btc_mempool_fee_spike_short_v13 · strategy

closed trades

44%

win rate

+38.65

total pnl ($)

1.465

weight

7d window — n=24 wr=42% pnl=+43.22 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 84 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 16:55	BTC	Sell	59820→60093	-2.68	timeout
06-26 08:41	BTC	Sell	59404→60166	-6.84	timeout
06-26 02:47	BTC	Sell	59366→58756.9	+4.65	timeout
06-25 13:59	BTC	Sell	60775→58105.9	+21.46	take_profit
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61734.9→59024	+21.49	take_profit
06-25 08:10	BTC	Sell	60787→61780.1	-8.60	timeout
06-25 03:07	BTC	Sell	60892→60753	+0.68	timeout
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62647.9→59893	+21.48	take_profit
06-24 14:43	BTC	Sell	62705.9→61064.1	+12.54	timeout
06-24 07:48	BTC	Sell	62266.9→62690.1	-3.83	timeout
06-24 00:57	BTC	Sell	62267.9→62944.1	-5.85	timeout
06-23 20:08	BTC	Sell	62799.9→62460.1	+2.25	timeout
06-23 10:07	BTC	Sell	64303.8→62532.1	+13.23	timeout
06-23 03:04	BTC	Sell	65077.7→64014.2	+7.74	timeout
06-22 22:00	BTC	Sell	64104.8→64308.2	-2.05	timeout
06-22 13:46	BTC	Sell	63913.8→65492	-12.77	stop_loss
06-22 03:18	BTC	Sell	64201.8→64207.2	-0.49	timeout
06-21 20:33	BTC	Sell	63981.8→64044.2	-0.95	timeout
06-21 12:04	BTC	Sell	64225.8→64156.2	+0.06	timeout
06-21 05:30	BTC	Sell	63953.8→64268.2	-2.87	timeout
06-20 23:15	BTC	Sell	63630.8→64240.2	-5.21	timeout
06-20 16:42	BTC	Sell	63564.8→63975.2	-3.68	timeout
06-20 08:43	BTC	Sell	63033.8→63439.2	-3.63	timeout
06-20 02:04	BTC	Sell	63196.8→63495.2	-2.82	timeout
06-19 19:19	BTC	Sell	62716.9→63009.2	-2.76	timeout
06-19 12:20	BTC	Sell	62890.9→62502.1	+2.59	timeout
06-19 06:20	BTC	Sell	62894.9→62783.1	+0.42	timeout
06-19 00:18	BTC	Sell	64026.8→62852.1	+8.72	timeout
06-18 17:58	BTC	Sell	63944.8→62525.1	+10.52	timeout
06-18 11:51	BTC	Sell	64446.8→63890.2	+3.90	timeout
06-18 05:41	BTC	Sell	65892.7→63938.2	+14.39	timeout
06-17 16:50	BTC	Sell	65990.7→65891.3	+0.31	timeout
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64694.8→66287.4	-12.77	stop_loss
06-17 10:41	BTC	Sell	65712.7→64908.2	+5.72	timeout
06-17 04:24	BTC	Sell	65782.7→65832.3	-0.80	timeout
06-16 22:18	BTC	Sell	66587.7→65835.3	+5.25	timeout
06-16 14:54	BTC	Sell	65781.7→65649.3	+0.60	timeout
06-16 08:43	BTC	Sell	66600.7→66579.3	-0.31	timeout
06-16 02:36	BTC	Sell	66475.7→65807.3	+4.58	timeout
06-15 16:10	BTC	Sell	65700.7→67318	-12.76	stop_loss
06-15 14:14	BTC	Sell	65631.7→66369.3	-6.07	timeout
06-15 00:14	BTC	Sell	64279.8→65863.2	-12.76	stop_loss
06-14 21:40	BTC	Sell	63783.8→65374.9	-12.92	stop_loss
06-14 19:21	BTC	Sell	64305.8→63803.2	+3.49	timeout
06-14 10:46	BTC	Sell	64489.8→64553.2	-0.93	timeout
06-14 04:46	BTC	Sell	64105.8→64327.2	-2.20	timeout
06-13 22:45	BTC	Sell	63833.8→64493.2	-5.60	timeout
06-13 16:23	BTC	Sell	63567.8→63989.2	-3.78	timeout
06-13 10:01	BTC	Sell	63510.8→63728.2	-2.12	timeout
06-13 03:39	BTC	Sell	63871.8→63483.2	+2.59	timeout
06-12 21:31	BTC	Sell	63769.8→63536.2	+1.40	timeout
06-12 15:39	BTC	Sell	63440.8→63946.2	-4.39	timeout
06-12 09:33	BTC	Sell	63483.8→63867.2	-3.43	timeout
06-12 03:26	BTC	Sell	62721.9→63376.2	-5.62	timeout
06-11 21:13	BTC	Sell	62791.9→63569.2	-6.57	timeout
06-11 15:18	BTC	Sell	62076.9→62655.1	-5.06	timeout
06-11 08:54	BTC	Sell	61729.9→62915.1	-10.00	timeout
06-11 02:53	BTC	Sell	61861.9→62034.1	-1.81	timeout
06-10 20:27	BTC	Sell	61457.9→61876.1	-3.82	timeout
06-10 04:35	BTC	Sell	61171.9→62023.1	-7.46	timeout
06-09 22:49	BTC	Sell	62655.9→62023.1	+4.55	timeout
06-09 16:06	BTC	Sell	62764.9→60926	+14.27	timeout
06-09 09:37	BTC	Sell	63731.8→62620.1	+8.26	timeout
06-09 03:28	BTC	Sell	64046.8→62805.1	+9.24	timeout
06-08 21:12	BTC	Sell	63231.8→63694.2	-4.09	timeout
06-08 15:03	BTC	Sell	63054.8→63964.2	-7.64	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61748.9→63269.8	-12.77	stop_loss
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61554.9→63070.7	-12.76	stop_loss
06-07 19:43	BTC	Sell	62186.9→61226.1	+7.25	timeout
06-07 08:48	BTC	Sell	61475.9→62989.6	-12.77	stop_loss
06-07 05:18	BTC	Sell	60596→62090.1	-12.79	stop_loss
06-07 00:30	BTC	Sell	60623→60821	-2.07	timeout
06-06 18:11	BTC	Sell	60984→60590	+2.75	timeout
06-06 12:09	BTC	Sell	61397.9→61065.1	+2.23	timeout
06-06 06:05	BTC	Sell	60741→61130.1	-3.66	timeout
06-05 18:51	BTC	Sell	62263.9→59530	+21.52	take_profit
06-05 11:57	BTC	Sell	63799.8→62013.1	+13.57	timeout
06-05 07:41	BTC	Sell	61370.9→62885.6	-12.79	stop_loss
06-05 05:22	BTC	Sell	63207.8→63349.2	-1.60	timeout
06-04 17:57	BTC	Sell	63955.8→63537.2	+2.86	timeout
06-04 12:50	BTC	Sell	62401.9→63938.1	-12.77	stop_loss
06-04 01:22	BTC	Sell	65538.7→62661.1	+21.50	take_profit
06-04 01:16	BTC	Sell	65826.7→62936.1	+21.50	take_profit
06-03 23:44	BTC	Sell	67126.6→64247.2	+21.00	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

44%

win rate

+38.65

total pnl ($)

+9.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	84	44%	+9.1	+38.65

Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 17:12	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-25 20:43	BTC	Sell	trigger_already_opened
06-24 15:23	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 15:22	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 10:04	BTC	Sell	trigger_already_opened

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…