btc_mempool_fee_spike_short_v21 · strategy

closed trades

48%

win rate

+42.41

total pnl ($)

1.352

weight

7d window — n=15 wr=33% pnl=+23.99 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 61 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 21:12	BTC	Sell	60103→59690	+3.03	timeout
06-26 04:26	BTC	Sell	59733→59887	-1.76	timeout
06-26 03:56	BTC	Sell	58455.1→59893.9	-12.76	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61573.9→58820.9	+21.89	take_profit
06-24 20:50	BTC	Sell	59743→61213.7	-12.79	stop_loss
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62599.9→59850	+21.45	take_profit
06-24 14:57	BTC	Sell	62638.9→61028.1	+12.38	timeout
06-24 06:09	BTC	Sell	62293.9→62820.1	-4.64	timeout
06-23 21:57	BTC	Sell	62364.9→62561.1	-2.03	timeout
06-23 05:59	BTC	Sell	64586.8→63361.2	+9.06	timeout
06-22 22:02	BTC	Sell	64122.8→64342.2	-2.16	timeout
06-22 05:13	BTC	Sell	64168.8→64232.2	-0.94	timeout
06-21 09:25	BTC	Sell	63945.8→64040.2	-1.12	timeout
06-21 03:21	BTC	Sell	64206.8→64312.2	-1.27	timeout
06-20 04:53	BTC	Sell	63063.8→63556.2	-4.36	timeout
06-19 21:25	BTC	Sell	62406.9→63167.2	-6.52	timeout
06-19 11:43	BTC	Sell	62892.9→62640.1	+1.52	timeout
06-19 03:35	BTC	Sell	63189.8→62740.1	+3.09	timeout
06-18 18:50	BTC	Sell	64083.8→62756.1	+9.79	timeout
06-18 06:09	BTC	Sell	65365.7→63891.2	+10.83	timeout
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64830.8→66427.5	-12.75	stop_loss
06-17 07:41	BTC	Sell	65586.7→65500.3	+0.21	timeout
06-17 00:24	BTC	Sell	66531.7→65691.3	+5.90	timeout
06-16 16:06	BTC	Sell	66198.7→65818.3	+2.47	timeout
06-16 04:19	BTC	Sell	67071.6→66100.3	+6.77	timeout
06-15 16:10	BTC	Sell	65686.7→67304	-12.74	stop_loss
06-14 23:27	BTC	Sell	64115.8→65695.1	-12.76	stop_loss
06-14 22:27	BTC	Sell	64572.8→65127.3	-4.72	timeout
06-14 10:47	BTC	Sell	64463.8→64536.2	-1.00	timeout
06-14 04:23	BTC	Sell	63966.8→64483.2	-4.51	timeout
06-13 22:13	BTC	Sell	63743.8→64375.2	-5.39	timeout
06-13 15:14	BTC	Sell	63640.8→64270.2	-5.38	timeout
06-13 08:42	BTC	Sell	63529.8→63897.2	-3.30	timeout
06-13 02:06	BTC	Sell	63374.8→63777.2	-3.61	timeout
06-12 20:00	BTC	Sell	63065.8→63588.2	-4.59	timeout
06-12 13:45	BTC	Sell	63410.8→63176.2	+1.44	timeout
06-12 07:42	BTC	Sell	63752.8→63054.2	+5.05	timeout
06-12 01:39	BTC	Sell	62845.9→63314.2	-4.12	timeout
06-11 08:48	BTC	Sell	61537.9→63053.7	-12.71	stop_loss
06-11 03:03	BTC	Sell	62336.9→62145.1	+1.12	timeout
06-10 07:14	BTC	Sell	61762.9→62023.1	-2.61	timeout
06-10 01:09	BTC	Sell	62638.9→62023.1	+4.41	timeout
06-09 18:41	BTC	Sell	63300.8→61704.1	+12.20	timeout
06-09 12:02	BTC	Sell	63112.8→62747.1	+2.42	timeout
06-09 05:06	BTC	Sell	63499.8→63187.2	+2.01	timeout
06-08 23:01	BTC	Sell	63072.8→63419.2	-3.18	timeout
06-08 16:00	BTC	Sell	63105.8→63766.2	-5.61	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61760.9→63281.8	-12.77	stop_loss
06-07 07:56	BTC	Sell	60847→62345.3	-12.78	stop_loss
06-07 03:08	BTC	Sell	60591→61474.1	-7.71	timeout
06-06 21:04	BTC	Sell	61141.9→60710	+3.05	timeout
06-06 14:58	BTC	Sell	60931→60828	+0.39	timeout
06-05 20:30	BTC	Sell	59665→61134.6	-12.77	stop_loss
06-05 19:01	BTC	Sell	61777.9→59160	+20.77	timeout
06-05 18:52	BTC	Sell	62049.9→59325	+21.52	take_profit
06-05 11:57	BTC	Sell	63799.8→62013.1	+13.57	timeout
06-05 05:57	BTC	Sell	63450.8→62607.1	+6.17	timeout
06-04 17:25	BTC	Sell	63826.8→63132.2	+5.03	timeout
06-04 13:38	BTC	Sell	62543.9→64084.2	-12.77	stop_loss
06-04 01:50	BTC	Sell	65284.7→62418.1	+21.50	take_profit
06-03 23:54	BTC	Sell	67037.6→64094.2	+21.50	take_profit

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

48%

win rate

+42.41

total pnl ($)

+13.8 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	61	48%	+13.8	+42.41

Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 00:09	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 17:06	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 10:23	BTC	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…