btc_mempool_surge_fear_gate_short · strategy

closed trades

41%

win rate

+49.18

total pnl ($)

1.358

weight

7d window — n=24 wr=29% pnl=+22.11 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 86 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 11:05	BTC	Sell	60073→60413	-3.26	timeout
06-27 04:58	BTC	Sell	60023→60188	-1.83	timeout
06-26 23:05	BTC	Sell	59515→60075	-5.08	timeout
06-26 16:55	BTC	Sell	59829→60016	-1.96	timeout
06-26 09:08	BTC	Sell	59484→60057	-5.25	timeout
06-26 02:35	BTC	Sell	59954→58954.9	+7.85	timeout
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61724.9→58575.9	+25.04	take_profit
06-25 13:26	BTC	Sell	60819→61193.1	-3.55	timeout
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	59638→61764	-18.28	stop_loss
06-25 01:30	BTC	Sell	61727.9→60838	+6.77	timeout
06-24 17:20	BTC	Sell	62637.9→59508	+24.47	take_profit
06-24 12:26	BTC	Sell	62805.9→62759.1	-0.08	timeout
06-24 04:15	BTC	Sell	62669.9→62653.1	-0.28	timeout
06-23 21:43	BTC	Sell	62347.9→62610.1	-2.56	timeout
06-23 15:55	BTC	Sell	64005.8→62305.1	+12.82	timeout
06-23 05:48	BTC	Sell	64442.8→63349.2	+8.05	timeout
06-22 22:34	BTC	Sell	64130.8→64084.2	-0.08	timeout
06-22 16:06	BTC	Sell	63915.8→64700.2	-6.60	timeout
06-22 03:17	BTC	Sell	64179.8→64214.2	-0.68	timeout
06-21 20:37	BTC	Sell	63939.8→64008.2	-0.98	timeout
06-21 12:08	BTC	Sell	64223.8→64153.2	+0.07	timeout
06-21 05:27	BTC	Sell	63873.8→64267.2	-3.53	timeout
06-20 23:14	BTC	Sell	63630.8→64247.2	-5.29	timeout
06-20 16:41	BTC	Sell	63571.8→63984.2	-3.67	timeout
06-20 07:53	BTC	Sell	63064.8→63703.2	-5.51	timeout
06-20 01:20	BTC	Sell	62691.9→63475.2	-6.70	timeout
06-19 19:18	BTC	Sell	62731.9→63013.2	-2.68	timeout
06-19 12:36	BTC	Sell	62993.9→62455.1	+3.78	timeout
06-19 06:08	BTC	Sell	62696.9→62767.1	-1.03	timeout
06-19 00:48	BTC	Sell	64290.8→63049.2	+9.15	timeout
06-18 17:57	BTC	Sell	63951.8→62537.1	+10.48	timeout
06-18 11:29	BTC	Sell	64462.8→64043.2	+2.84	timeout
06-18 05:51	BTC	Sell	65838.7→63866.2	+14.54	timeout
06-17 23:35	BTC	Sell	64672.8→64414.2	+1.56	timeout
06-17 16:48	BTC	Sell	66002.7→65904.3	+0.34	timeout
06-17 10:45	BTC	Sell	65661.7→64903.2	+5.37	timeout
06-17 04:20	BTC	Sell	65723.7→65769.3	-0.78	timeout
06-16 22:14	BTC	Sell	66500.7→65848.3	+4.50	timeout
06-16 15:49	BTC	Sell	66114.7→65793.3	+2.03	timeout
06-16 09:29	BTC	Sell	66393.7→66599.3	-1.98	timeout
06-16 02:41	BTC	Sell	66492.7→65844.3	+4.42	timeout
06-15 20:43	BTC	Sell	65732.7→66620.3	-7.17	timeout
06-15 14:17	BTC	Sell	65717.7→66470.3	-6.18	timeout
06-15 08:10	BTC	Sell	63794.8→65703.3	-15.40	timeout
06-15 01:38	BTC	Sell	64258.8→65542.3	-10.43	timeout
06-14 19:18	BTC	Sell	64270.8→63834.2	+2.98	timeout
06-14 10:46	BTC	Sell	64482.8→64538.2	-0.87	timeout
06-14 04:46	BTC	Sell	64115.8→64326.2	-2.11	timeout
06-13 22:45	BTC	Sell	63834.8→64492.2	-5.58	timeout
06-13 16:24	BTC	Sell	63512.8→63973.2	-4.09	timeout
06-13 10:00	BTC	Sell	63518.8→63732.2	-2.09	timeout
06-13 03:49	BTC	Sell	63664.8→63486.2	+0.95	timeout
06-12 21:45	BTC	Sell	63822.8→63515.2	+1.98	timeout
06-12 15:52	BTC	Sell	63471.8→63753.2	-2.60	timeout
06-12 09:51	BTC	Sell	63496.8→63826.2	-3.00	timeout
06-12 03:59	BTC	Sell	62685.9→63504.2	-6.94	timeout
06-11 21:47	BTC	Sell	62882.9→63525.2	-5.49	timeout
06-11 15:18	BTC	Sell	62077.9→62640.1	-4.93	timeout
06-11 09:11	BTC	Sell	61532.9→62836.1	-10.97	timeout
06-11 02:58	BTC	Sell	61873.9→62189.1	-2.96	timeout
06-10 20:28	BTC	Sell	61473.9→61880.1	-3.73	timeout
06-10 04:10	BTC	Sell	60917→62023.1	-9.58	timeout
06-09 22:12	BTC	Sell	62647.9→62023.1	+4.49	timeout
06-09 15:18	BTC	Sell	62926.9→61619.1	+9.95	timeout
06-09 09:20	BTC	Sell	63644.8→62906.1	+5.35	timeout
06-09 03:13	BTC	Sell	64156.8→62894.1	+9.38	timeout
06-08 21:08	BTC	Sell	63206.8→63690.2	-4.25	timeout
06-08 15:03	BTC	Sell	63016.8→63963.2	-7.94	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61715.9→63915.1	-18.27	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61586.9→63781.1	-18.26	stop_loss
06-07 19:42	BTC	Sell	62190.9→61271.1	+6.92	timeout
06-07 13:19	BTC	Sell	61508.9→61667.1	-1.72	timeout
06-07 06:39	BTC	Sell	60623→62133.1	-12.93	timeout
06-07 00:30	BTC	Sell	60620→60822	-2.11	timeout
06-06 18:11	BTC	Sell	60993→60586	+2.86	timeout
06-06 12:09	BTC	Sell	61396.9→61064.1	+2.23	timeout
06-06 06:04	BTC	Sell	60718→61112.1	-3.70	timeout
06-05 18:55	BTC	Sell	62232.9→59127	+24.52	take_profit
06-05 18:21	BTC	Sell	61577.9→60531	+8.08	timeout
06-05 11:58	BTC	Sell	63798.8→62013.1	+13.56	timeout
06-05 05:42	BTC	Sell	62980.9→63014.2	-0.74	timeout
06-04 22:20	BTC	Sell	62826.9→63345.2	-4.60	timeout
06-04 17:22	BTC	Sell	63630.8→63219.2	+2.83	timeout
06-04 01:53	BTC	Sell	65493.7→62225.1	+24.50	take_profit
06-04 01:49	BTC	Sell	65777.7→62494.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-03 23:48	BTC	Sell	67033.6→64251.2	+20.30	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

41%

win rate

+49.18

total pnl ($)

+11.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	86	41%	+11.3	+49.18

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 12:22	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker
06-27 12:22	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…