btc_mempool_fee_spike_fade · strategy

closed trades

45%

win rate

-191.39

total pnl ($)

0.749

weight

7d window — n=25 wr=36% pnl=-78.98 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 83 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 13:32	BTC	Buy	59222→59100	-1.50	timeout
06-26 13:19	BTC	Buy	60307→58453.8	-15.82	stop_loss
06-26 07:13	BTC	Buy	59203→60365	+9.36	timeout
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	61289.1→59413.3	-15.75	stop_loss
06-25 13:45	BTC	Buy	61740.1→59842.1	-15.81	stop_loss
06-25 10:09	BTC	Buy	61059.1→61639.9	+4.30	timeout
06-25 04:07	BTC	Buy	60377→60803	+3.08	timeout
06-24 15:30	BTC	Buy	62681.1→60763.6	-15.73	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62763.1→60842.5	-15.74	stop_loss
06-24 09:49	BTC	Buy	62609.1→62636.9	-0.27	timeout
06-24 02:27	BTC	Buy	62498.1→62687.9	+1.04	timeout
06-23 20:11	BTC	Buy	62826.1→62473.9	-3.26	timeout
06-23 08:28	BTC	Buy	63888.2→61928.9	-15.75	stop_loss
06-23 04:18	BTC	Buy	64711.2→63959.8	-6.25	timeout
06-22 22:11	BTC	Buy	64214.2→64312.8	+0.31	timeout
06-22 16:07	BTC	Buy	63942.2→64653.8	+5.14	timeout
06-22 04:56	BTC	Buy	64123.2→64048.8	-1.04	timeout
06-21 22:33	BTC	Buy	64280.2→63636.8	-5.45	timeout
06-21 15:33	BTC	Buy	64318.2→64170.8	-1.57	timeout
06-21 09:20	BTC	Buy	63935.2→63935.8	-0.52	timeout
06-21 03:20	BTC	Buy	64361.2→64280.8	-1.08	timeout
06-20 21:19	BTC	Buy	63493.2→63935.8	+3.04	timeout
06-20 13:23	BTC	Buy	63444.2→63414.8	-0.70	timeout
06-20 07:22	BTC	Buy	62994.1→63728.8	+5.38	timeout
06-20 01:21	BTC	Buy	62690.1→63448.8	+5.60	timeout
06-19 19:18	BTC	Buy	62727.1→63019.8	+1.87	timeout
06-19 12:22	BTC	Buy	62894.1→62521.9	-3.36	timeout
06-19 05:55	BTC	Buy	62582.1→62712.9	+0.62	timeout
06-19 00:17	BTC	Buy	63972.2→62841.9	-9.27	timeout
06-18 17:58	BTC	Buy	63957.2→62518.9	-11.57	timeout
06-18 11:33	BTC	Buy	64451.2→64011.8	-3.89	timeout
06-17 22:56	BTC	Buy	64768.2→64353.8	-3.65	timeout
06-17 22:03	BTC	Buy	65917.3→63897.8	-15.76	stop_loss
06-17 16:50	BTC	Buy	65991.3→65890.7	-1.23	timeout
06-17 10:27	BTC	Buy	65708.3→64890.8	-6.72	timeout
06-17 04:24	BTC	Buy	65789.3→65862.7	+0.08	timeout
06-16 22:18	BTC	Buy	66591.3→65831.7	-6.20	timeout
06-16 15:49	BTC	Buy	66120.3→65737.7	-3.38	timeout
06-16 08:06	BTC	Buy	66574.3→66313.7	-2.39	timeout
06-16 02:01	BTC	Buy	66368.3→66259.7	-1.26	timeout
06-15 19:28	BTC	Buy	65975.3→66585.7	+4.13	timeout
06-15 12:23	BTC	Buy	65660.3→66246.7	+4.02	timeout
06-15 04:38	BTC	Buy	64144.2→65642.7	+11.22	timeout
06-14 22:38	BTC	Buy	64612.2→65387.7	+5.53	timeout
06-14 16:37	BTC	Buy	64419.2→64152.8	-2.54	timeout
06-14 10:11	BTC	Buy	64371.2→64519.8	+0.69	timeout
06-14 04:06	BTC	Buy	63982.2→64497.8	+3.60	timeout
06-13 22:04	BTC	Buy	63728.2→64420.8	+4.97	timeout
06-13 14:07	BTC	Buy	63778.2→64115.8	+2.17	timeout
06-13 07:13	BTC	Buy	63688.2→63693.8	-0.41	timeout
06-13 00:51	BTC	Buy	63438.2→63543.8	+0.34	timeout
06-12 17:52	BTC	Buy	63340.2→63820.8	+3.33	timeout
06-12 10:52	BTC	Buy	63497.2→63677.8	+0.93	timeout
06-12 04:50	BTC	Buy	62597.1→63687.8	+8.23	timeout
06-11 22:46	BTC	Buy	62906.1→63458.8	+3.88	timeout
06-11 15:20	BTC	Buy	62040.1→62658.9	+4.49	timeout
06-11 08:59	BTC	Buy	61780.1→62918.9	+8.71	timeout
06-11 02:58	BTC	Buy	61915.1→62182.9	+1.68	timeout
06-10 20:28	BTC	Buy	61478.1→61869.9	+2.71	timeout
06-10 06:06	BTC	Buy	61677.1→62016.9	+2.36	timeout
06-09 16:05	BTC	Buy	62839.1→60912.5	-15.80	stop_loss
06-09 14:36	BTC	Buy	63290.2→61353.2	-15.76	stop_loss
06-09 12:01	BTC	Buy	63050.2→62752.9	-2.78	timeout
06-09 05:50	BTC	Buy	63469.2→63352.8	-1.39	timeout
06-08 23:46	BTC	Buy	63609.2→63009.8	-5.17	timeout
06-08 17:41	BTC	Buy	62396.1→63332.8	+7.00	timeout
06-08 10:56	BTC	Buy	62866.1→63112.8	+1.51	timeout
06-08 02:04	BTC	Buy	61762.1→63073.8	+10.14	timeout
06-07 19:43	BTC	Buy	62191.1→61220.9	-8.22	timeout
06-07 10:03	BTC	Buy	60655→62386.9	+13.82	timeout
06-07 03:58	BTC	Buy	60795→61674.9	+6.78	timeout
06-06 21:53	BTC	Buy	60903→60810	-1.18	timeout
06-06 15:53	BTC	Buy	60674→60695	-0.27	timeout
06-06 04:27	BTC	Buy	61781.1→59870.1	-15.92	stop_loss
06-06 03:45	BTC	Buy	60220→60676	+3.33	timeout
06-05 13:52	BTC	Buy	63005.2→61075.4	-15.77	stop_loss
06-05 06:23	BTC	Buy	63162.2→61229.3	-15.75	stop_loss
06-05 06:21	BTC	Buy	63439.2→61493.2	-15.75	stop_loss
06-04 22:33	BTC	Buy	62512.1→63329.8	+6.11	timeout
06-04 17:55	BTC	Buy	64003.2→63552.8	-4.00	timeout
06-04 00:29	BTC	Buy	65508.3→63504.1	-15.75	stop_loss
06-04 00:26	BTC	Buy	65628.3→63621	-15.74	stop_loss
06-03 20:54	BTC	Buy	67038.4→64986.2	-15.78	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

45%

win rate

-191.39

total pnl ($)

-46.0 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	83	45%	-46.0	-191.39

Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 15:02	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-26 08:37	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-26 01:35	BTC	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 16:23	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-24 10:11	BTC	Buy	below_min_notional_skip

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…