btc_mempool_fee_spike_short_v15 · strategy

closed trades

48%

win rate

+96.11

total pnl ($)

1.654

weight

7d window — n=25 wr=52% pnl=+74.71 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 86 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 02:47	BTC	Sell	59661→60329	-6.04	timeout
06-26 20:22	BTC	Sell	60301→59713	+4.49	timeout
06-26 13:32	BTC	Sell	59216→59106	+0.50	timeout
06-26 07:13	BTC	Sell	59197→60371	-10.37	timeout
06-25 13:58	BTC	Sell	61282.9→58216.9	+24.56	take_profit
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61733.9→58560.9	+25.23	take_profit
06-25 10:09	BTC	Sell	61052.9→61646.1	-5.30	timeout
06-25 04:07	BTC	Sell	60371→60809	-4.09	timeout
06-24 17:19	BTC	Sell	62674.9→59545	+24.47	take_profit
06-24 15:52	BTC	Sell	62756.9→60461	+17.80	timeout
06-24 09:49	BTC	Sell	62602.9→62643.1	-0.73	timeout
06-24 02:27	BTC	Sell	62491.9→62694.1	-2.04	timeout
06-23 20:06	BTC	Sell	62786.9→62434.1	+2.36	timeout
06-23 10:41	BTC	Sell	63881.8→62261.1	+12.14	timeout
06-23 04:18	BTC	Sell	64704.8→63966.2	+5.25	timeout
06-22 22:11	BTC	Sell	64207.8→64319.2	-1.31	timeout
06-22 16:07	BTC	Sell	63935.8→64660.2	-6.14	timeout
06-22 04:56	BTC	Sell	64116.8→64055.2	+0.04	timeout
06-21 22:33	BTC	Sell	64273.8→63643.2	+4.45	timeout
06-21 15:33	BTC	Sell	64311.8→64177.2	+0.57	timeout
06-21 09:20	BTC	Sell	63928.8→63942.2	-0.48	timeout
06-21 03:20	BTC	Sell	64354.8→64287.2	+0.08	timeout
06-20 21:19	BTC	Sell	63486.8→63942.2	-4.04	timeout
06-20 13:23	BTC	Sell	63437.8→63421.2	-0.30	timeout
06-20 07:22	BTC	Sell	62987.9→63735.2	-6.38	timeout
06-20 01:21	BTC	Sell	62683.9→63455.2	-6.60	timeout
06-19 19:18	BTC	Sell	62720.9→63026.2	-2.87	timeout
06-19 12:07	BTC	Sell	62877.9→62588.1	+1.81	timeout
06-19 05:49	BTC	Sell	62595.9→62697.1	-1.28	timeout
06-19 00:17	BTC	Sell	63965.8→62848.1	+8.27	timeout
06-18 17:58	BTC	Sell	63950.8→62525.1	+10.57	timeout
06-18 11:33	BTC	Sell	64444.8→64018.2	+2.89	timeout
06-18 05:10	BTC	Sell	65910.7→63933.2	+14.56	timeout
06-17 22:56	BTC	Sell	64761.8→64360.2	+2.65	timeout
06-17 16:50	BTC	Sell	65984.7→65897.3	+0.24	timeout
06-17 10:27	BTC	Sell	65701.7→64897.2	+5.72	timeout
06-17 04:24	BTC	Sell	65782.7→65869.3	-1.08	timeout
06-16 22:18	BTC	Sell	66584.7→65838.3	+5.20	timeout
06-16 15:49	BTC	Sell	66113.7→65744.3	+2.38	timeout
06-16 08:43	BTC	Sell	66559.7→66574.3	-0.59	timeout
06-16 02:37	BTC	Sell	66468.7→65867.3	+4.08	timeout
06-15 20:38	BTC	Sell	65701.7→66604.3	-7.28	timeout
06-15 14:14	BTC	Sell	65631.7→66379.3	-6.15	timeout
06-15 01:37	BTC	Sell	64285.8→65529.3	-10.11	timeout
06-14 23:27	BTC	Sell	63775.8→65730.1	-15.77	stop_loss
06-14 19:21	BTC	Sell	64304.8→63794.2	+3.55	timeout
06-14 10:46	BTC	Sell	64482.8→64541.2	-0.89	timeout
06-14 04:46	BTC	Sell	64132.8→64328.2	-2.00	timeout
06-13 22:45	BTC	Sell	63842.8→64493.2	-5.53	timeout
06-13 16:24	BTC	Sell	63521.8→63973.2	-4.02	timeout
06-13 10:33	BTC	Sell	63460.8→63799.2	-3.07	timeout
06-13 04:30	BTC	Sell	63869.8→63516.2	+2.32	timeout
06-12 21:44	BTC	Sell	63862.8→63524.2	+2.23	timeout
06-12 15:27	BTC	Sell	63386.8→64249.2	-7.23	timeout
06-12 09:24	BTC	Sell	63485.8→63641.2	-1.63	timeout
06-12 03:21	BTC	Sell	62766.9→63437.2	-5.74	timeout
06-11 21:13	BTC	Sell	62811.9→63563.2	-6.36	timeout
06-11 15:12	BTC	Sell	61999.9→62760.1	-6.53	timeout
06-11 08:59	BTC	Sell	61773.9→62925.1	-9.71	timeout
06-11 02:58	BTC	Sell	61908.9→62189.1	-2.68	timeout
06-10 20:28	BTC	Sell	61471.9→61876.1	-3.71	timeout
06-10 04:10	BTC	Sell	60917→62023.1	-9.58	timeout
06-09 22:13	BTC	Sell	62662.9→62023.1	+4.60	timeout
06-09 15:18	BTC	Sell	62926.9→61619.1	+9.95	timeout
06-09 09:20	BTC	Sell	63644.8→62906.1	+5.35	timeout
06-09 03:13	BTC	Sell	64156.8→62894.1	+9.38	timeout
06-08 21:08	BTC	Sell	63206.8→63690.2	-4.25	timeout
06-08 15:03	BTC	Sell	63016.8→63963.2	-7.94	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61715.9→63606	-15.77	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61586.9→63474.9	-15.78	stop_loss
06-07 19:43	BTC	Sell	62181.9→61203.1	+7.40	timeout
06-07 13:19	BTC	Sell	61504.9→61669.1	-1.77	timeout
06-07 06:39	BTC	Sell	60627→62137.1	-12.93	timeout
06-07 00:30	BTC	Sell	60623→60821	-2.07	timeout
06-06 18:11	BTC	Sell	60996.9→60570	+3.02	timeout
06-06 12:09	BTC	Sell	61426.9→61058.1	+2.52	timeout
06-06 06:05	BTC	Sell	60760→61178.1	-3.90	timeout
06-06 00:20	BTC	Sell	62204.9→61249.1	+7.23	timeout
06-05 18:18	BTC	Sell	61842.9→60491	+10.51	timeout
06-05 11:57	BTC	Sell	63799.8→62013.1	+13.57	timeout
06-05 05:22	BTC	Sell	63207.8→63363.2	-1.71	timeout
06-04 22:22	BTC	Sell	62831.9→63301.2	-4.21	timeout
06-04 17:22	BTC	Sell	63630.8→63219.2	+2.83	timeout
06-04 01:51	BTC	Sell	65569.7→62297.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-04 01:49	BTC	Sell	65777.7→62494.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-03 23:48	BTC	Sell	67033.6→64251.2	+20.30	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

48%

win rate

+96.11

total pnl ($)

+22.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	86	48%	+22.3	+96.11

Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 15:02	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-26 08:37	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 16:23	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 16:23	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 10:12	BTC	Sell	trigger_already_opened

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…