btc_mempool_spike_fear_short_v2 · strategy

closed trades

48%

win rate

+199.45

total pnl ($)

2.165

weight

7d window — n=24 wr=50% pnl=+158.18 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 84 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 04:55	BTC	Sell	59820→60239	-3.96	timeout
06-26 20:41	BTC	Sell	59404→59665	-2.59	timeout
06-26 14:47	BTC	Sell	59366→59637	-2.64	timeout
06-25 13:59	BTC	Sell	60775→58105.9	+21.46	take_profit
06-25 13:59	BTC	Sell	60787→58117.9	+21.42	take_profit
06-25 13:58	BTC	Sell	60892→58217.9	+21.40	take_profit
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61734.9→59024	+21.49	take_profit
06-24 17:20	BTC	Sell	62266.9→59533	+21.32	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62647.9→59893	+21.48	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62705.9→59893	+21.86	take_profit
06-24 12:57	BTC	Sell	62267.9→62598.1	-3.17	timeout
06-24 08:08	BTC	Sell	62799.9→62593.1	+1.22	timeout
06-23 22:07	BTC	Sell	64303.8→62696.1	+12.02	timeout
06-23 10:00	BTC	Sell	64104.8→62366.1	+12.92	timeout
06-23 08:24	BTC	Sell	65077.7→62203.1	+21.49	take_profit
06-23 04:05	BTC	Sell	63913.8→64038.2	-1.40	timeout
06-22 15:18	BTC	Sell	64201.8→64984.2	-6.54	timeout
06-22 08:33	BTC	Sell	63981.8→64186.2	-1.93	timeout
06-22 00:04	BTC	Sell	64225.8→63384.2	+6.18	timeout
06-21 17:30	BTC	Sell	63953.8→64076.2	-1.42	timeout
06-21 11:15	BTC	Sell	63630.8→64353.2	-6.20	timeout
06-21 04:42	BTC	Sell	63564.8→64480.2	-7.66	timeout
06-20 22:00	BTC	Sell	63071.8→63972.2	-7.55	timeout
06-20 14:40	BTC	Sell	63303.8→63385.2	-1.02	timeout
06-20 07:56	BTC	Sell	62588.9→63681.2	-9.07	timeout
06-20 01:41	BTC	Sell	62856.9→63555.2	-6.01	timeout
06-19 19:06	BTC	Sell	62664.9→63057.2	-3.55	timeout
06-19 12:49	BTC	Sell	64283.8→62351.1	+14.49	timeout
06-19 06:34	BTC	Sell	64018.8→62802.1	+9.01	timeout
06-19 00:03	BTC	Sell	64538.8→62909.1	+12.09	timeout
06-18 15:37	BTC	Sell	65892.7→62999.1	+21.47	take_profit
06-18 11:33	BTC	Sell	64703.8→63998.2	+5.07	timeout
06-18 04:50	BTC	Sell	65990.7→63797.2	+16.19	timeout
06-17 22:41	BTC	Sell	65712.7→64354.2	+9.87	timeout
06-17 16:24	BTC	Sell	65782.7→65898.3	-1.37	timeout
06-17 10:18	BTC	Sell	66587.7→64930.2	+12.09	timeout
06-17 03:49	BTC	Sell	66114.7→65792.3	+2.03	timeout
06-16 20:44	BTC	Sell	66554.7→65807.3	+5.26	timeout
06-16 14:36	BTC	Sell	66475.7→65574.3	+6.41	timeout
06-16 08:38	BTC	Sell	65696.7→66508.3	-6.68	timeout
06-16 02:14	BTC	Sell	65631.7→66042.3	-3.57	timeout
06-15 13:21	BTC	Sell	64279.8→66891.8	-20.79	stop_loss
06-15 11:23	BTC	Sell	63783.8→66375.5	-20.76	stop_loss
06-15 07:21	BTC	Sell	64305.8→65853.3	-12.47	timeout
06-14 22:46	BTC	Sell	64489.8→65396.3	-7.43	timeout
06-14 16:46	BTC	Sell	64105.8→64110.2	-0.44	timeout
06-14 10:45	BTC	Sell	63833.8→64593.2	-6.38	timeout
06-14 04:23	BTC	Sell	63567.8→64484.2	-7.70	timeout
06-13 22:01	BTC	Sell	63510.8→64402.2	-7.44	timeout
06-13 15:39	BTC	Sell	63871.8→64317.2	-3.91	timeout
06-13 09:31	BTC	Sell	63769.8→63814.2	-0.71	timeout
06-13 03:28	BTC	Sell	63387.8→63440.2	-0.86	timeout
06-12 21:24	BTC	Sell	63485.8→63542.2	-0.86	timeout
06-12 15:20	BTC	Sell	62683.9→64249.2	-12.85	timeout
06-12 09:13	BTC	Sell	62812.9→63496.2	-5.81	timeout
06-12 03:14	BTC	Sell	62046.9→63505.2	-12.11	timeout
06-11 20:59	BTC	Sell	61773.9→63372.2	-13.24	timeout
06-11 14:57	BTC	Sell	61875.9→62776.1	-7.63	timeout
06-11 08:27	BTC	Sell	61457.9→62890.1	-11.96	timeout
06-10 16:12	BTC	Sell	61078.9→62375.1	-11.01	timeout
06-10 10:12	BTC	Sell	62653.9→61194.1	+11.12	timeout
06-10 03:18	BTC	Sell	62939.9→62023.1	+6.73	timeout
06-09 16:20	BTC	Sell	63648.8→60853	+21.63	take_profit
06-09 14:43	BTC	Sell	64158.8→61337.1	+21.56	take_profit
06-09 09:08	BTC	Sell	63182.8→62746.1	+3.01	timeout
06-09 03:03	BTC	Sell	63034.8→62810.1	+1.32	timeout
06-08 07:43	BTC	Sell	62168.9→63095.2	-7.86	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61766.9→64277.3	-20.77	stop_loss
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61573.9→64077.2	-20.78	stop_loss
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61475.9→63974.2	-20.78	stop_loss
06-07 18:39	BTC	Sell	60596→62163.1	-13.43	timeout
06-07 12:30	BTC	Sell	60623→61885.1	-10.84	timeout
06-07 06:11	BTC	Sell	60984→61669.1	-6.12	timeout
06-07 00:09	BTC	Sell	61397.9→60834	+4.18	timeout
06-06 18:05	BTC	Sell	60741→60535	+1.19	timeout
06-06 06:22	BTC	Sell	61370.9→61188.1	+1.04	timeout
06-05 18:51	BTC	Sell	62263.9→59530	+21.52	take_profit
06-05 14:26	BTC	Sell	63207.8→60432	+21.50	take_profit
06-05 13:56	BTC	Sell	63799.8→60998	+21.51	take_profit
06-05 11:41	BTC	Sell	62259.9→62185.1	+0.18	timeout
06-05 06:22	BTC	Sell	64274.8→61452.1	+21.44	take_profit
06-04 01:50	BTC	Sell	65302.7→62435.1	+21.51	take_profit
06-04 01:22	BTC	Sell	65574.7→62695.1	+21.51	take_profit
06-03 23:54	BTC	Sell	67048.6→64099.2	+21.54	take_profit

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

48%

win rate

+199.45

total pnl ($)

+47.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	84	48%	+47.4	+199.45

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 12:22	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…