btc_mempool_congestion_event_short_v3

85

closed trades

42%

win rate

+132.74

total pnl ($)

1.523

weight

7d window — n=17 wr=35% pnl=+44.46 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-01 06:31:39 (28.0d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485394_06718

n: 15 · wr: 40.0% · total_bps: +449.7 · mean_bps: +29.98 · sharpe: +0.31 · max_dd_bps: -183.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 03:18	BTC	Sell	60751→60208	+4.02	timeout
06-27 17:22	BTC	Sell	60241→60547	-2.99	timeout
06-27 11:20	BTC	Sell	59994→60300	-2.98	timeout
06-27 05:12	BTC	Sell	60203→60268	-0.99	timeout
06-26 23:09	BTC	Sell	59391→60043	-5.92	timeout
06-26 16:57	BTC	Sell	59855→60018	-1.77	timeout
06-26 10:28	BTC	Sell	59776→59753	-0.24	timeout
06-26 04:05	BTC	Sell	59483→59881	-3.83	timeout
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61710.9→58575.9	+24.94	take_profit
06-25 04:56	BTC	Sell	59552→61375.7	-15.77	stop_loss
06-24 17:21	BTC	Sell	62496.9→59373	+24.51	take_profit
06-24 14:57	BTC	Sell	62638.9→61033.1	+12.34	timeout
06-24 03:33	BTC	Sell	62363.9→62749.1	-3.51	timeout
06-23 21:16	BTC	Sell	62435.9→62507.1	-1.03	timeout
06-23 08:02	BTC	Sell	64595.8→62875.1	+12.87	timeout
06-23 01:37	BTC	Sell	65252.7→64003.2	+9.11	timeout
06-22 18:29	BTC	Sell	64087.8→64587.2	-4.31	timeout
06-22 04:20	BTC	Sell	64147.8→63880.2	+1.66	timeout
06-21 13:39	BTC	Sell	64210.8→64015.2	+1.04	timeout
06-21 07:37	BTC	Sell	63848.8→64198.2	-3.19	timeout
06-21 01:35	BTC	Sell	63354.8→64217.2	-7.23	timeout
06-20 06:45	BTC	Sell	63031.8→63737.2	-6.04	timeout
06-20 00:24	BTC	Sell	62504.9→63451.2	-8.01	timeout
06-19 18:16	BTC	Sell	62772.9→63133.2	-3.31	timeout
06-19 11:39	BTC	Sell	62863.9→62590.1	+1.69	timeout
06-19 04:14	BTC	Sell	62643.9→62859.1	-2.19	timeout
06-18 22:10	BTC	Sell	64015.8→62912.1	+8.12	timeout
06-18 16:05	BTC	Sell	64171.8→62545.1	+12.04	timeout
06-18 10:04	BTC	Sell	63926.8→64157.2	-2.21	timeout
06-18 04:00	BTC	Sell	65773.7→64258.2	+11.08	timeout
06-17 21:56	BTC	Sell	64815.8→64212.2	+4.20	timeout
06-17 15:52	BTC	Sell	65793.7→65762.3	-0.29	timeout
06-17 09:54	BTC	Sell	65746.7→64875.2	+6.21	timeout
06-17 03:40	BTC	Sell	65841.7→65795.3	-0.08	timeout
06-16 21:34	BTC	Sell	66678.7→65692.3	+6.99	timeout
06-16 15:30	BTC	Sell	65964.7→65861.3	+0.37	timeout
06-16 09:25	BTC	Sell	66500.7→66636.3	-1.47	timeout
06-16 03:23	BTC	Sell	66621.7→65717.3	+6.33	timeout
06-15 21:19	BTC	Sell	65751.7→66499.3	-6.10	timeout
06-14 22:26	BTC	Sell	64576.8→65168.3	-5.01	timeout
06-14 11:03	BTC	Sell	64428.8→64477.2	-0.82	timeout
06-14 04:46	BTC	Sell	64108.8→64327.2	-2.18	timeout
06-13 22:44	BTC	Sell	63841.8→64485.2	-5.47	timeout
06-13 14:47	BTC	Sell	63593.8→64191.2	-5.13	timeout
06-13 07:45	BTC	Sell	63637.8→63818.2	-1.86	timeout
06-13 01:42	BTC	Sell	63086.8→63792.2	-6.00	timeout
06-12 18:20	BTC	Sell	63146.8→63671.2	-4.60	timeout
06-12 08:14	BTC	Sell	63508.8→63285.2	+1.37	timeout
06-12 02:10	BTC	Sell	62799.9→63753.2	-7.99	timeout
06-11 09:11	BTC	Sell	61501.9→62830.1	-11.19	timeout
06-11 03:06	BTC	Sell	61997.9→62038.1	-0.73	timeout
06-10 20:56	BTC	Sell	61237.9→61699.1	-4.20	timeout
06-10 05:12	BTC	Sell	61491.9→62023.1	-4.82	timeout
06-09 23:13	BTC	Sell	62552.9→62023.1	+3.73	timeout
06-09 15:04	BTC	Sell	62784.9→61425.1	+10.39	timeout
06-09 05:12	BTC	Sell	63408.8→63134.2	+1.72	timeout
06-08 23:07	BTC	Sell	63188.8→63445.2	-2.47	timeout
06-08 16:00	BTC	Sell	63096.8→63764.2	-5.66	timeout
06-07 14:57	BTC	Sell	61505.9→61909.1	-3.72	timeout
06-07 03:18	BTC	Sell	60416→61559.1	-9.88	timeout
06-06 21:14	BTC	Sell	61233.9→60810	+2.98	timeout
06-06 10:55	BTC	Sell	61773.9→60506	+9.80	timeout
06-05 21:15	BTC	Sell	60176→62019.1	-15.76	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Sell	62584.9→59461	+24.53	take_profit
06-05 06:24	BTC	Sell	63576.8→61435.1	+16.36	timeout
06-04 19:59	BTC	Sell	63572.8→63659.2	-1.13	timeout
06-04 01:56	BTC	Sell	65382.7→62119.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-04 00:29	BTC	Sell	66801.7→63467.2	+24.50	take_profit
06-03 16:42	BTC	Sell	66347.7→65893.3	+3.00	timeout
06-03 14:12	BTC	Sell	66822.7→66780.3	-0.11	timeout
06-03 06:12	BTC	Sell	67584.6→67135.4	+2.90	timeout
06-02 21:46	BTC	Sell	69372.5→67666.4	+11.86	timeout
06-02 15:14	BTC	Sell	70878.5→67810.4	+21.21	timeout
06-02 07:55	BTC	Sell	71533.4→70161.5	+9.18	timeout
06-02 00:25	BTC	Sell	72193.4→71180.6	+6.64	timeout
06-01 04:39	BTC	Sell	73510.3→73427.7	+0.13	timeout
05-31 19:54	BTC	Sell	73845.3→73517.7	+1.76	timeout
05-31 04:42	BTC	Sell	73906.3→74148.7	-2.06	timeout
05-30 18:08	BTC	Sell	73501.3→73993.7	-3.74	timeout
05-30 03:14	BTC	Sell	73684.3→73739.7	-0.81	timeout
05-29 20:00	BTC	Sell	73576.3→73533.7	-0.13	timeout
05-29 14:42	BTC	Sell	73316.3→72664.6	+4.07	timeout
05-29 07:59	BTC	Sell	73388.3→73497.7	-1.17	timeout
05-29 00:53	BTC	Sell	73504.3→73719.7	-1.84	timeout
05-28 18:49	BTC	Sell	73149.3→73606.7	-3.50	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

85

closed

42%

win rate

+132.74

total pnl ($)

+31.0 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	85	42%	+31.0	+132.74

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 85 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)