101
closed trades
41%
win rate
-76.33
total pnl ($)
1.260
weight
7d window — n=17 wr=47% pnl=+2.15
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 09:23 | BTC | Sell | 59927→60316 | -3.69 | timeout |
| 06-27 21:08 | BTC | Sell | 60517→60333 | +1.06 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:42 | BTC | Sell | 59739→59927 | -2.02 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 59602→58791.6 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | BTC | Buy | 60223→59403.3 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 04:17 | BTC | Sell | 59348→60163.1 | -7.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:35 | BTC | Buy | 59919→59242 | -6.10 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:48 | BTC | Sell | 60697→59367 | +10.51 | take_profit |
| 06-25 08:53 | BTC | Buy | 61191.1→61742.9 | +4.06 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:18 | BTC | Buy | 60723→60978 | +1.65 | timeout |
| 06-24 15:38 | BTC | Sell | 61974.9→60616 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-23 20:13 | BTC | Buy | 62764.1→62444.9 | -2.99 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:35 | BTC | Sell | 62281.9→62346.1 | -0.99 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Sell | 63669.8→62275.1 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-23 02:29 | BTC | Sell | 63995.8→64147.2 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:46 | BTC | Sell | 64512.8→64451.2 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:36 | BTC | Buy | 64621.2→65083.7 | +3.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:36 | BTC | Sell | 63866.8→63933.2 | -0.98 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:30 | BTC | Buy | 64256.2→64199.8 | -0.89 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:46 | BTC | Sell | 63300.8→64163.3 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 09:12 | BTC | Buy | 63735.2→63465.8 | -2.58 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:50 | BTC | Buy | 63196.2→63177.8 | -0.60 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:16 | BTC | Sell | 62457.9→62764.1 | -2.91 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:45 | BTC | Buy | 62936.1→62861.9 | -1.04 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:18 | BTC | Sell | 63236.8→62635.1 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-18 11:38 | BTC | Buy | 64414.2→63927.8 | -4.24 | timeout |
| 06-17 23:38 | BTC | Sell | 64353.8→64393.2 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:32 | BTC | Sell | 65201.7→64715.2 | +3.29 | timeout |
| 06-16 17:10 | BTC | Sell | 66104.7→65794.3 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:37 | BTC | Buy | 66490.3→66616.7 | +0.49 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:44 | BTC | Buy | 66880.3→66687.7 | -1.90 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:22 | BTC | Buy | 64692.2→65396.7 | +4.99 | timeout |
| 06-14 18:38 | BTC | Sell | 63901.8→63750.2 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 06-12 12:22 | BTC | Buy | 63531.2→63550.8 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 06-11 16:25 | BTC | Sell | 62690.9→62586.1 | +0.40 | timeout |
| 06-11 01:12 | BTC | Sell | 61517.9→61949.1 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:29 | BTC | Buy | 62710.1→61855 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 23:31 | BTC | Buy | 61936.1→62016.9 | +0.21 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:06 | BTC | Sell | 62298.9→60927 | +10.58 | take_profit |
| 06-09 12:12 | BTC | Sell | 62870.9→62734.1 | +0.63 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:21 | BTC | Buy | 63780.2→62912.4 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 08:39 | BTC | Sell | 62738.9→63135.2 | -3.59 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:13 | BTC | Sell | 61674.9→62514.4 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:33 | BTC | Buy | 60912→61496.9 | +4.34 | timeout |
| 06-06 12:08 | BTC | Sell | 60239→61060.6 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 07:33 | BTC | Sell | 60546→60911 | -3.46 | timeout |
| 06-06 03:16 | BTC | Sell | 61132.9→60838 | +1.96 | timeout |
| 06-05 19:47 | BTC | Sell | 59534→60346.2 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:49 | BTC | Buy | 62041.1→61195.3 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:20 | BTC | Sell | 63021.8→61861.1 | +8.75 | timeout |
| 06-04 20:32 | BTC | Sell | 63478.8→63472.2 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-04 12:23 | BTC | Sell | 62310.9→63161.7 | -7.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 19:17 | BTC | Sell | 66405.7→66009.3 | +2.55 | timeout |
| 06-03 05:04 | BTC | Sell | 65972.7→66872.8 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 20:52 | BTC | Sell | 66796.7→67706.2 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 14:27 | BTC | Sell | 69029.5→67507.4 | +10.58 | take_profit |
| 06-02 09:39 | BTC | Sell | 70615.5→69493.5 | +7.52 | timeout |
| 06-02 01:36 | BTC | Sell | 71093.4→70924.5 | +0.76 | timeout |
| 05-31 18:25 | BTC | Sell | 73558.3→73622.7 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 05-29 15:09 | BTC | Sell | 72702.4→73700.5 | -7.31 | stop_loss |
| 05-29 06:57 | BTC | Sell | 73242.3→73752.7 | -3.91 | timeout |
| 05-28 07:18 | BTC | Sell | 73491.3→73246.7 | +1.22 | timeout |
| 05-27 21:25 | BTC | Sell | 75000.2→75141.8 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 05-27 17:20 | BTC | Sell | 75387.2→74941.7 | +2.51 | timeout |
| 05-26 14:25 | BTC | Sell | 76898.2→77942.8 | -7.24 | stop_loss |
| 05-25 00:49 | BTC | Sell | 76246.2→77283.5 | -7.24 | stop_loss |
| 05-23 22:20 | BTC | Buy | 75846.8→76654.2 | +4.86 | timeout |
| 05-23 11:46 | BTC | Sell | 74956.3→74761.7 | +0.85 | timeout |
| 05-23 02:46 | BTC | Sell | 75629.2→75468.8 | +0.61 | timeout |
| 05-22 22:45 | BTC | Sell | 76507.2→75617.8 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 05-22 18:24 | BTC | Sell | 76727.2→76871.8 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 05-21 17:20 | BTC | Sell | 76842.2→77884.8 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-21 04:49 | BTC | Buy | 77903.9→77975.1 | -0.00 | timeout |
| 05-20 20:28 | BTC | Sell | 77069.1→77624.9 | -4.04 | timeout |
| 05-20 09:11 | BTC | Buy | 77203.9→77418.1 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 05-20 02:26 | BTC | Sell | 76636.2→76804.8 | -1.53 | timeout |
| 05-19 18:15 | BTC | Sell | 76612.2→76884.8 | -2.20 | timeout |
| 05-18 10:09 | BTC | Sell | 76684.2→76828.8 | -1.37 | timeout |
| 05-18 03:40 | BTC | Sell | 77622.1→76859.8 | +4.47 | timeout |
| 05-17 04:58 | BTC | Sell | 77882.1→78124.9 | -2.01 | timeout |
| 05-16 10:50 | BTC | Sell | 78446.1→77881.9 | +3.16 | timeout |
| 05-15 17:31 | BTC | Sell | 79721→79340 | +1.94 | timeout |
| 05-12 02:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 05-11 21:40 | BTC | Buy | 81841.1→81676.9 | -1.46 | timeout |
| 05-11 07:38 | BTC | Sell | 80493→80719 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 05-10 19:50 | BTC | Buy | 81319.1→81312.9 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 05-08 17:27 | BTC | Sell | 79618→79915 | -2.31 | timeout |
| 05-08 06:18 | BTC | Sell | 79493→79615 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 05-07 10:57 | BTC | Buy | 81390.1→80805 | -4.05 | timeout |
| 05-04 17:53 | BTC | Sell | 79658→80738.4 | -7.24 | stop_loss |
| 05-04 00:35 | BTC | Buy | 79017→78366.1 | -4.57 | timeout |
| 05-03 05:37 | BTC | Sell | 78197.1→78190.9 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 05-02 00:41 | BTC | Sell | 77925.1→78228.9 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 05-01 16:25 | BTC | Buy | 77742.9→78137.1 | +2.10 | timeout |
| 05-01 12:25 | BTC | Buy | 77451.9→77735.1 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 04-30 06:31 | BTC | Sell | 75957→75690 | +1.31 | timeout |
| 04-30 01:49 | BTC | Buy | 76002→76315 | +1.61 | timeout |
| 04-29 16:21 | BTC | Sell | 77112→75791 | +8.12 | timeout |
| 04-28 18:26 | BTC | Sell | 75845→76202 | -2.80 | timeout |
| 04-28 13:51 | BTC | Sell | 76530→76250 | +1.38 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
101
closed
41%
win rate
-76.33
total pnl ($)
-15.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 101 | 41% | -15.1 | -76.33 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 17:27 | BTC | Sell | -2.31 | The market was in a broad downtrend with BTC down over 2% in 24 hours and 7 days, while funding remained slightly positive. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the price did not decline s… |
| 05-08 06:18 | BTC | Sell | -1.21 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented any profitable exit. |
| 05-07 10:57 | BTC | Buy | -4.05 | The market was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with low volatility and neutral funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allowed t… |
| 05-04 17:53 | BTC | Sell | -7.24 | The market was in a tight consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and high open interest, creating a low-volatility environment prone to sudden breakouts. The short thesis failed because price rejected the resistance level and rallied, triggering the… |
| 05-03 05:37 | BTC | Sell | -0.42 | BTC was consolidating near $78,639 with minimal directional conviction—the 1h change of -0.14% showed momentum had stalled well after the trade's 4-hour timeout, indicating the acceleration signal had exhausted. The thesis failed because the 2.2x downside a… |
| 05-02 00:41 | BTC | Sell | -2.43 | At close, BTC was in a modest state of negative funding (-0.011%) with massive open interest ($4.2B), indicating elevated short positioning and potential resistance to further downside acceleration. The trade's momentum acceleration thesis failed because th… |
| 05-01 16:25 | BTC | Buy | +2.10 | At close, Bitcoin had just reversed from a modest 4-hour rally, declining 0.48% in the final hour while maintaining a positive 24-hour return of +2.52%, indicating weakening momentum into the exit. The trade's momentum acceleration thesis failed because the… |
| 05-01 12:25 | BTC | Buy | +1.38 | Bitcoin was rallying steadily with 0.92% gains over the prior hour and 2.30% over 24 hours, sustaining upward momentum as the trade exited near $77,735. The momentum acceleration signal that triggered the entry (2.6x acceleration from 0.16% to 0.41% hourly … |
| 04-30 06:31 | BTC | Sell | +1.31 | The market was attempting to recover with BTC rising +0.27% in the final hour while maintaining a negative weekly trend (-2.94%), signaling demand was stabilizing after a multi-day selloff. The trade's thesis failed because the required momentum acceleratio… |
| 04-30 01:49 | BTC | Buy | +1.61 | # Trade Analysis: btc_momentum_acceleration_follow Bitcoin was consolidating near $76,325 with minimal hourly momentum (+0.15% 1h), having retreated -2.39% over the week while maintaining stable funding rates, suggesting weak directional conviction in the … |