btc_monthly_first_day_long

not live
2
closed trades
0%
win rate
-15.60
total pnl ($)
1.119
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-04 04:28:21 (25.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: ah
n: 12  ·  wr: 50.0%  ·  total_bps: +13.1  ·  mean_bps: +1.09  ·  sharpe: +0.01  ·  max_dd_bps: -481.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 2 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-02 09:04BTCBuy71307.6→69552.7-12.81stop_loss
05-02 14:01BTCBuy78675.9→78300.1-2.79timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
2
closed
0%
win rate
-15.60
total pnl ($)
-155.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC20%-155.9-15.60

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-02 14:01BTCBuy-2.79BTC was essentially flat on the day of close ($78,352, down only -0.41% over 24h) with minimal intraday momentum, showing the market had stabilized after the trade's entry on May 1st. The thesis failed because the monthly-first-weekday long signal generated…