btc_mempool_spike_fear_gate_short_v2 · strategy

closed trades

47%

win rate

+63.81

total pnl ($)

1.345

weight

7d window — n=16 wr=38% pnl=+20.40 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 72 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 05:54	BTC	Sell	59938→60225	-2.85	timeout
06-26 21:08	BTC	Sell	60053→59691	+2.61	timeout
06-26 07:39	BTC	Sell	58641.1→60730.4	-18.29	stop_loss
06-26 04:11	BTC	Sell	59969→60015	-0.86	timeout
06-25 22:25	BTC	Sell	61549.9→59819	+13.63	timeout
06-25 15:03	BTC	Sell	60767→59209	+12.31	timeout
06-25 04:50	BTC	Sell	60049→61063.1	-8.90	timeout
06-24 22:08	BTC	Sell	62626.9→61013.1	+12.36	timeout
06-24 14:59	BTC	Sell	62626.9→61052.1	+12.09	timeout
06-24 03:13	BTC	Sell	62319.9→62607.1	-2.73	timeout
06-23 20:24	BTC	Sell	62209.9→62432.1	-2.23	timeout
06-23 06:00	BTC	Sell	64595.8→63364.2	+9.10	timeout
06-22 22:04	BTC	Sell	64149.8→64338.2	-1.92	timeout
06-22 05:14	BTC	Sell	64168.8→64265.2	-1.19	timeout
06-21 09:26	BTC	Sell	63933.8→64056.2	-1.33	timeout
06-21 03:21	BTC	Sell	64190.8→64313.2	-1.40	timeout
06-20 04:53	BTC	Sell	63074.8→63554.2	-4.25	timeout
06-19 21:24	BTC	Sell	62383.9→63210.2	-7.05	timeout
06-19 11:40	BTC	Sell	62886.9→62598.1	+1.80	timeout
06-19 03:34	BTC	Sell	63200.8→62733.1	+3.23	timeout
06-18 18:50	BTC	Sell	64077.8→62756.1	+9.74	timeout
06-18 06:03	BTC	Sell	65365.7→63992.2	+10.06	timeout
06-17 23:50	BTC	Sell	64830.8→64467.2	+2.37	timeout
06-17 07:43	BTC	Sell	65599.7→65523.3	+0.15	timeout
06-17 00:24	BTC	Sell	66549.7→65710.3	+5.90	timeout
06-16 10:40	BTC	Sell	66265.7→66567.3	-2.70	timeout
06-16 04:21	BTC	Sell	67095.6→66083.3	+7.07	timeout
06-15 22:19	BTC	Sell	65685.7→66342.3	-5.42	timeout
06-15 09:14	BTC	Sell	64067.8→65669.3	-12.96	timeout
06-14 22:27	BTC	Sell	64572.8→65127.3	-4.72	timeout
06-14 10:46	BTC	Sell	64482.8→64541.2	-0.89	timeout
06-14 04:20	BTC	Sell	64008.8→64496.2	-4.28	timeout
06-13 22:16	BTC	Sell	63733.8→64362.2	-5.36	timeout
06-13 14:40	BTC	Sell	63670.8→64192.2	-4.52	timeout
06-13 08:41	BTC	Sell	63525.8→63885.2	-3.23	timeout
06-13 02:06	BTC	Sell	63344.8→63770.2	-3.78	timeout
06-12 19:59	BTC	Sell	63058.8→63580.2	-4.58	timeout
06-12 13:47	BTC	Sell	63386.8→63194.2	+1.11	timeout
06-12 07:46	BTC	Sell	63615.8→63008.2	+4.35	timeout
06-12 01:42	BTC	Sell	62721.9→63348.2	-5.39	timeout
06-11 18:59	BTC	Sell	62740.9→63448.2	-6.02	timeout
06-11 09:12	BTC	Sell	61503.9→62824.1	-11.12	timeout
06-11 03:03	BTC	Sell	62286.9→62139.1	+0.77	timeout
06-10 07:14	BTC	Sell	61775.9→62023.1	-2.50	timeout
06-10 01:09	BTC	Sell	62644.9→62023.1	+4.46	timeout
06-09 18:42	BTC	Sell	63321.8→61702.1	+12.38	timeout
06-09 12:02	BTC	Sell	63075.8→62717.1	+2.36	timeout
06-09 05:05	BTC	Sell	63540.8→63243.2	+1.89	timeout
06-08 23:01	BTC	Sell	63072.8→63419.2	-3.18	timeout
06-08 16:00	BTC	Sell	63096.8→63764.2	-5.66	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61752.9→63953.2	-18.27	stop_loss
06-07 09:30	BTC	Sell	60860→62669.1	-15.33	timeout
06-07 03:08	BTC	Sell	60605→61465.1	-7.52	timeout
06-06 21:04	BTC	Sell	61141.9→60710	+3.05	timeout
06-06 14:58	BTC	Sell	60934→60852	+0.22	timeout
06-06 01:36	BTC	Sell	62127.9→61199.1	+7.03	timeout
06-05 20:50	BTC	Sell	59655→61781	-18.27	stop_loss
06-05 19:00	BTC	Sell	61896.9→59219	+21.21	timeout
06-05 11:56	BTC	Sell	63773.8→62046.1	+13.11	timeout
06-05 05:57	BTC	Sell	63450.8→62607.1	+6.17	timeout
06-04 22:28	BTC	Sell	62543.9→63376.2	-7.13	timeout
06-04 17:02	BTC	Sell	64130.8→63534.2	+4.24	timeout
06-04 02:04	BTC	Sell	65345.7→61431.1	+29.50	take_profit
06-04 01:22	BTC	Sell	66734.7→62736.1	+29.51	take_profit
06-03 17:16	BTC	Sell	67207.6→65749.3	+10.43	timeout
06-03 12:48	BTC	Sell	66988.7→67008.4	-0.62	timeout
06-03 05:04	BTC	Sell	67482.6→66903.3	+3.85	timeout
06-02 20:11	BTC	Sell	69974.5→67423.4	+17.76	timeout
05-31 23:01	BTC	Sell	73892.3→73998.7	-1.18	timeout
05-31 00:21	BTC	Sell	73625.3→73874.7	-2.12	timeout
05-29 07:45	BTC	Sell	73472.3→73367.7	+0.28	timeout
05-29 00:44	BTC	Sell	73466.3→73781.7	-2.52	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

47%

win rate

+63.81

total pnl ($)

+17.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	72	47%	+17.6	+63.81

Recent bounces (last 20 of 6)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 09:23	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-26 02:28	BTC	Sell	trigger_already_opened
06-25 16:24	BTC	Sell	trigger_already_opened
06-24 17:06	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 10:24	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 10:23	BTC	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…