btc_mempool_fee_spike_fear_gate_long_v3 · strategy

closed trades

34%

win rate

-378.56

total pnl ($)

0.327

weight

7d window — n=25 wr=32% pnl=-139.46 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 93 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 18:35	BTC	Buy	59418→60526	+8.92	timeout
06-27 16:32	BTC	Buy	59470→60648	+9.44	timeout
06-27 14:37	BTC	Buy	59603→60521	+7.24	timeout
06-26 02:21	BTC	Buy	59816→58342.9	-12.76	stop_loss
06-25 13:58	BTC	Buy	59674→58201	-12.72	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	BTC	Buy	60513→59022.5	-12.69	stop_loss
06-25 13:51	BTC	Buy	60662→59165.4	-12.72	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60840→59342.3	-12.72	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60859→59359.3	-12.72	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62399.1→60841.5	-12.90	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62384.1→60841.5	-12.78	stop_loss
06-24 14:17	BTC	Buy	62553.1→61000.4	-12.84	stop_loss
06-24 14:13	BTC	Buy	62621.1→61077.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-24 14:13	BTC	Buy	62633.1→61090.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-23 08:17	BTC	Buy	64012.2→62430.6	-12.81	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	BTC	Buy	64335.2→62753.5	-12.75	stop_loss
06-23 06:20	BTC	Buy	64447.2→62861.4	-12.77	stop_loss
06-23 06:20	BTC	Buy	64452.2→62865.4	-12.77	stop_loss
06-23 02:08	BTC	Buy	64213.2→64081.8	-1.47	timeout
06-23 00:05	BTC	Buy	64237.2→63995.8	-2.27	timeout
06-22 21:12	BTC	Buy	63941.2→64334.8	+2.61	timeout
06-22 19:08	BTC	Buy	63825.2→64320.8	+3.33	timeout
06-22 17:10	BTC	Buy	63860.2→64640.8	+5.62	timeout
06-20 23:52	BTC	Buy	62921.1→64255.8	+10.13	timeout
06-20 21:49	BTC	Buy	62897.1→64013.8	+8.45	timeout
06-20 19:45	BTC	Buy	62954.1→63916.8	+7.24	timeout
06-20 17:43	BTC	Buy	62568.1→63835.8	+9.66	timeout
06-20 15:22	BTC	Buy	63408.2→64188.8	+5.57	timeout
06-18 15:57	BTC	Buy	63920.2→62343.7	-12.64	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64294.2→62712.5	-12.72	stop_loss
06-18 15:18	BTC	Buy	64781.2→63182.2	-12.77	stop_loss
06-18 15:17	BTC	Buy	64899.2→63303.2	-12.73	stop_loss
06-18 15:06	BTC	Buy	65105.3→63504.1	-12.74	stop_loss
06-18 04:11	BTC	Buy	65432.3→63821.9	-12.76	stop_loss
06-17 19:29	BTC	Buy	65878.3→64251.6	-12.80	stop_loss
06-17 11:05	BTC	Buy	66259.3→64629.4	-12.87	stop_loss
06-17 08:44	BTC	Buy	66513.3→64876.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-17 08:40	BTC	Buy	66531.3→64894.3	-12.72	stop_loss
06-17 08:39	BTC	Buy	66596.3→64951.3	-12.77	stop_loss
06-17 07:54	BTC	Buy	66857.3→65212.1	-12.80	stop_loss
06-16 10:12	BTC	Buy	64487.2→66504.7	+15.18	timeout
06-15 22:49	BTC	Buy	64486.2→66172.7	+12.54	timeout
06-15 15:47	BTC	Buy	64227.2→67068.6	+21.70	take_profit
06-15 15:47	BTC	Buy	64187.2→67009.6	+21.57	take_profit
06-15 13:25	BTC	Buy	64076.2→66896.7	+21.60	take_profit
06-14 09:46	BTC	Buy	63862.2→64546.8	+4.80	timeout
06-13 22:25	BTC	Buy	63513.2→64419.8	+6.62	timeout
06-13 20:26	BTC	Buy	63424.2→64219.8	+5.81	timeout
06-13 18:23	BTC	Buy	63414.2→64082.8	+4.77	timeout
06-13 15:40	BTC	Buy	62814.1→64309.8	+11.41	timeout
06-12 08:33	BTC	Buy	61459.1→63488.8	+15.90	timeout
06-11 19:03	BTC	Buy	61770.1→63523.8	+13.47	timeout
06-11 18:00	BTC	Buy	61002→63696.8	+21.50	take_profit
06-11 17:00	BTC	Buy	61392.1→62527.9	+8.65	timeout
06-11 15:00	BTC	Buy	61469.1→62731.9	+9.63	timeout
06-09 16:25	BTC	Buy	62249.1→61026.9	-10.57	timeout
06-09 14:47	BTC	Buy	62718.1→61172.3	-12.78	stop_loss
06-09 14:29	BTC	Buy	63076.2→61525.1	-12.76	stop_loss
06-09 14:29	BTC	Buy	63129.2→61576.1	-12.77	stop_loss
06-09 14:04	BTC	Buy	63653.2→62086.8	-12.74	stop_loss
06-09 12:13	BTC	Buy	62188.1→62703.9	+3.81	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	61054.1→63734.8	+21.52	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60941→63616.8	+21.52	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60456→63109.8	+21.52	take_profit
06-07 15:37	BTC	Buy	60437→62032.9	+12.72	timeout
06-07 07:56	BTC	Buy	59712→62333.9	+21.55	take_profit
06-06 04:34	BTC	Buy	61002→59500.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-06 04:34	BTC	Buy	61076.1→59574.2	-12.75	stop_loss
06-06 04:11	BTC	Buy	61779.1→60259.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60855→59358.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 15:39	BTC	Buy	61671.1→60152.9	-12.74	stop_loss
06-05 14:04	BTC	Buy	62142.1→60608.6	-12.79	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62518.1→60978.4	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 13:52	BTC	Buy	62609.1→61068.4	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 06:23	BTC	Buy	62806.1→61260.3	-12.70	stop_loss
06-05 06:17	BTC	Buy	63368.2→61810	-12.66	stop_loss
06-05 06:03	BTC	Buy	63629.2→62057.9	-12.73	stop_loss
06-05 06:01	BTC	Buy	63684.2→62116.8	-12.72	stop_loss
06-05 05:59	BTC	Buy	63810.2→62229.8	-12.79	stop_loss
06-04 11:11	BTC	Buy	63715.2→62147.8	-12.72	stop_loss
06-04 01:16	BTC	Buy	64484.2→62898.4	-12.75	stop_loss
06-04 00:29	BTC	Buy	65077.3→63477.1	-12.74	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66384.3→64751.4	-12.79	stop_loss
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66425.3→64776.4	-12.92	stop_loss
06-03 19:55	BTC	Buy	66866.3→65221.1	-12.80	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	67041.4→65393	-12.77	stop_loss
06-03 16:27	BTC	Buy	67191.4→65535.9	-12.79	stop_loss
06-03 03:44	BTC	Buy	67351.4→65689.9	-12.79	stop_loss
06-03 03:43	BTC	Buy	67437.4→65778.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-03 03:43	BTC	Buy	67550.4→65888.7	-12.75	stop_loss
06-02 15:26	BTC	Buy	69006.5→67289	-12.90	stop_loss
06-02 14:26	BTC	Buy	69509.5→67796.7	-12.78	stop_loss
06-02 14:10	BTC	Buy	69985.5→68261.4	-12.78	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

34%

win rate

-378.56

total pnl ($)

-81.2 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	93	34%	-81.2	-378.56

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 19:18	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker
06-27 16:39	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…