41
closed trades
32%
win rate
-57.76
total pnl ($)
1.252
weight
7d window — n=6 wr=17% pnl=+4.57
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 41 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 16:00 | BTC | Sell | 62693.9→60271 | +18.95 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:00 | BTC | Sell | 62255.9→62991.1 | -6.36 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:34 | BTC | Buy | 64171.2→64225.8 | -0.07 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:07 | BTC | Sell | 64224.8→64225.2 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:04 | BTC | Sell | 63997.8→64215.2 | -2.15 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:04 | BTC | Sell | 63335.8→63957.2 | -5.32 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:01 | BTC | Sell | 63152.8→63309.2 | -1.69 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:01 | BTC | Sell | 65801.7→65504.3 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:14 | BTC | Sell | 64292.8→65878.2 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 14:04 | BTC | Sell | 64567.8→64309.2 | +1.55 | timeout |
| 06-14 02:03 | BTC | Sell | 64144.8→64574.2 | -3.81 | timeout |
| 06-01 02:38 | BTC | Sell | 73623.3→73518.7 | +0.30 | timeout |
| 05-31 13:06 | BTC | Sell | 74069.3→73856.7 | +1.04 | timeout |
| 05-31 03:04 | BTC | Sell | 73855.3→74064.7 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 05-28 04:59 | BTC | Sell | 75267.2→73156.7 | +13.59 | timeout |
| 05-26 22:01 | BTC | Buy | 76598.8→75877.2 | -5.18 | timeout |
| 05-26 09:59 | BTC | Buy | 77328.9→76627.2 | -4.98 | timeout |
| 05-25 08:59 | BTC | Buy | 76583.8→77398.1 | +4.79 | timeout |
| 05-23 06:00 | BTC | Sell | 76738.2→75450.8 | +7.94 | timeout |
| 05-21 04:00 | BTC | Sell | 77459.1→78078.9 | -4.42 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:59 | BTC | Sell | 76992.2→76895.8 | +0.22 | timeout |
| 05-12 10:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.56 | timeout |
| 05-11 06:05 | BTC | Buy | 81445.1→80829 | -4.28 | timeout |
| 05-10 18:04 | BTC | Sell | 80674→81445.1 | -5.19 | timeout |
| 05-10 06:03 | BTC | Buy | 80803→80674 | -1.26 | timeout |
| 05-09 18:02 | BTC | Sell | 80353→80803 | -3.26 | timeout |
| 05-09 06:01 | BTC | Sell | 80177→80361 | -1.60 | timeout |
| 05-08 18:01 | BTC | Sell | 79539→80185 | -4.47 | timeout |
| 05-07 17:27 | BTC | Buy | 81494.1→79494.3 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 05-07 01:19 | BTC | Sell | 82098.9→81026.1 | +6.06 | timeout |
| 05-04 02:55 | BTC | Sell | 78427.1→80354.2 | -12.73 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 01:02 | BTC | Buy | 78707.9→78427.1 | -2.22 | timeout |
| 05-03 13:01 | BTC | Sell | 78506.1→78707.9 | -1.70 | timeout |
| 05-03 01:00 | BTC | Sell | 78176.1→78513.9 | -2.57 | timeout |
| 05-01 21:01 | BTC | Buy | 77346.9→77838.1 | +2.77 | timeout |
| 05-01 09:00 | BTC | Buy | 76453.8→77339.1 | +5.31 | timeout |
| 04-29 17:02 | BTC | Buy | 77188→75952 | -8.46 | timeout |
| 04-29 05:01 | BTC | Sell | 76091→77188 | -7.66 | timeout |
| 04-28 17:01 | BTC | Sell | 76848→76151 | +4.08 | timeout |
| 04-27 00:55 | BTC | Sell | 78122→79138 | -6.95 | stop_loss |
| 04-26 19:29 | BTC | Sell | 77961→78122 | -1.48 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
41
closed
32%
win rate
-57.76
total pnl ($)
-28.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 41 | 32% | -28.3 | -57.76 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:09 | BTC | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:03 | BTC | Buy | -1.26 | The market was in a mild uptrend over 24h and 7d, with neutral funding and stable OI, but the 1h candle showed slight weakness. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching an entry, as the short-term bearish bias was too weak to… |
| 05-09 18:02 | BTC | Sell | -3.26 | The market was in a low-volatility, range-bound regime with neutral funding and moderate open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching a target or stop, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize… |
| 05-09 06:01 | BTC | Sell | -1.60 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down 1.56% over 24 hours, but the short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the expected move materialized. |
| 05-08 18:01 | BTC | Sell | -4.47 | The market was in a broad downtrend with BTC down 2.47% over 24 hours, but the short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the move fully materialized, resulting in a small loss. |
| 05-07 17:27 | BTC | Buy | -12.75 | The market was in a persistent downtrend across multiple timeframes, with BTC declining 1.73% in 24 hours and 2.82% over 7 days. The thesis failed because the stop-loss was triggered as the bearish momentum continued, invalidating the entry assumption. |
| 05-07 01:19 | BTC | Sell | +6.06 | The market was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with BTC showing a slight 1-hour gain of 0.57% but still down over the past 24 hours and week. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching a profi… |
| 05-03 01:00 | BTC | Sell | -2.57 | BTC was in a mild downtrend at close ($78,092, down 0.16% in the last hour) with funding rates having collapsed dramatically from the +895.8 bps/year extremity that triggered the trade to near-zero (-0.004247%), signaling the crowded long positioning had al… |
| 05-01 21:01 | BTC | Buy | +2.77 | At close, BTC was consolidating near $77,905 with mild 1-hour weakness (-0.51%) following a modest 24-hour rally (+1.88%), while funding had normalized to -0.0057%/8h—nearly neutral after the extreme -307bps/year condition that triggered the trade. The thes… |
| 05-01 09:00 | BTC | Buy | +5.31 | BTC was consolidating with minimal intraday momentum (0.26% in the final hour, +1.69% daily) while funding rates had normalized sharply from the -405 bps/year extreme that triggered the trade, suggesting the squeeze catalyst had already dissipated. The thes… |
| 04-27 00:55 | BTC | Sell | -6.95 | BTC was rallying sharply with a 2.39% 24-hour gain and 7.47% weekly advance, pushing price to $79,376 as the broader market sustained upside momentum. The trade's thesis failed because the extreme funding rate (+601 bps/yr) that signaled crowded longs ready… |