56
closed trades
54%
win rate
+24.57
total pnl ($)
1.015
weight
7d window — n=3 wr=0% pnl=-24.97
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 56 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 06:20 | BTC | Sell | 64640.8→62923.1 | +12.85 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:12 | BTC | Sell | 64070.8→65046.3 | -8.02 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:30 | BTC | Buy | 63273.2→62796.9 | -4.18 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Sell | 64822.8→66418.5 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:50 | BTC | Sell | 63983.8→65563 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 16:50 | BTC | Sell | 64323.8→63995.2 | +2.13 | timeout |
| 06-14 04:47 | BTC | Sell | 64085.8→64344.2 | -2.49 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:18 | BTC | Sell | 63485.8→64018.2 | -4.66 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:27 | BTC | Sell | 63836.8→63523.2 | +2.00 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:14 | BTC | Sell | 61705.9→63225.8 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:36 | BTC | Buy | 60822→61570.9 | +5.67 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:47 | BTC | Sell | 61654.9→60436 | +9.43 | timeout |
| 06-05 10:58 | BTC | Sell | 63732.8→62536.1 | +8.95 | timeout |
| 06-04 01:19 | BTC | Sell | 65675.7→62792.1 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-03 17:07 | BTC | Sell | 66947.7→65817.3 | +8.03 | timeout |
| 06-03 07:07 | BTC | Sell | 67240.6→67003.4 | +1.35 | timeout |
| 06-02 02:42 | BTC | Sell | 71511.4→70585.5 | +6.10 | timeout |
| 05-29 06:30 | BTC | Sell | 73589.3→73387.7 | +0.98 | timeout |
| 05-27 21:54 | BTC | Buy | 75885.8→74353.3 | -10.58 | timeout |
| 05-27 09:54 | BTC | Buy | 75903.8→75879.2 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 05-26 21:52 | BTC | Buy | 76632.8→75924.2 | -5.10 | timeout |
| 05-26 09:52 | BTC | Buy | 77275.9→76625.2 | -4.65 | timeout |
| 05-25 14:25 | BTC | Buy | 77162.9→77554.1 | +2.04 | timeout |
| 05-25 02:17 | BTC | Buy | 76156.8→77239.1 | +6.64 | timeout |
| 05-24 06:35 | BTC | Buy | 75864.8→76698.2 | +4.99 | timeout |
| 05-23 05:25 | BTC | Sell | 76809.2→75477.8 | +8.21 | timeout |
| 05-22 17:24 | BTC | Sell | 77566.1→76750.8 | +4.87 | timeout |
| 05-22 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 77828.1→77573.9 | +1.19 | timeout |
| 05-21 17:24 | BTC | Sell | 77855.1→77798.9 | -0.05 | timeout |
| 05-21 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 77502.1→77859.9 | -2.72 | timeout |
| 05-20 17:24 | BTC | Sell | 77097.1→77509.9 | -3.06 | timeout |
| 05-20 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 76952.2→77104.9 | -1.37 | timeout |
| 05-19 17:23 | BTC | Sell | 76698.2→76984.8 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 05-19 05:24 | BTC | Sell | 76578.2→76705.8 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 05-16 12:02 | BTC | Buy | 79043→79039 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 05-12 10:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 05-12 06:11 | BTC | Buy | 81990.1→81715.9 | -2.11 | timeout |
| 05-10 20:43 | BTC | Sell | 80798→80894 | -1.03 | timeout |
| 05-08 20:03 | BTC | Sell | 79668→80151 | -3.45 | timeout |
| 05-08 08:03 | BTC | Sell | 80182→79676 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 05-07 18:42 | BTC | Sell | 81285.9→80198 | +6.28 | timeout |
| 05-07 01:19 | BTC | Sell | 82098.9→81026.1 | +6.06 | timeout |
| 05-04 17:53 | BTC | Sell | 78849.1→80786.4 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 11:33 | BTC | Buy | 78671.9→78849.1 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 05-03 23:32 | BTC | Sell | 78479.1→78671.9 | -1.62 | timeout |
| 05-03 11:32 | BTC | Sell | 78777.1→78486.9 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 05-02 23:31 | BTC | Buy | 78176.9→78777.1 | +3.37 | timeout |
| 05-02 11:31 | BTC | Buy | 77993.9→78169.1 | +0.67 | timeout |
| 05-01 22:11 | BTC | Buy | 77153.9→78229.1 | +6.57 | timeout |
| 05-01 09:42 | BTC | Buy | 76376.8→77232.1 | +5.12 | timeout |
| 04-29 18:09 | BTC | Buy | 76959→75111 | -12.46 | stop_loss |
| 04-29 01:08 | BTC | Buy | 76209→76301 | +0.15 | timeout |
| 04-27 15:18 | BTC | Sell | 78635→76905 | +10.55 | take_profit |
| 04-27 00:55 | BTC | Sell | 78018→79033 | -6.95 | stop_loss |
| 04-26 15:34 | BTC | Buy | 77345→77991 | +3.73 | timeout |
| 04-26 02:04 | BTC | Sell | 77666→77452 | +0.93 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
56
closed
54%
win rate
+24.57
total pnl ($)
+8.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 56 | 54% | +8.5 | +24.57 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 03:27 | BTC | Sell | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 20:03 | BTC | Sell | -3.45 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over the past week. The short thesis failed because the trade timed out before the expected continuation lower materialized. |
| 05-08 08:03 | BTC | Sell | +2.72 | BTC was in a low-volatility, sideways grind with neutral funding and declining OI. The short thesis failed because the market lacked directional momentum, and the trade was closed by timeout without reaching target or stop. |
| 05-07 18:42 | BTC | Sell | +6.28 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.72% over 24 hours and negative short-term momentum. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow, grinding selloff did not trigger a suff… |
| 05-07 01:19 | BTC | Sell | +6.06 | The market was in a short-term uptrend on the hourly chart but remained in a broader downtrend over the past week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the price did not reach the target within … |
| 05-04 17:53 | BTC | Sell | -12.75 | The market was in a short-term pullback within a broader weekly uptrend, characterized by neutral funding rates and high open interest. The thesis failed because the price reversed immediately after entry, triggering the stop loss before any significant tre… |
| 05-02 23:31 | BTC | Buy | +3.37 | # Trade Analysis: BTC_OI_Heavy_Chop_Fade The market had shifted from deeply negative funding (-1.23%/yr at entry) to near-neutral territory (0.005%/yr at close), indicating shorts were covering and the extreme crowding signal had decayed substantially. The… |
| 05-02 11:31 | BTC | Buy | +0.67 | BTC consolidated near $78,153 with minimal hourly momentum (-0.11%) after a modest 24h rally (+1.05%), while funding rates had normalized from the -11.43% annualized extreme that triggered the entry. The trade's thesis partially worked—shorts were indeed cr… |
| 05-01 22:11 | BTC | Buy | +6.57 | BTC rallied 2.61% over 24 hours into the close, with funding rates normalizing from deeply negative (-10.31%/yr at entry) to near-neutral (-0.68%), signaling the crowded short squeeze thesis had exhausted itself. The trade's thesis worked partially—it captu… |
| 05-01 09:42 | BTC | Buy | +5.12 | At close, Bitcoin was consolidating near $77,232 after a modest intraday rally, with funding rates having normalized to +0.49%/year from the deeply negative -10.22%/year that existed at entry, signaling a potential shift in short positioning dynamics. The t… |
| 04-29 18:09 | BTC | Buy | -12.46 | Bitcoin was consolidating within a choppy range with negative momentum across all timeframes (down 1.52% in 24h, -4.69% over 7 days) while funding rates had normalized to +0.002492%/yr from the -11.79%/yr extreme that triggered the trade. The thesis failed … |