11
closed trades
36%
win rate
+5.14
total pnl ($)
1.332
weight
7d window — n=1 wr=100% pnl=+12.52
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-20 05:59:18 (38.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
an__restored_afd05c64
n: 5
· wr: 60.0%
· total_bps: -194.0
· mean_bps: -38.80
· sharpe: -0.37
· max_dd_bps: -325.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 11 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 14:29 | BTC | Sell | 62810.9→61180.1 | +12.52 | timeout |
| 06-18 02:52 | BTC | Sell | 65902.7→64697.2 | +8.70 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:52 | BTC | Sell | 61706.9→62855.6 | -9.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 23:00 | BTC | Sell | 62180.9→61296.1 | +6.66 | timeout |
| 06-09 08:02 | BTC | Sell | 63109.8→63103.2 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-08 08:05 | BTC | Sell | 63178.8→63140.2 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 05-20 08:00 | BTC | Sell | 76808.2→77252.9 | -3.29 | timeout |
| 05-19 07:40 | BTC | Sell | 77020.1→77180.9 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 04-29 21:33 | BTC | Sell | 76801→75876 | +5.57 | timeout |
| 04-22 02:53 | BTC | Sell | 76293→77362 | -7.36 | stop_loss |
| 04-22 01:13 | BTC | Sell | 75469→76312 | -5.94 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
11
closed
36%
win rate
+5.14
total pnl ($)
+9.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 11 | 36% | +9.2 | +5.14 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 21:33 | BTC | Sell | +5.57 | # Trade Analysis: BTC SP500 Lag Catchdown Short At close, BTC had retreated 0.63% over 24h and was down 3.93% over 7d, while funding rates turned negative (-0.000344%), signaling a shift from bullish to bearish positioning as the broader crypto complex wea… |
| 04-22 02:53 | BTC | Sell | -7.36 | At close, Bitcoin had stabilized near $77,840 with minimal 1-hour movement (+0.14%) while maintaining a slight 24-hour decline (-0.04%), indicating consolidation after the trade's entry. The thesis failed because BTC's 24-hour performance (-0.04% at close) … |
| 04-22 01:13 | BTC | Sell | -5.94 | At close, Bitcoin had stabilized near $77,801 with minimal 24-hour movement (-0.02%) while the broader market showed mixed signals with moderate 7-day gains (+3.67%) and elevated funding rates (0.009038%) suggesting sustained leverage positioning. The trade… |