86
closed trades
47%
win rate
-19.98
total pnl ($)
1.296
weight
7d window — n=5 wr=60% pnl=+11.90
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 86 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 14:17 | BTC | Sell | 63060.8→61046.1 | +15.52 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | BTC | Buy | 63796.2→62604.6 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 18:06 | BTC | Sell | 64734.8→64685.2 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:12 | BTC | Buy | 63559.2→64068.8 | +3.54 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:23 | BTC | Sell | 64386.8→63988.2 | +2.68 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:34 | BTC | Sell | 63659.8→63667.2 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:53 | BTC | Buy | 63674.2→62486.6 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 10:13 | BTC | Buy | 63978.2→63972.8 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-18 01:29 | BTC | Buy | 64389.2→64630.8 | +1.41 | timeout |
| 06-17 13:55 | BTC | Buy | 65349.3→65298.7 | -0.84 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:46 | BTC | Sell | 66547.7→66631.3 | -1.06 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:29 | BTC | Sell | 65944.7→66825.3 | -7.13 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:31 | BTC | Sell | 65698.7→65806.3 | -1.27 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:37 | BTC | Buy | 63977.2→64037.8 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 06-14 03:41 | BTC | Sell | 64327.8→64470.2 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:05 | BTC | Sell | 64209.8→64293.2 | -1.09 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:39 | BTC | Sell | 63820.8→63857.2 | -0.71 | timeout |
| 06-12 00:01 | BTC | Sell | 63699.8→63609.2 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-11 12:21 | BTC | Sell | 62908.9→62893.1 | -0.30 | timeout |
| 06-10 21:47 | BTC | Sell | 62390.9→61623.1 | +5.71 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:24 | BTC | Buy | 60935→62246.9 | +10.30 | timeout |
| 06-09 15:57 | BTC | Buy | 62152.1→60996.4 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 14:08 | BTC | Sell | 62281.9→61757.1 | +3.77 | timeout |
| 06-07 07:20 | BTC | Sell | 61345.9→62101.1 | -6.61 | timeout |
| 06-05 20:50 | BTC | Buy | 59712→61616.9 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-05 16:10 | BTC | Buy | 61080.1→59943 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:03 | BTC | Buy | 62088.1→61657.9 | -3.92 | timeout |
| 06-04 00:26 | BTC | Buy | 64860.2→63654 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:42 | BTC | Buy | 65425.3→64204.7 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 09:28 | BTC | Buy | 66120.3→66796.7 | +4.63 | timeout |
| 06-03 01:25 | BTC | Buy | 67071.4→66944.7 | -1.40 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:08 | BTC | Buy | 69971.5→68992.6 | -7.48 | timeout |
| 06-02 08:05 | BTC | Buy | 70513.5→69973.5 | -4.30 | timeout |
| 05-31 20:17 | BTC | Buy | 73663.7→73648.3 | -0.55 | timeout |
| 05-31 07:07 | BTC | Sell | 74045.3→73972.7 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 05-31 00:26 | BTC | Sell | 73952.3→73994.7 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 05-29 23:16 | BTC | Sell | 74159.3→73432.7 | +4.46 | timeout |
| 05-28 20:07 | BTC | Buy | 72624.6→73296.3 | +4.14 | timeout |
| 05-28 10:02 | BTC | Buy | 73157.7→73505.3 | +1.93 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:37 | BTC | Buy | 74723.7→73327.6 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 19:25 | BTC | Buy | 75333.8→75037.2 | -2.44 | timeout |
| 05-27 10:08 | BTC | Buy | 75651.8→75870.2 | +1.03 | timeout |
| 05-27 04:08 | BTC | Buy | 75782.8→75640.2 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:26 | BTC | Sell | 77992.1→76021.8 | +12.20 | timeout |
| 05-26 08:45 | BTC | Buy | 76552.8→76787.2 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 05-25 12:10 | BTC | Sell | 77429.1→77286.9 | +0.49 | timeout |
| 05-25 03:36 | BTC | Buy | 76249.8→77047.1 | +4.77 | timeout |
| 05-24 16:26 | BTC | Sell | 76966.2→76541.8 | +2.30 | timeout |
| 05-24 02:10 | BTC | Sell | 76059.2→76876.8 | -5.81 | timeout |
| 05-23 13:30 | BTC | Buy | 75228.8→74974.3 | -2.14 | timeout |
| 05-23 04:44 | BTC | Buy | 75519.8→75477.2 | -0.73 | timeout |
| 05-22 20:20 | BTC | Buy | 76928.8→75869.2 | -7.35 | timeout |
| 05-21 19:39 | BTC | Buy | 76862.8→77601.1 | +4.32 | timeout |
| 05-21 06:49 | BTC | Sell | 77860.1→77577.9 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 05-20 18:56 | BTC | Sell | 77583.1→77441.9 | +0.48 | timeout |
| 05-20 11:32 | BTC | Sell | 77241.1→77434.9 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:18 | BTC | Buy | 76407.8→77040.1 | +3.66 | timeout |
| 05-18 12:07 | BTC | Buy | 76760.8→77378.1 | +3.54 | timeout |
| 05-18 05:16 | BTC | Buy | 77695.9→76894.2 | -5.64 | timeout |
| 05-17 16:09 | BTC | Sell | 78321.1→78057.9 | +1.23 | timeout |
| 05-16 12:49 | BTC | Buy | 78684.9→78065.1 | -4.40 | timeout |
| 05-15 20:00 | BTC | Buy | 78660.9→79155 | +2.70 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 05-11 04:29 | BTC | Sell | 81564.9→80740 | +4.63 | timeout |
| 05-10 21:04 | BTC | Sell | 81029.9→80801 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 05-09 22:19 | BTC | Sell | 80607→80724 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 05-09 09:24 | BTC | Sell | 80485→80269 | +0.87 | timeout |
| 05-08 08:18 | BTC | Buy | 79501→79717 | +0.90 | timeout |
| 05-07 22:27 | BTC | Buy | 79989→79908 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 05-07 16:29 | BTC | Buy | 80704→79947 | -5.17 | timeout |
| 05-07 07:08 | BTC | Buy | 80830→81465.9 | +3.48 | timeout |
| 05-04 23:53 | BTC | Sell | 80534→79801 | +4.08 | timeout |
| 05-04 09:13 | BTC | Sell | 80353→79701 | +3.60 | timeout |
| 05-04 02:37 | BTC | Sell | 79077→79814 | -5.08 | timeout |
| 05-03 12:26 | BTC | Buy | 78039.9→78730.1 | +3.96 | timeout |
| 05-03 03:37 | BTC | Sell | 78513.1→78145.9 | +1.88 | timeout |
| 05-01 13:55 | BTC | Sell | 77444.1→78882.4 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 05-01 07:49 | BTC | Sell | 76652.2→77024.9 | -2.89 | timeout |
| 04-29 16:35 | BTC | Sell | 77770→75786 | +12.31 | timeout |
| 04-29 10:33 | BTC | Sell | 77070→77770 | -4.99 | timeout |
| 04-28 19:18 | BTC | Buy | 75986→76107 | +0.35 | timeout |
| 04-28 13:17 | BTC | Buy | 76471→76070 | -3.07 | timeout |
| 04-27 21:07 | BTC | Buy | 77453→76851 | -4.34 | timeout |
| 04-27 05:36 | BTC | Sell | 79358→77612 | +10.55 | take_profit |
| 04-27 00:19 | BTC | Sell | 78303→78553 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 04-26 11:12 | BTC | Sell | 77974→78017 | -0.73 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
86
closed
47%
win rate
-19.98
total pnl ($)
-4.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 86 | 47% | -4.6 | -19.98 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 22:19 | BTC | Sell | -1.19 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented any profitable exit within the timeout window. |
| 05-09 09:24 | BTC | Sell | +0.87 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight hourly gain but a weekly decline. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allowed timeframe. |
| 05-08 08:18 | BTC | Buy | +0.90 | The market was in a mild short-term uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with BTC showing a slight 1-hour gain of 0.16% but still down over 24 hours. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as th… |
| 05-07 22:27 | BTC | Buy | -0.97 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight hourly gain but a weekly decline. The trade failed because the timeout closed the position before the thesis could play out, resulting in a small negative PnL from fees or slippage. |
| 05-07 16:29 | BTC | Buy | -5.17 | The market was in a low-volatility, sideways grind with neutral funding and stable open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period. |
| 05-07 07:08 | BTC | Buy | +3.48 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down across all timeframes and low funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before reaching a profitable exit in the prevailing bearish momentum. |
| 05-04 23:53 | BTC | Sell | +4.08 | The market was in a low-volatility consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and stable price action around $80,523. The thesis failed because the anticipated move never materialized within the allotted time, resulting in a forced exit due to a timeout. |
| 05-03 03:37 | BTC | Sell | +1.88 | At close, Bitcoin was trading near $78,146 with elevated open interest ($4.2B) and positive funding (0.64 bps), indicating sustained long positioning without sharp liquidation pressure. The short trade's thesis failed because the volume divergence signal—pr… |
| 05-01 13:55 | BTC | Sell | -9.74 | At close, BTC had rallied 2.80% over 24 hours and was consolidating near $78,618 with modest positive momentum (+0.57% in the prior hour), while funding rates remained deeply negative at -0.0056%, signaling overlevered longs vulnerable to liquidation cascad… |
| 05-01 07:49 | BTC | Sell | -2.89 | BTC rallied 371 basis points against the short position over the 6-hour horizon, with funding rates turning slightly negative (-0.00295%) as open interest remained elevated at $3.97B, suggesting sustained buyer conviction despite the new 24-hour high. The v… |