btc_mempool_congestion_reversal_short_v4

57

closed trades

51%

win rate

+237.25

total pnl ($)

0.981

weight

7d window — n=15 wr=47% pnl=-8.98 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 17:14:15 (18.3d ago) · src: canon

verdict: PASS · strict: STRICT-PASS · batch: x3485394_18767

n: 25 · wr: 72.0% · total_bps: +3218.4 · mean_bps: +128.73 · sharpe: +0.58 · max_dd_bps: -427.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-21 21:26	SOL	Sell	72.1922→72.8619	-4.94	timeout
06-21 15:16	SOL	Sell	71.9202→73.9901	-14.69	timeout
06-20 05:07	SOL	Sell	68.9047→71.3794	-18.38	stop_loss
06-20 04:41	SOL	Sell	68.2908→70.746	-18.38	stop_loss
06-19 23:40	SOL	Sell	69.6266→69.4314	+0.88	timeout
06-19 15:30	SOL	Sell	69.8415→69.0574	+5.08	timeout
06-19 06:50	SOL	Sell	71.3093→68.5493	+19.00	timeout
06-18 15:36	SOL	Sell	74.0789→69.6534	+29.39	take_profit
06-17 19:43	SOL	Sell	73.8699→71.6347	+14.83	timeout
06-17 16:28	SOL	Sell	72.0912→74.6745	-18.34	stop_loss
06-17 12:24	SOL	Sell	74.9308→71.7908	+20.38	timeout
06-17 04:07	SOL	Sell	73.7029→73.7361	-0.72	timeout
06-16 16:22	SOL	Sell	75.5387→73.325	+14.20	timeout
06-15 13:18	SOL	Sell	71.4073→73.9921	-18.55	stop_loss
06-14 23:27	SOL	Sell	68.4327→70.9301	-18.75	stop_loss
06-14 23:03	SOL	Sell	68.8557→70.3926	-11.71	timeout
06-14 17:00	SOL	Sell	68.0528→67.4651	+3.70	timeout
06-14 10:56	SOL	Sell	67.3359→68.1632	-6.70	timeout
06-13 21:42	SOL	Sell	66.847→69.245	-18.50	stop_loss
06-13 21:42	SOL	Sell	66.53→68.9148	-18.52	stop_loss
06-13 15:55	SOL	Sell	67.5199→68.5263	-8.02	timeout
06-13 09:52	SOL	Sell	67.2269→67.2941	-1.04	timeout
06-13 03:36	SOL	Sell	66.867→66.809	-0.13	timeout
06-12 19:47	SOL	Sell	66.973→67	-0.82	timeout
06-12 13:45	SOL	Sell	65.5872→66.635	-8.29	timeout
06-11 15:05	SOL	Sell	64.8943→65.1098	-1.96	timeout
06-11 01:42	SOL	Sell	62.7306→65.0052	-18.58	stop_loss
06-10 17:05	SOL	Sell	64.3673→64.7967	-3.85	timeout
06-10 11:03	SOL	Sell	66.2021→63.7076	+18.26	timeout
06-10 02:57	SOL	Sell	65.8071→65.5428	+1.37	timeout
06-09 17:07	SOL	Sell	66.811→64.3967	+17.53	timeout
06-09 11:04	SOL	Sell	66.0201→66.2129	-2.05	timeout
06-09 04:01	SOL	Sell	66.357→65.9299	+2.56	timeout
06-07 22:15	SOL	Sell	65.2082→67.5639	-18.69	stop_loss
06-07 08:46	SOL	Sell	63.1845→65.4495	-18.73	stop_loss
06-07 04:42	SOL	Sell	61.9017→64.1207	-18.48	stop_loss
06-07 01:37	SOL	Sell	61.6817→63.8985	-18.42	stop_loss
06-06 04:33	SOL	Sell	64.4273→60.5791	+29.31	take_profit
06-06 04:32	SOL	Sell	64.5493→60.6871	+29.22	take_profit
06-05 19:07	SOL	Sell	65.8771→61.9393	+29.40	take_profit
06-05 06:16	SOL	Sell	69.6655→65.5048	+29.03	take_profit
06-05 06:03	SOL	Sell	69.9895→65.8099	+29.17	take_profit
06-04 02:04	SOL	Sell	71.4753→67.1901	+29.46	take_profit
06-04 01:16	SOL	Sell	74.3558→69.9115	+29.26	take_profit
06-04 01:09	SOL	Sell	74.6928→70.2315	+29.06	take_profit
06-04 00:38	SOL	Sell	74.8648→70.3906	+29.04	take_profit
06-03 03:50	SOL	Sell	76.8165→72.2158	+29.42	take_profit
06-02 19:33	SOL	Sell	79.5391→74.7782	+29.34	take_profit
06-02 15:30	SOL	Sell	80.9609→76.1174	+29.28	take_profit
06-02 12:47	SOL	Sell	80.8859→79.0459	+10.87	timeout
06-02 04:26	SOL	Sell	81.8947→80.7181	+6.65	timeout
06-01 20:26	SOL	Sell	81.7497→81.0492	+3.75	timeout
06-01 10:56	SOL	Sell	82.5936→81.0602	+8.98	timeout
05-31 16:34	SOL	Sell	82.8406→81.4262	+8.10	timeout
05-30 14:54	SOL	Sell	81.1768→82.6064	-9.17	timeout
05-29 19:45	SOL	Sell	82.3177→82.3223	-0.33	timeout
05-29 12:44	SOL	Sell	81.0658→81.4282	-2.56	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

57

closed

51%

win rate

+237.25

total pnl ($)

+84.7 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

1

closed

0%

win rate

-4.19

total pnl ($)

-274.4 bps

avg bps net

Live: 1 trades (insufficient sample, <5)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	57	51%	+84.7	+237.25

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 57 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)