btc_vol_regime_jump_signal

not live
19
closed trades
53%
win rate
-14.89
total pnl ($)
1.204
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=0% pnl=-7.28  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?


Cumulative P&L (last 19 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-26 03:38BTCSell58606.1→59405.7-7.28stop_loss
06-16 06:37BTCSell65693.7→66588.6-7.27stop_loss
06-03 19:20BTCSell66323.7→65912.3+2.66timeout
05-29 19:34BTCBuy74077.7→73527.3-4.17timeout
05-27 17:29BTCSell75153.2→74984.7+0.68timeout
05-26 14:36BTCBuy77317.9→77435.1+0.30timeout
05-24 20:04BTCSell76463.2→76664.8-1.76timeout
05-23 17:54BTCBuy75162.8→75442.2+1.39timeout
05-23 11:51BTCSell74315.3→74763.7-3.47timeout
05-20 09:11BTCBuy77231.9→77421.1+0.76timeout
05-12 02:43BTCSell81715.9→81724.1-0.50timeout
05-04 14:04BTCSell79152→78574.9+3.19timeout
05-03 01:38BTCBuy79074→78136.1-6.38timeout
05-01 16:34BTCBuy77871.9→78159.1+1.40timeout
05-01 07:20BTCBuy77008.9→77032.1-0.29timeout
04-29 13:34BTCBuy77721→76710-6.95stop_loss
04-27 19:19BTCSell77211→76785+2.31timeout
04-27 09:16BTCSell78235→77785+2.43timeout
04-27 01:55BTCBuy77830→79157+8.07timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
19
closed
53%
win rate
-14.89
total pnl ($)
-15.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC1953%-15.6-14.89

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-04 14:04BTCSell+3.19The market exhibited a neutral regime with flat funding rates and modest volatility, creating an environment where directional momentum was absent. The trade failed to generate profit because the thesis relied on a specific move that never materialized, res…
05-03 01:38BTCBuy-6.38# Trade Analysis Bitcoin's volatility regime had normalized back down from the spike that triggered the entry, with hourly and daily price moves compressing to near-flat (+0.15% 1h, +0.29% 24h) and funding rates turning slightly negative, signaling reduced…
05-01 16:34BTCBuy+1.40# Trade Analysis: BTC Vol Regime Jump Signal Sentence 1: Bitcoin consolidated near $78,255 with mild 1-hour weakness (-0.48%) despite solid 24-hour gains (+2.52%), while funding rates turned negative (-0.0028%), signaling reduced leverage appetite after th…
05-01 07:20BTCBuy-0.29At close, Bitcoin was treading water around $77,053 with negligible 1-hour momentum (-0.04%) despite modest 24-hour gains (+1.67%), while funding rates had turned slightly negative, suggesting crowded long positioning was unwinding. The trade's thesis faile…
04-29 13:34BTCBuy-6.95BTC was declining sharply into the close, down 0.86% in the hour preceding exit at $76,512, extending a 2.25% weekly drawdown that invalidated the uptrend premise underpinning the signal. The thesis failed because the 4-hour volatility regime jump (25th → 8…
04-27 09:16BTCSell+2.43At close, Bitcoin was consolidating in a tight range near $77,725 with minimal 1-hour momentum (+0.16%) despite a modest 7-day rally (+3.99%), while funding rates had turned negative (-0.002495%), suggesting reduced leveraged long positioning. The trade's t…
04-27 01:55BTCBuy+8.07Bitcoin was consolidating near $79,167 with modest gains over 24 hours (+2.14%) and neutral 1-hour momentum (-0.07%), while funding rates remained positive at 0.84% suggesting mild bullish sentiment. The thesis partially worked because the volatility regime…