btc_mempool_spike_fade_short_v3

66

closed trades

50%

win rate

-11.57

total pnl ($)

1.070

weight

7d window — n=14 wr=43% pnl=-24.25 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-02 06:43:27 (24.8d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485392_12356

n: 21 · wr: 14.3% · total_bps: -14.5 · mean_bps: -0.69 · sharpe: -0.03 · max_dd_bps: -105.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 23:00	SOL	Sell	72.4141→71.8368	+2.86	timeout
06-26 14:28	SOL	Sell	69.6406→71.7966	-12.72	stop_loss
06-26 03:53	SOL	Sell	66.1931→68.2343	-12.69	stop_loss
06-25 22:26	SOL	Sell	66.608→67.0311	-2.90	timeout
06-25 13:45	SOL	Sell	68.5697→66.392	+12.34	take_profit
06-24 22:00	SOL	Sell	66.3221→68.3714	-12.73	stop_loss
06-24 08:57	SOL	Sell	69.4756→69.4284	-0.12	timeout
06-24 01:51	SOL	Sell	68.8247→70.2285	-8.59	timeout
06-23 15:56	SOL	Sell	68.7947→68.6063	+0.69	timeout
06-22 23:57	SOL	Sell	73.274→71.9708	+6.66	timeout
06-22 16:01	SOL	Sell	73.7589→72.9809	+3.82	timeout
06-21 23:13	SOL	Sell	74.5098→72.9409	+8.09	timeout
06-21 03:25	SOL	Sell	72.2452→73.7501	-8.67	timeout
06-20 21:21	SOL	Sell	72.2882→72.2798	-0.28	timeout
06-19 22:53	SOL	Sell	69.0126→69.3894	-2.56	timeout
06-19 15:25	SOL	Sell	68.3337→68.9273	-3.85	timeout
06-19 05:42	SOL	Sell	69.6346→68.4503	+6.47	timeout
06-18 21:33	SOL	Sell	69.7655→69.6734	+0.20	timeout
06-18 12:46	SOL	Sell	71.2793→71.4757	-1.48	timeout
06-17 19:46	SOL	Sell	73.7789→71.4107	+12.49	take_profit
06-17 16:27	SOL	Sell	72.1222→74.3493	-12.69	stop_loss
06-17 01:42	SOL	Sell	73.8899→73.586	+1.28	timeout
06-16 14:32	SOL	Sell	74.9118→72.5319	+12.35	take_profit
06-16 10:06	SOL	Sell	73.7599→74.8922	-6.50	timeout
06-15 22:21	SOL	Sell	75.3877→74.3121	+5.36	timeout
06-15 13:16	SOL	Sell	71.3483→73.5478	-12.69	stop_loss
06-14 16:32	SOL	Sell	68.4007→67.6501	+4.00	timeout
06-14 05:08	SOL	Sell	68.9107→68.5643	+1.61	timeout
06-13 22:59	SOL	Sell	68.0698→68.8933	-5.22	timeout
06-13 16:55	SOL	Sell	67.4059→67.9982	-3.87	timeout
06-13 09:13	SOL	Sell	66.944→67.3851	-3.02	timeout
06-13 02:59	SOL	Sell	66.642→66.942	-2.18	timeout
06-12 20:03	SOL	Sell	66.879→66.561	+1.51	timeout
06-12 12:19	SOL	Sell	66.545→66.917	-2.57	timeout
06-12 01:52	SOL	Sell	66.935→66.624	+1.50	timeout
06-11 19:54	SOL	Sell	65.6591→66.946	-8.17	timeout
06-11 01:40	SOL	Sell	62.6996→64.652	-12.80	stop_loss
06-10 21:08	SOL	Sell	64.8023→62.9874	+10.80	timeout
06-09 22:58	SOL	Sell	64.1694→65.5428	-8.95	timeout
06-09 16:05	SOL	Sell	66.2121→64.1106	+12.32	take_profit
06-09 09:04	SOL	Sell	65.8131→66.593	-5.12	timeout
06-08 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.977→66.761	+0.90	timeout
06-08 17:13	SOL	Sell	66.381→66.632	-1.88	timeout
06-08 10:05	SOL	Sell	65.9811→66.2809	-2.23	timeout
06-07 08:46	SOL	Sell	63.4365→65.3975	-12.80	stop_loss
06-06 21:42	SOL	Sell	62.1267→62.0623	+0.03	timeout
06-06 10:38	SOL	Sell	63.1725→61.1652	+12.33	take_profit
06-06 04:05	SOL	Sell	64.4693→62.4204	+12.28	take_profit
06-05 16:54	SOL	Sell	63.8914→65.8648	-12.71	stop_loss
06-05 14:55	SOL	Sell	65.0812→64.9077	+0.67	timeout
06-05 00:22	SOL	Sell	68.9747→68.6733	+1.35	timeout
06-04 13:59	SOL	Sell	69.2286→70.2905	-6.56	timeout
06-04 01:23	SOL	Sell	71.3403→69.0774	+12.27	take_profit
06-03 19:31	SOL	Sell	74.2549→71.8858	+12.37	take_profit
06-03 11:17	SOL	Sell	74.7348→75.6173	-5.09	timeout
06-03 08:14	SOL	Sell	74.5258→74.9922	-2.86	timeout
06-02 22:48	SOL	Sell	76.7925→74.3572	+12.30	take_profit
06-02 15:20	SOL	Sell	79.0681→76.5565	+12.30	take_profit
06-02 02:34	SOL	Sell	81.0728→80.4771	+2.56	timeout
06-01 18:49	SOL	Sell	80.8749→81.0041	-1.01	timeout
06-01 10:26	SOL	Sell	81.9067→80.8511	+4.83	timeout
06-01 02:26	SOL	Sell	81.7607→82.2513	-2.78	timeout
05-31 17:00	SOL	Sell	82.7186→81.6262	+4.93	timeout
05-30 22:42	SOL	Sell	82.8236→82.5364	+1.05	timeout
05-29 01:53	SOL	Sell	82.3896→82.1433	+0.84	timeout
05-28 18:43	SOL	Sell	81.0658→82.7404	-8.61	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

66

closed

50%

win rate

-11.57

total pnl ($)

-4.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	66	50%	-4.1	-11.57

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 23:18	SOL	Sell	stale_intent
06-26 23:17	SOL	Sell	stale_intent
06-26 02:35	SOL	Sell	stale_intent

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 66 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)

Postmortem feed (last 10)