btc_mempool_spike_fear_gate_short_v4 · strategy

closed trades

43%

win rate

+78.30

total pnl ($)

1.709

weight

7d window — n=25 wr=48% pnl=+72.45 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 90 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 06:10	BTC	Sell	60524→59943	+4.35	timeout
06-28 00:20	BTC	Sell	60259→60120	+0.67	timeout
06-27 16:47	BTC	Sell	60338→60748	-3.84	timeout
06-27 09:02	BTC	Sell	59693→60403	-6.40	timeout
06-27 03:01	BTC	Sell	59639→60246	-5.53	timeout
06-26 20:19	BTC	Sell	60147→59775	+2.70	timeout
06-26 13:31	BTC	Sell	59257→59053	+1.29	timeout
06-26 07:10	BTC	Sell	59339→60386	-9.27	timeout
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61266.9→58569.9	+21.56	take_profit
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61738.9→59026	+21.50	take_profit
06-25 10:09	BTC	Sell	61052.9→61646.1	-5.30	timeout
06-25 04:07	BTC	Sell	60335→60825	-4.52	timeout
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62673.9→59917	+21.48	take_profit
06-24 15:52	BTC	Sell	62756.9→60451	+17.88	timeout
06-24 09:48	BTC	Sell	62627.9→62665.1	-0.71	timeout
06-24 02:26	BTC	Sell	62470.9→62694.1	-2.21	timeout
06-23 20:07	BTC	Sell	62807.9→62464.1	+2.29	timeout
06-23 10:46	BTC	Sell	63857.8→62231.1	+12.19	timeout
06-23 04:21	BTC	Sell	64747.8→63891.2	+6.16	timeout
06-22 22:14	BTC	Sell	64182.8→64291.2	-1.29	timeout
06-22 16:07	BTC	Sell	63935.8→64661.2	-6.14	timeout
06-22 05:55	BTC	Sell	64133.8→64175.2	-0.77	timeout
06-21 23:49	BTC	Sell	64234.8→63336.2	+6.53	timeout
06-21 17:48	BTC	Sell	64208.8→64150.2	-0.03	timeout
06-21 11:40	BTC	Sell	64270.8→64229.2	-0.14	timeout
06-21 05:16	BTC	Sell	63874.8→64208.2	-3.06	timeout
06-20 23:14	BTC	Sell	63630.8→64243.2	-5.26	timeout
06-20 16:40	BTC	Sell	63517.8→64000.2	-4.21	timeout
06-20 07:58	BTC	Sell	62997.8→63653.2	-5.66	timeout
06-20 01:57	BTC	Sell	63220.8→63543.2	-3.00	timeout
06-19 19:55	BTC	Sell	62602.9→63082.2	-4.26	timeout
06-19 13:53	BTC	Sell	62938.9→63180.2	-2.42	timeout
06-19 07:50	BTC	Sell	62892.9→62512.1	+2.55	timeout
06-19 02:04	BTC	Sell	63932.8→63061.2	+6.31	timeout
06-18 19:47	BTC	Sell	64461.8→62965.1	+11.07	timeout
06-18 13:41	BTC	Sell	64596.8→63952.2	+4.53	timeout
06-18 07:18	BTC	Sell	64933.8→64119.2	+5.82	timeout
06-18 01:05	BTC	Sell	65022.7→64607.2	+2.80	timeout
06-17 18:55	BTC	Sell	65615.7→65804.3	-1.85	timeout
06-17 10:27	BTC	Sell	65686.7→64893.2	+5.64	timeout
06-17 04:21	BTC	Sell	65762.7→65789.3	-0.63	timeout
06-16 22:18	BTC	Sell	66576.7→65839.3	+5.13	timeout
06-16 15:54	BTC	Sell	66063.7→65918.3	+0.62	timeout
06-16 08:46	BTC	Sell	66523.7→66560.3	-0.74	timeout
06-16 02:36	BTC	Sell	66478.7→65837.3	+4.38	timeout
06-15 20:39	BTC	Sell	65676.7→66624.3	-7.63	timeout
06-15 14:14	BTC	Sell	65632.7→66369.3	-6.07	timeout
06-15 08:09	BTC	Sell	63775.8→65678.3	-15.37	timeout
06-15 01:37	BTC	Sell	64273.8→65536.3	-10.26	timeout
06-14 19:21	BTC	Sell	64305.8→63802.2	+3.50	timeout
06-14 10:47	BTC	Sell	64465.8→64534.2	-0.97	timeout
06-14 04:46	BTC	Sell	64114.8→64327.2	-2.13	timeout
06-13 22:44	BTC	Sell	63845.8→64485.2	-5.44	timeout
06-13 16:24	BTC	Sell	63520.8→63973.2	-4.03	timeout
06-13 10:03	BTC	Sell	63484.8→63737.2	-2.40	timeout
06-13 03:30	BTC	Sell	64018.8→63494.2	+3.65	timeout
06-12 21:18	BTC	Sell	63526.8→63621.2	-1.18	timeout
06-12 15:34	BTC	Sell	63467.8→63937.2	-4.11	timeout
06-12 09:31	BTC	Sell	63471.8→63776.2	-2.80	timeout
06-12 03:22	BTC	Sell	62704.9→63427.2	-6.16	timeout
06-11 21:14	BTC	Sell	62793.9→63564.2	-6.51	timeout
06-11 15:12	BTC	Sell	61999.9→62760.1	-6.53	timeout
06-11 08:59	BTC	Sell	61766.9→62915.1	-9.69	timeout
06-11 02:53	BTC	Sell	61865.9→62045.1	-1.87	timeout
06-10 20:28	BTC	Sell	61476.9→61880.1	-3.70	timeout
06-10 04:01	BTC	Sell	61192.9→62023.1	-7.28	timeout
06-09 22:10	BTC	Sell	62640.9→62023.1	+4.43	timeout
06-09 15:25	BTC	Sell	62753.9→61472.1	+9.77	timeout
06-09 09:27	BTC	Sell	63677.8→62856.1	+5.99	timeout
06-09 03:28	BTC	Sell	64038.8→62798.1	+9.23	timeout
06-08 21:09	BTC	Sell	63166.8→63760.2	-5.13	timeout
06-08 15:04	BTC	Sell	62996.8→63981.2	-8.24	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61767.9→64277.3	-20.77	stop_loss
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61518.9→64019.2	-20.77	stop_loss
06-07 19:16	BTC	Sell	62173.9→61421.1	+5.58	timeout
06-07 11:13	BTC	Sell	60684→62436.1	-14.90	timeout
06-07 05:19	BTC	Sell	60654→62022.1	-11.74	timeout
06-06 23:09	BTC	Sell	60687→60683	-0.45	timeout
06-06 17:05	BTC	Sell	59837→60672	-7.44	timeout
06-06 11:04	BTC	Sell	61585.9→60690	+6.80	timeout
06-06 05:02	BTC	Sell	61236.9→59682	+12.23	timeout
06-05 18:51	BTC	Sell	62291.9→59557	+21.52	take_profit
06-05 14:01	BTC	Sell	63459.8→60671	+21.52	take_profit
06-05 11:14	BTC	Sell	63592.8→62301.1	+9.73	timeout
06-05 04:47	BTC	Sell	63699.8→62874.1	+6.00	timeout
06-04 22:18	BTC	Sell	62834.9→63333.2	-4.44	timeout
06-04 17:22	BTC	Sell	63630.8→63219.2	+2.83	timeout
06-04 01:23	BTC	Sell	65493.7→62618.1	+21.50	take_profit
06-04 01:16	BTC	Sell	65777.7→62889.1	+21.51	take_profit
06-03 23:48	BTC	Sell	67033.6→64251.2	+20.30	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

43%

win rate

+78.30

total pnl ($)

+17.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	90	43%	+17.4	+78.30

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

time	sym	side	reason
06-28 07:00	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker
06-28 00:27	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…