btc_mempool_fee_spike_capitulation

not live
18
closed trades
39%
win rate
+4.96
total pnl ($)
1.126
weight
7d window — n=4 wr=0% pnl=-14.71  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 14:15:32 (39.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: adx
n: 15  ·  wr: 46.7%  ·  total_bps: -38.7  ·  mean_bps: -2.58  ·  sharpe: -0.03  ·  max_dd_bps: -353.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 18 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-26 07:11BTCSell59308→60384-6.00timeout
06-24 06:10BTCSell62309.9→62825.1-2.87timeout
06-22 05:34BTCSell64037.8→64237.2-1.26timeout
06-20 05:27BTCSell62838.9→63695.2-4.58timeout
06-18 05:11BTCSell65909.7→63898.2+9.34timeout
06-15 23:41BTCSell66185.7→66176.3-0.22timeout
06-13 16:51BTCSell63617.8→63920.2-1.78timeout
06-11 05:55BTCSell61868.9→62613.1-4.03timeout
06-09 05:14BTCSell63305.8→63235.2+0.07timeout
06-07 02:36BTCSell60965→61188.1-1.41timeout
06-05 02:04BTCSell64107.8→63288.2+3.74timeout
06-02 22:59BTCSell69579.5→66288.3+14.62take_profit
05-31 22:57BTCSell73837.3→73954.7-0.79timeout
05-29 20:57BTCSell73615.3→73605.7-0.23timeout
05-27 17:20BTCSell75567.2→74934.7+2.37timeout
05-25 16:12BTCSell77013.1→77550.9-2.44timeout
05-19 11:08BTCSell77095.1→77018.9+0.05timeout
05-17 08:45BTCSell78181.1→78015.9+0.39timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
18
closed
39%
win rate
+4.96
total pnl ($)
+8.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC1839%+8.4+4.96

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems