44
closed trades
45%
win rate
-66.12
total pnl ($)
1.266
weight
7d window — n=11 wr=64% pnl=+6.91
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 44 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 03:01 | BTC | Buy | 59686→60239 | +4.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:59 | BTC | Buy | 59214→59593 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:59 | BTC | Sell | 60176→59916 | +1.71 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:17 | BTC | Buy | 58898.9→59575 | +5.28 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:14 | BTC | Sell | 61720.9→61174.1 | +3.96 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:32 | BTC | Buy | 59741→60847 | +8.81 | timeout |
| 06-24 14:19 | BTC | Buy | 62043.1→60880.5 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 06:16 | BTC | Sell | 62823.9→62787.1 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 62027.1→62432.9 | +2.83 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:27 | BTC | Buy | 63162.2→61986.9 | -9.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 00:53 | BTC | Buy | 64402.2→64086.8 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-07 13:57 | BTC | Sell | 62344.9→61764.1 | +4.21 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:29 | BTC | Sell | 61280.9→60647 | +4.72 | timeout |
| 06-06 03:44 | BTC | Sell | 61866.9→60694 | +9.03 | timeout |
| 06-05 16:12 | BTC | Buy | 60839→59707.1 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:22 | BTC | Buy | 62463.1→61299.3 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 03:41 | BTC | Buy | 63163.2→62632.9 | -4.63 | timeout |
| 06-03 23:54 | BTC | Buy | 65284.3→64060.7 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 20:46 | BTC | Buy | 66272.3→65025.2 | -9.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 01:02 | BTC | Buy | 67250.4→66752.7 | -4.15 | timeout |
| 05-28 21:21 | BTC | Buy | 72733.6→73682.3 | +6.03 | timeout |
| 05-28 11:43 | BTC | Buy | 72979.6→73371.3 | +2.22 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:37 | BTC | Buy | 74726.7→73334.6 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 19:27 | BTC | Buy | 75189.8→74998.2 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 05-27 02:10 | BTC | Buy | 76038.8→75730.2 | -2.46 | timeout |
| 05-26 06:50 | BTC | Buy | 76769.8→76896.2 | +0.37 | timeout |
| 05-24 22:00 | BTC | Buy | 76320.8→76092.2 | -1.95 | timeout |
| 05-23 20:57 | BTC | Sell | 75791.2→77205.4 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 14:31 | BTC | Buy | 74532.7→75291.2 | +4.64 | timeout |
| 05-23 00:05 | BTC | Buy | 76720.8→75541.2 | -8.14 | timeout |
| 05-20 14:38 | BTC | Sell | 77409.1→77290.9 | +0.34 | timeout |
| 05-19 00:00 | BTC | Buy | 76675.8→76981.2 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 05-15 19:28 | BTC | Buy | 80011→79080 | -6.26 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 05-12 00:19 | BTC | Sell | 81824.9→81724.1 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 05-07 23:48 | BTC | Buy | 79896→79997 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 05-06 08:32 | BTC | Sell | 80208→81696.9 | -9.65 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 16:40 | BTC | Buy | 78933.9→80276 | +8.08 | timeout |
| 05-04 08:22 | BTC | Sell | 79800→79695 | +0.20 | timeout |
| 05-01 22:30 | BTC | Sell | 78295.1→78292.9 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 05-01 13:54 | BTC | Sell | 77405.1→78842.3 | -9.74 | stop_loss |
| 04-28 19:11 | BTC | Buy | 76075→76111 | -0.21 | timeout |
| 04-27 21:18 | BTC | Buy | 77211→76888 | -2.54 | timeout |
| 04-27 04:15 | BTC | Sell | 78524→79012 | -3.56 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
44
closed
45%
win rate
-66.12
total pnl ($)
-30.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 44 | 45% | -30.1 | -66.12 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 23:48 | BTC | Buy | +0.17 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with low volatility and neutral funding. The trade closed on timeout because the thesis lacked a catalyst for directional movement, failing to capture profit in a range-bound market. |
| 05-06 08:32 | BTC | Sell | -9.65 | The market was in a persistent downtrend with BTC falling 1.26% in 24 hours and negative funding, indicating bearish sentiment. The short thesis failed because the stop-loss was triggered by a sharp intraday reversal or spike, cutting the trade before the b… |
| 05-04 16:40 | BTC | Buy | +8.08 | The market was in a quiet consolidation phase with Bitcoin trading near $82,747 and funding rates hovering near zero, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. The trade thesis failed because the anticipated move never materialized within the allott… |
| 05-01 22:30 | BTC | Sell | -0.46 | BTC was consolidating with modest positive momentum (0.21% 1h, 2.60% 24h) while overall open interest had collapsed from the extreme 99.9th percentile that triggered the short entry, indicating the leverage liquidation cascade the fade strategy was designed… |
| 05-01 13:54 | BTC | Sell | -9.74 | BTC rallied +2.80% over 24 hours with sustained upward momentum, contradicting the signal's fade thesis as buyers overwhelmed the extreme OI condition. The trade's short thesis failed because the 7-day OI percentile (97.1%) extreme proved to be a continuati… |
| 04-27 04:15 | BTC | Sell | -3.56 | BTC was consolidating near $79,064 with mild hourly weakness (-0.22%) despite solid 24-hour (+2.03%) and weekly (+5.91%) gains as the trade timed out. The thesis failed because the extreme 95th percentile OI fade signal didn't materialize into the expected … |