btc_mempool_congestion_short_v3

76

closed trades

50%

win rate

+105.14

total pnl ($)

1.567

weight

7d window — n=17 wr=47% pnl=+51.88 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-27 14:19:10 (32.6d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485394_78449

n: 4 · wr: 50.0% · total_bps: +180.3 · mean_bps: +45.07 · sharpe: +0.47 · max_dd_bps: -90.5

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 08:51	BTC	Sell	60258→60371	-1.39	timeout
06-28 02:05	BTC	Sell	60480→60242	+1.52	timeout
06-27 05:55	BTC	Sell	59983→60218	-2.34	timeout
06-26 21:07	BTC	Sell	60051→59682	+2.65	timeout
06-26 07:39	BTC	Sell	58626.1→60720.4	-18.31	stop_loss
06-26 04:11	BTC	Sell	59845→60001	-1.76	timeout
06-25 15:03	BTC	Sell	60767→59059	+13.55	timeout
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61575.9→58502.9	+24.49	take_profit
06-25 05:28	BTC	Sell	59723→61579.1	-16.02	timeout
06-24 17:20	BTC	Sell	62545.9→59406	+24.61	take_profit
06-24 14:56	BTC	Sell	62671.9→60984	+12.91	timeout
06-24 03:16	BTC	Sell	62303.9→62535.1	-2.28	timeout
06-23 20:24	BTC	Sell	62322.9→62438.1	-1.39	timeout
06-23 11:20	BTC	Sell	63890.8→62407.1	+11.09	timeout
06-23 03:04	BTC	Sell	65077.7→64014.2	+7.74	timeout
06-22 22:00	BTC	Sell	64104.8→64308.2	-2.05	timeout
06-22 05:14	BTC	Sell	64168.8→64264.2	-1.15	timeout
06-21 12:28	BTC	Sell	64231.8→63989.2	+1.41	timeout
06-21 03:20	BTC	Sell	64302.8→64287.2	-0.33	timeout
06-20 04:56	BTC	Sell	62979.9→63545.2	-4.93	timeout
06-19 21:24	BTC	Sell	62368.9→63210.2	-7.17	timeout
06-19 11:43	BTC	Sell	62892.9→62625.1	+1.63	timeout
06-19 03:33	BTC	Sell	63164.8→62729.1	+2.96	timeout
06-18 18:46	BTC	Sell	64078.8→62761.1	+9.70	timeout
06-18 05:54	BTC	Sell	66034.7→63893.2	+15.78	timeout
06-17 23:48	BTC	Sell	64826.8→64454.2	+2.42	timeout
06-17 07:43	BTC	Sell	65600.7→65523.3	+0.15	timeout
06-17 00:24	BTC	Sell	66549.7→65710.3	+5.90	timeout
06-16 10:40	BTC	Sell	66302.7→66566.3	-2.42	timeout
06-16 04:22	BTC	Sell	67146.6→66043.3	+7.74	timeout
06-15 22:20	BTC	Sell	65686.7→66334.3	-5.36	timeout
06-15 09:14	BTC	Sell	64067.8→65669.3	-12.96	timeout
06-14 22:27	BTC	Sell	64573.8→65126.3	-4.70	timeout
06-14 11:03	BTC	Sell	64428.8→64477.2	-0.82	timeout
06-14 05:00	BTC	Sell	64013.8→64343.2	-3.04	timeout
06-13 22:56	BTC	Sell	63789.8→64445.2	-5.57	timeout
06-13 14:41	BTC	Sell	63670.8→64192.2	-4.52	timeout
06-13 08:37	BTC	Sell	63515.8→63843.2	-2.98	timeout
06-13 02:03	BTC	Sell	63332.8→63796.2	-4.08	timeout
06-12 19:28	BTC	Sell	62975.9→63723.2	-6.38	timeout
06-12 13:47	BTC	Sell	63386.8→63197.2	+1.08	timeout
06-12 07:46	BTC	Sell	63615.8→63008.2	+4.35	timeout
06-12 01:42	BTC	Sell	62721.9→63348.2	-5.39	timeout
06-11 19:00	BTC	Sell	62716.9→63410.2	-5.91	timeout
06-11 09:12	BTC	Sell	61503.9→62824.1	-11.12	timeout
06-11 03:04	BTC	Sell	62163.9→62133.1	-0.17	timeout
06-10 04:49	BTC	Sell	61290.9→62023.1	-6.47	timeout
06-09 22:59	BTC	Sell	62767.9→62023.1	+5.43	timeout
06-09 11:59	BTC	Sell	63066.8→62704.1	+2.40	timeout
06-09 05:10	BTC	Sell	63435.8→63131.2	+1.96	timeout
06-08 23:03	BTC	Sell	63041.8→63402.2	-3.30	timeout
06-08 16:00	BTC	Sell	63105.8→63766.2	-5.61	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	61775.9→63978.2	-18.28	stop_loss
06-07 09:27	BTC	Sell	60865→62608.1	-14.78	timeout
06-07 03:09	BTC	Sell	60626→61461.1	-7.31	timeout
06-06 21:04	BTC	Sell	61131.9→60711	+2.96	timeout
06-06 14:58	BTC	Sell	60936→60834	+0.39	timeout
06-06 00:49	BTC	Sell	61949.9→61279.1	+4.96	timeout
06-05 20:47	BTC	Sell	59300→61412.8	-18.26	stop_loss
06-05 17:55	BTC	Sell	62711.9→60740	+15.31	timeout
06-05 09:57	BTC	Sell	63282.8→62835.1	+3.08	timeout
06-05 02:01	BTC	Sell	64237.8→63261.2	+7.15	timeout
06-04 18:57	BTC	Sell	63984.8→63864.2	+0.50	timeout
06-04 02:01	BTC	Sell	65259.7→62002.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-04 00:29	BTC	Sell	66734.7→63404.2	+24.49	take_profit
06-03 17:16	BTC	Sell	67207.6→65749.3	+10.43	timeout
06-03 12:46	BTC	Sell	66958.7→66970.3	-0.56	timeout
06-03 04:56	BTC	Sell	67494.6→66327.3	+8.21	timeout
06-02 19:33	BTC	Sell	69972.5→66479.3	+24.52	take_profit
06-02 08:03	BTC	Sell	71532.4→70070.5	+9.81	timeout
06-02 00:47	BTC	Sell	72130.4→71154.6	+6.39	timeout
06-01 16:31	BTC	Sell	73399.3→71058.6	+15.57	timeout
05-31 22:56	BTC	Sell	73831.3→73930.7	-1.13	timeout
05-31 00:21	BTC	Sell	73625.3→73874.7	-2.12	timeout
05-29 07:45	BTC	Sell	73472.3→73367.7	+0.28	timeout
05-29 00:44	BTC	Sell	73466.3→73781.7	-2.52	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

76

closed

50%

win rate

+105.14

total pnl ($)

+27.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	76	50%	+27.6	+105.14

time	sym	side	reason
06-29 01:10	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker
06-28 15:42	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 76 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)