82
closed trades
41%
win rate
-95.50
total pnl ($)
1.266
weight
7d window — n=5 wr=60% pnl=+6.94
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 82 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 00:59 | BTC | Sell | 59274→59645 | -3.58 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:46 | BTC | Buy | 60293→59171.4 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | BTC | Sell | 62644.9→60645 | +15.49 | take_profit |
| 06-23 16:35 | BTC | Buy | 62286.1→62604.9 | +2.12 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:54 | BTC | Buy | 63774.2→64170.8 | +2.65 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:02 | BTC | Buy | 62850.1→63150.8 | +1.98 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 63707.2→62521.6 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 04:15 | BTC | Buy | 64232.2→63945.8 | -2.69 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:49 | BTC | Buy | 64821.2→64113.8 | -5.92 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:05 | BTC | Buy | 65791.3→64544.5 | -9.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 03:44 | BTC | Buy | 65627.3→65773.7 | +0.65 | timeout |
| 06-16 19:41 | BTC | Buy | 66370.3→65587.7 | -6.37 | timeout |
| 06-15 23:36 | BTC | Sell | 66633.7→66151.3 | +3.18 | timeout |
| 06-15 15:28 | BTC | Sell | 65971.7→66652.3 | -5.62 | timeout |
| 06-15 07:13 | BTC | Sell | 65554.7→65812.3 | -2.41 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:03 | BTC | Sell | 64505.8→64522.2 | -0.58 | timeout |
| 06-12 23:29 | BTC | Sell | 64185.8→63435.2 | +5.41 | timeout |
| 06-12 04:04 | BTC | Sell | 63582.8→63485.2 | +0.34 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:51 | BTC | Sell | 62925.9→63460.2 | -4.66 | timeout |
| 06-11 09:46 | BTC | Sell | 62225.9→62890.1 | -5.74 | timeout |
| 06-10 22:03 | BTC | Sell | 62138.9→61226.1 | +6.90 | timeout |
| 06-09 15:56 | BTC | Buy | 62186.1→61028.4 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 05:00 | BTC | Sell | 63456.8→63230.2 | +1.33 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:42 | BTC | Sell | 63424.8→63375.2 | -0.04 | timeout |
| 06-08 08:28 | BTC | Sell | 63437.8→63016.2 | +2.91 | timeout |
| 06-07 04:00 | BTC | Buy | 60623→61665.9 | +8.14 | timeout |
| 06-04 18:06 | BTC | Buy | 62965.1→63314.8 | +2.31 | timeout |
| 06-04 00:26 | BTC | Buy | 64917.2→63709.9 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 20:55 | BTC | Buy | 66047.3→64819.3 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 12:32 | BTC | Buy | 66330.3→67042.6 | +4.94 | timeout |
| 06-03 02:25 | BTC | Buy | 67351.4→66657.7 | -5.60 | timeout |
| 06-02 12:59 | BTC | Buy | 70243.5→68936.1 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 10:44 | BTC | Buy | 70573.5→69444.5 | -8.50 | timeout |
| 06-02 01:13 | BTC | Buy | 71622.6→71311.4 | -2.67 | timeout |
| 05-31 17:49 | BTC | Sell | 73967.3→73683.7 | +1.49 | timeout |
| 05-31 09:49 | BTC | Sell | 74090.3→73978.7 | +0.35 | timeout |
| 05-30 22:56 | BTC | Sell | 73888.3→73836.7 | -0.06 | timeout |
| 05-29 14:46 | BTC | Sell | 73667.3→72663.6 | +6.41 | timeout |
| 05-28 19:28 | BTC | Buy | 73312.7→73523.3 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 05-28 11:19 | BTC | Buy | 73653.7→73381.3 | -2.31 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:18 | BTC | Buy | 75023.8→73626.5 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 19:18 | BTC | Buy | 75949.8→75005.2 | -6.69 | timeout |
| 05-27 11:17 | BTC | Buy | 75822.8→75932.2 | +0.32 | timeout |
| 05-27 01:24 | BTC | Buy | 76175.8→75819.2 | -2.77 | timeout |
| 05-26 17:00 | BTC | Buy | 76684.8→76526.2 | -1.50 | timeout |
| 05-24 14:59 | BTC | Sell | 76950.2→76419.8 | +3.00 | timeout |
| 05-23 19:31 | BTC | Buy | 74809.7→75891.2 | +6.76 | timeout |
| 05-23 11:30 | BTC | Buy | 75576.8→74815.3 | -5.49 | timeout |
| 05-23 03:31 | BTC | Buy | 75854.8→75569.2 | -2.34 | timeout |
| 05-21 22:10 | BTC | Buy | 77103.9→77673.1 | +3.21 | timeout |
| 05-20 22:21 | BTC | Sell | 77451.1→77212.9 | +1.10 | timeout |
| 05-20 03:00 | BTC | Buy | 76819.8→76653.2 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 05-18 23:42 | BTC | Buy | 76316.8→77066.1 | +4.44 | timeout |
| 05-18 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 76921.8→76309.2 | -4.46 | timeout |
| 05-18 07:42 | BTC | Buy | 76965.8→76939.2 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 05-17 23:16 | BTC | Buy | 78015.9→77705.1 | -2.44 | timeout |
| 05-17 12:14 | BTC | Buy | 78009.9→78415.1 | +2.14 | timeout |
| 05-17 04:15 | BTC | Buy | 78264.9→78002.1 | -2.13 | timeout |
| 05-16 13:59 | BTC | Buy | 78961.9→77949.1 | -6.88 | timeout |
| 05-16 00:00 | BTC | Buy | 79141→79058 | -1.02 | timeout |
| 05-12 06:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 05-11 03:02 | BTC | Sell | 81111.9→81113.1 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 05-10 19:02 | BTC | Sell | 80907→81120.1 | -1.75 | timeout |
| 05-10 11:02 | BTC | Sell | 80725→80915 | -1.62 | timeout |
| 05-10 02:01 | BTC | Sell | 80782→80628 | +0.50 | timeout |
| 05-08 17:54 | BTC | Buy | 79845→80171 | +1.57 | timeout |
| 05-08 09:54 | BTC | Buy | 79734→79837 | +0.19 | timeout |
| 05-04 18:03 | BTC | Sell | 79440→80386 | -6.43 | timeout |
| 05-04 10:03 | BTC | Sell | 79542→79448 | +0.13 | timeout |
| 05-04 02:02 | BTC | Sell | 78680.1→79550 | -5.96 | timeout |
| 05-03 18:01 | BTC | Sell | 78494.1→78687.9 | -1.66 | timeout |
| 05-03 04:00 | BTC | Sell | 78427.1→78135.9 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 05-02 14:08 | BTC | Sell | 78203.1→78323.9 | -1.24 | timeout |
| 05-02 06:00 | BTC | Sell | 78151.1→78160.9 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 05-01 20:34 | BTC | Sell | 77864.1→78099.9 | -1.99 | timeout |
| 05-01 10:00 | BTC | Sell | 76639.2→77212.9 | -4.17 | timeout |
| 04-30 11:00 | BTC | Buy | 75693→76002.2 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 04-30 02:48 | BTC | Buy | 75278→75574 | +1.52 | timeout |
| 04-28 22:02 | BTC | Buy | 76148→76335 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 04-27 06:31 | BTC | Sell | 79245→77501 | +10.55 | take_profit |
| 04-26 23:01 | BTC | Sell | 78078→78282 | -1.76 | timeout |
| 04-26 15:00 | BTC | Sell | 77958→78078 | -1.22 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
82
closed
41%
win rate
-95.50
total pnl ($)
-23.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 82 | 41% | -23.2 | -95.50 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:02 | BTC | Sell | -1.62 | The market was in a mild uptrend with BTC gaining 2.52% over 24 hours and positive funding. The short thesis failed because the trade expired before a reversal materialized, as the timeout close_reason indicates the position was closed due to time constrain… |
| 05-10 02:01 | BTC | Sell | +0.50 | The market was in a mild uptrend with BTC gaining 0.78% on the hour and 2.04% over 24 hours, while funding remained low. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the allotted time. |
| 05-08 17:54 | BTC | Buy | +1.57 | The market was in a broad downtrend with BTC down 2.47% in 24 hours, but the trade was a small buy that expired without a clear directional move. The thesis failed because the timeout closed the position before any significant price action could develop, le… |
| 05-08 09:54 | BTC | Buy | +0.19 | The market was in a mild downtrend across timeframes with low funding and declining open interest. The thesis failed because the timeout close reason indicates the expected directional move did not materialize within the holding period, likely due to persis… |
| 05-04 18:03 | BTC | Sell | -6.43 | The market was in a low-volatility consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and stable order flow. The trade failed because the anticipated breakout never materialized, resulting in a forced exit due to the timeout limit. |
| 05-03 04:00 | BTC | Sell | +1.39 | # Trade Analysis: BTC Fade Short At close, Bitcoin was consolidating with minimal intraday momentum (1h +0.03%, 24h +0.31%) while maintaining elevated long positioning (0.007% positive funding rate on $4.2B OI), suggesting the initial overcrowding thesis r… |
| 05-02 14:08 | BTC | Sell | -1.24 | # Trade Analysis: BTC Taker Pressure Proxy Fade At close, Bitcoin was trading in a tight 24-hour range with minimal directional conviction (−0.41% daily, +0.08% 1h), while funding rates had turned slightly negative (−0.0035%), signaling weakening long leve… |
| 05-02 06:00 | BTC | Sell | -0.54 | BTC drifted sideways to $78,254 (+1.47% daily) with negative funding rates (-0.0056%) suggesting reduced leverage appetite, while open interest remained elevated at $4.15B. The trade's fade thesis failed because buy-volume overcrowding (66.6% buy ratio) did… |
| 05-01 20:34 | BTC | Sell | -1.99 | At close, BTC had risen 2.13% over 24 hours to $78,113 despite mild 1-hour weakness (-0.28%), with positive weekly momentum (+0.61%) and elevated long positioning (OI $4.2B, negative funding suggesting crowded longs). The short fade thesis failed because th… |
| 05-01 10:00 | BTC | Sell | -4.17 | BTC was consolidating near $77,204 with minimal hourly momentum (-0.12% 1h) and moderate positive 24h performance (1.44%), while funding rates remained benign at 0.0055%, offering no tail-wind for a short fade. The trade's thesis failed because the 67.7% bu… |