btc_mempool_fee_spike_short_v42 · strategy

closed trades

45%

win rate

+73.11

total pnl ($)

1.555

weight

7d window — n=25 wr=40% pnl=+58.32 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 85 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 20:23	BTC	Sell	60283→59701	+3.55	timeout
06-26 13:36	BTC	Sell	59201→59229	-0.53	timeout
06-26 07:13	BTC	Sell	59263→60353	-7.72	timeout
06-25 13:58	BTC	Sell	61304.9→58244.9	+19.60	take_profit
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61739.9→58591.9	+20.02	take_profit
06-25 10:09	BTC	Sell	61051.9→61646.1	-4.25	timeout
06-25 04:08	BTC	Sell	60378→60838	-3.41	timeout
06-24 17:20	BTC	Sell	62638.9→59506	+19.60	take_profit
06-24 15:48	BTC	Sell	62772.9→60385	+14.82	timeout
06-24 09:45	BTC	Sell	62595.9→62633.1	-0.57	timeout
06-24 02:26	BTC	Sell	62436.9→62696.1	-2.00	timeout
06-23 20:07	BTC	Sell	62807.9→62464.1	+1.83	timeout
06-23 11:06	BTC	Sell	63955.8→62356.1	+9.57	timeout
06-23 04:50	BTC	Sell	64601.8→63768.2	+4.81	timeout
06-22 22:14	BTC	Sell	64181.8→64298.2	-1.09	timeout
06-22 16:10	BTC	Sell	63927.8→64729.2	-5.38	timeout
06-22 05:07	BTC	Sell	64147.8→64136.2	-0.28	timeout
06-21 23:04	BTC	Sell	64413.8→63644.2	+4.41	timeout
06-21 15:35	BTC	Sell	64325.8→64170.2	+0.59	timeout
06-21 09:21	BTC	Sell	63929.8→63959.2	-0.48	timeout
06-21 03:21	BTC	Sell	64254.8→64309.2	-0.70	timeout
06-20 21:19	BTC	Sell	63486.8→63942.2	-3.23	timeout
06-20 13:23	BTC	Sell	63436.8→63416.2	-0.21	timeout
06-20 07:23	BTC	Sell	62983.9→63750.2	-5.22	timeout
06-20 01:21	BTC	Sell	62656.9→63446.2	-5.40	timeout
06-19 19:18	BTC	Sell	62733.9→63024.2	-2.20	timeout
06-19 12:38	BTC	Sell	62987.9→62471.1	+2.88	timeout
06-19 06:23	BTC	Sell	62876.9→62794.1	+0.15	timeout
06-19 00:51	BTC	Sell	64301.8→63005.2	+7.66	timeout
06-18 17:58	BTC	Sell	63958.8→62543.1	+8.39	timeout
06-18 11:30	BTC	Sell	64468.8→64027.2	+2.41	timeout
06-18 05:09	BTC	Sell	65826.7→63711.2	+12.50	timeout
06-17 22:57	BTC	Sell	64761.8→64328.2	+2.31	timeout
06-17 16:53	BTC	Sell	65910.7→65816.3	+0.23	timeout
06-17 10:43	BTC	Sell	65685.7→64886.2	+4.55	timeout
06-17 04:22	BTC	Sell	65771.7→65816.3	-0.61	timeout
06-16 22:12	BTC	Sell	66502.7→65837.3	+3.68	timeout
06-16 15:49	BTC	Sell	66114.7→65792.3	+1.56	timeout
06-16 08:49	BTC	Sell	66467.7→66609.3	-1.22	timeout
06-16 02:36	BTC	Sell	66477.7→65797.3	+3.74	timeout
06-15 20:38	BTC	Sell	65695.7→66619.3	-5.96	timeout
06-15 14:14	BTC	Sell	65629.7→66401.3	-5.07	timeout
06-15 01:37	BTC	Sell	64271.8→65509.3	-8.05	timeout
06-14 23:28	BTC	Sell	63789.8→65743.1	-12.60	stop_loss
06-14 19:22	BTC	Sell	64311.8→63794.2	+2.89	timeout
06-14 10:47	BTC	Sell	64482.8→64540.2	-0.71	timeout
06-14 04:46	BTC	Sell	64133.8→64326.2	-1.58	timeout
06-13 22:45	BTC	Sell	63836.8→64493.2	-4.46	timeout
06-13 16:24	BTC	Sell	63520.8→63973.2	-3.22	timeout
06-13 10:01	BTC	Sell	63513.8→63728.2	-1.68	timeout
06-13 03:53	BTC	Sell	63790.8→63510.2	+1.40	timeout
06-12 21:50	BTC	Sell	63830.8→63454.2	+2.02	timeout
06-12 16:12	BTC	Sell	63497.8→63730.2	-1.81	timeout
06-12 09:59	BTC	Sell	63477.8→63725.2	-1.88	timeout
06-12 04:05	BTC	Sell	62685.9→63475.2	-5.37	timeout
06-11 21:47	BTC	Sell	62883.9→63523.2	-4.37	timeout
06-11 15:12	BTC	Sell	61995.9→62784.1	-5.41	timeout
06-11 08:59	BTC	Sell	61760.9→62911.1	-7.77	timeout
06-11 02:58	BTC	Sell	61978.9→62173.1	-1.59	timeout
06-10 20:27	BTC	Sell	61456.9→61876.1	-3.06	timeout
06-10 04:11	BTC	Sell	60987→62023.1	-7.20	timeout
06-09 22:12	BTC	Sell	62647.9→62023.1	+3.59	timeout
06-09 15:18	BTC	Sell	62939.9→61571.1	+8.35	timeout
06-09 09:18	BTC	Sell	63593.8→62889.1	+4.07	timeout
06-09 03:13	BTC	Sell	64169.8→62894.1	+7.59	timeout
06-08 21:07	BTC	Sell	63211.8→63637.2	-3.04	timeout
06-08 15:03	BTC	Sell	63034.8→64010.2	-6.53	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61754.9→63646	-12.61	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61556.9→63441.9	-12.61	stop_loss
06-07 19:42	BTC	Sell	62190.9→61271.1	+5.54	timeout
06-07 13:19	BTC	Sell	61532.9→61666.1	-1.22	timeout
06-07 06:36	BTC	Sell	60540→62218.1	-11.47	timeout
06-07 00:29	BTC	Sell	60694→60771	-0.86	timeout
06-06 18:11	BTC	Sell	60996.9→60570	+2.42	timeout
06-06 12:08	BTC	Sell	61413.9→61059.1	+1.93	timeout
06-06 06:04	BTC	Sell	60723→61145.1	-3.15	timeout
06-05 18:54	BTC	Sell	62289.9→59181	+19.62	take_profit
06-05 11:57	BTC	Sell	63763.8→62054.1	+10.38	timeout
06-05 09:15	BTC	Sell	61391.9→63284.8	-12.70	stop_loss
06-05 05:43	BTC	Sell	62960.9→62928.1	-0.18	timeout
06-04 17:58	BTC	Sell	63930.8→63504.2	+2.34	timeout
06-04 13:38	BTC	Sell	62288.9→64196.3	-12.62	stop_loss
06-04 02:01	BTC	Sell	65302.7→62043.1	+19.61	take_profit
06-04 01:51	BTC	Sell	65574.7→62301.1	+19.61	take_profit
06-03 23:49	BTC	Sell	67048.6→64275.2	+16.18	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

45%

win rate

+73.11

total pnl ($)

+21.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	85	45%	+21.5	+73.11

Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 15:16	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-26 08:39	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 16:23	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 16:23	BTC	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…