:01 | BTC | Sell | 80307→79747 | +3.03 | timeout |
| 05-01 20:24 | BTC | Sell | 78376.1→78108.9 | +1.24 | timeout |
| 05-01 13:53 | BTC | Sell | 77339.1→78775.3 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 04-30 10:35 | BTC | Buy | 75484→76005.2 | +3.00 | timeout |
| 04-29 18:09 | BTC | Buy | 76564→75185 | -9.46 | stop_loss |
| 04-29 10:40 | BTC | Sell | 77221→77639 | -3.16 | timeout |
| 04-28 17:29 | BTC | Buy | 76284→76084 | -1.76 | timeout |
| 04-27 23:17 | BTC | Buy | 76670→77137 | +2.60 | timeout |
| 04-27 17:15 | BTC | Buy | 77710→76670 | -7.14 | timeout |
| 04-27 06:31 | BTC | Buy | 78460→77518 | -6.45 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
82
closed
50%
win rate
-67.81
total pnl ($)
-16.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 82 | 50% | -16.5 | -67.81 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 13:23 | BTC | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:29 | BTC | Sell | -0.00 | BTC was trading in a tight range near $79,283 with low volatility and slightly positive hourly momentum. The sell thesis failed because the market lacked directional conviction, and the trade expired without reaching a target or stop due to the timeout clos… |
| 05-07 19:49 | BTC | Buy | -2.24 | The market was in a broad downtrend with BTC declining 1.70% over 24 hours and 2.79% over 7 days. The thesis failed because the trade was not triggered before the timeout, likely due to insufficient price action or liquidity to fill the entry in a weak market. |
| 05-07 13:18 | BTC | Sell | +3.47 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.46% over 24 hours and negative funding. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow, grinding decline did not trigger an exit with… |
| 05-04 22:20 | BTC | Sell | -1.65 | The market was in a tight consolidation phase with flat funding rates and minimal volatility, creating an environment where price action stalled near the $80,360 level. The trade failed because the anticipated move never materialized, resulting in an automa… |
| 05-04 16:05 | BTC | Buy | +4.13 | The market was in a low-volatility consolidation phase with minimal funding rates and stable price action over the past week. The trade failed because the entry was never executed, resulting in a timeout close rather than a realized profit or loss. |
| 05-01 20:24 | BTC | Sell | +1.24 | # Trade Analysis: BTC VWAP Deviation Fade At close, BTC had pulled back to $78,113 after a modest 2.13% 24h rally, with 1h momentum slightly negative (-0.28%) and negative funding (-0.005321%) signaling weakening conviction among leveraged longs. The thesi… |
| 05-01 13:53 | BTC | Sell | -9.74 | BTC was rallying sharply through the close, up 2.80% over 24 hours with positive 1-hour momentum (+0.57%), breaking through resistance as the trade exited. The VWAP-deviation fade thesis failed because the intraday +0.70% deviation above the 9-hour VWAP at … |
| 04-30 10:35 | BTC | Buy | +3.00 | BTC was in a tight consolidation phase with minimal leverage (0.0973% funding rate) and elevated open interest ($3.76B), suggesting equilibrium between longs and shorts with low urgency to unwind. The fade thesis partially worked—price did revert upward fro… |
| 04-29 18:09 | BTC | Buy | -9.46 | On close, BTC was in a sustained downtrend across all timeframes (down 0.95% in 1h, 1.28% in 24h, 4.51% in 7d) with positive funding rates suggesting leveraged longs were still holding despite weakness. The trade's thesis failed because the intraday VWAP de… |
| 04-29 10:40 | BTC | Sell | -3.16 | At close, Bitcoin was consolidating near $77,603 with modest intraday strength (+0.29% 1h, +1.32% 24h) and negative funding (-0.79 bps) signaling some long liquidation pressure, but the broader 7-day trend remained flat (-0.54%). The trade's thesis failed b… |