btc_mempool_spike_fear_gate_short_v7 · strategy

closed trades

45%

win rate

+57.10

total pnl ($)

1.344

weight

7d window — n=25 wr=40% pnl=+22.26 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 84 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 13:37	BTC	Sell	59249→59108	+0.76	timeout
06-26 07:10	BTC	Sell	59318→60409	-9.70	timeout
06-25 14:33	BTC	Sell	58701.1→60499.3	-15.77	stop_loss
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61777.9→58577.9	+25.42	take_profit
06-25 12:27	BTC	Sell	60898→61089.1	-2.03	timeout
06-25 05:02	BTC	Sell	59670→61497.8	-15.78	stop_loss
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62873.9→59734	+24.48	take_profit
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62861.9→59721	+24.44	take_profit
06-24 09:44	BTC	Sell	62595.9→62643.1	-0.80	timeout
06-24 02:41	BTC	Sell	62486.9→62742.1	-2.46	timeout
06-23 20:12	BTC	Sell	62746.9→62478.1	+1.69	timeout
06-23 14:33	BTC	Sell	64155.8→62492.1	+12.48	timeout
06-23 05:47	BTC	Sell	64447.8→63349.2	+8.09	timeout
06-22 22:33	BTC	Sell	64125.8→64017.2	+0.40	timeout
06-22 16:10	BTC	Sell	63924.8→64723.2	-6.70	timeout
06-22 06:54	BTC	Sell	64109.8→63949.2	+0.81	timeout
06-22 00:48	BTC	Sell	64014.8→63907.2	+0.40	timeout
06-21 17:48	BTC	Sell	64208.8→64151.2	-0.04	timeout
06-21 09:21	BTC	Sell	63924.8→63985.2	-0.85	timeout
06-21 03:24	BTC	Sell	64177.8→64422.2	-2.35	timeout
06-20 21:19	BTC	Sell	63486.8→63943.2	-4.05	timeout
06-20 13:24	BTC	Sell	63431.8→63388.2	-0.08	timeout
06-20 07:22	BTC	Sell	62987.9→63735.2	-6.38	timeout
06-20 01:21	BTC	Sell	62647.9→63474.2	-7.05	timeout
06-19 19:18	BTC	Sell	62730.9→63012.2	-2.68	timeout
06-19 12:06	BTC	Sell	62913.9→62588.1	+2.09	timeout
06-19 06:03	BTC	Sell	62596.9→62744.1	-1.65	timeout
06-19 00:51	BTC	Sell	64301.8→63003.2	+9.59	timeout
06-18 17:55	BTC	Sell	63913.8→62582.1	+9.84	timeout
06-18 11:30	BTC	Sell	64433.8→64037.2	+2.66	timeout
06-18 05:49	BTC	Sell	65800.7→63877.2	+14.17	timeout
06-17 23:32	BTC	Sell	64694.8→64475.2	+1.27	timeout
06-17 16:52	BTC	Sell	65944.7→65847.3	+0.34	timeout
06-17 10:44	BTC	Sell	65685.7→64890.2	+5.65	timeout
06-17 04:22	BTC	Sell	65752.7→65800.3	-0.79	timeout
06-16 22:18	BTC	Sell	66584.7→65839.3	+5.19	timeout
06-16 15:54	BTC	Sell	66064.7→65918.3	+0.70	timeout
06-16 09:28	BTC	Sell	66396.7→66596.3	-1.95	timeout
06-16 03:03	BTC	Sell	66626.7→65769.3	+5.97	timeout
06-15 21:12	BTC	Sell	65663.7→66484.3	-6.67	timeout
06-15 14:59	BTC	Sell	65426.7→66598.3	-9.41	timeout
06-15 01:35	BTC	Sell	64221.8→65458.3	-10.06	timeout
06-14 23:28	BTC	Sell	63795.8→65751.1	-15.78	stop_loss
06-14 19:22	BTC	Sell	64317.8→63795.2	+3.64	timeout
06-14 10:47	BTC	Sell	64482.8→64540.2	-0.89	timeout
06-14 04:46	BTC	Sell	64105.8→64326.2	-2.19	timeout
06-13 22:44	BTC	Sell	63845.8→64485.2	-5.44	timeout
06-13 16:24	BTC	Sell	63512.8→63972.2	-4.08	timeout
06-13 10:01	BTC	Sell	63512.8→63728.2	-2.10	timeout
06-13 03:47	BTC	Sell	63830.8→63481.2	+2.29	timeout
06-12 21:31	BTC	Sell	63757.8→63533.2	+1.33	timeout
06-12 15:27	BTC	Sell	63386.8→64257.2	-7.28	timeout
06-12 09:24	BTC	Sell	63498.8→63635.2	-1.48	timeout
06-12 03:22	BTC	Sell	62701.9→63417.2	-6.11	timeout
06-11 21:13	BTC	Sell	62797.9→63576.2	-6.58	timeout
06-11 15:14	BTC	Sell	62038.9→62669.1	-5.48	timeout
06-11 08:58	BTC	Sell	61738.9→62909.1	-9.87	timeout
06-11 02:58	BTC	Sell	62021.9→62170.1	-1.61	timeout
06-10 20:28	BTC	Sell	61471.9→61876.1	-3.71	timeout
06-10 04:32	BTC	Sell	61058.9→62023.1	-8.40	timeout
06-09 22:43	BTC	Sell	62679.9→62023.1	+4.74	timeout
06-09 16:10	BTC	Sell	62926.9→60970	+15.17	timeout
06-09 09:57	BTC	Sell	63734.8→62697.1	+7.68	timeout
06-09 03:48	BTC	Sell	63808.8→62742.1	+7.91	timeout
06-08 21:43	BTC	Sell	63271.8→63797.2	-4.58	timeout
06-08 15:37	BTC	Sell	63077.8→63858.2	-6.61	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61966.9→63866.1	-15.78	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61734.9→63626	-15.77	stop_loss
06-07 19:45	BTC	Sell	62193.9→61263.1	+7.02	timeout
06-07 13:18	BTC	Sell	61587.9→61696.1	-1.32	timeout
06-07 06:36	BTC	Sell	60540→62222.1	-14.37	timeout
06-07 00:30	BTC	Sell	60624→60822	-2.07	timeout
06-06 18:11	BTC	Sell	60999.9→60574	+3.01	timeout
06-06 12:09	BTC	Sell	61422.9→61064.1	+2.44	timeout
06-06 06:05	BTC	Sell	60760→61169.1	-3.83	timeout
06-05 18:54	BTC	Sell	62289.9→59181	+24.52	take_profit
06-05 11:57	BTC	Sell	63763.8→62054.1	+12.97	timeout
06-05 09:15	BTC	Sell	61391.9→63284.8	-15.87	stop_loss
06-05 05:43	BTC	Sell	62960.9→62928.1	-0.22	timeout
06-05 00:52	BTC	Sell	63837.8→63529.2	+1.95	timeout
06-04 18:25	BTC	Sell	64274.8→63523.2	+5.41	timeout
06-04 02:01	BTC	Sell	65302.7→62043.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-04 01:51	BTC	Sell	65574.7→62301.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-03 23:49	BTC	Sell	67048.6→64275.2	+20.23	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

45%

win rate

+57.10

total pnl ($)

+13.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	84	45%	+13.5	+57.10

Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 08:32	BTC	Sell	trigger_already_opened
06-26 01:43	BTC	Sell	trigger_already_opened
06-24 17:45	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 12:11	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 12:10	BTC	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…