btc_marubozu_continuation

not live
113
closed trades
45%
win rate
-73.60
total pnl ($)
1.217
weight
7d window — n=14 wr=36% pnl=-1.09  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?


Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-27 06:52BTCBuy60315→60346-0.19timeout
06-27 01:43BTCBuy60026→59952-1.07timeout
06-26 19:09BTCBuy59824→59846-0.29timeout
06-26 03:39BTCSell58670.1→59475.7-7.32stop_loss
06-26 00:06BTCBuy59653→59823+0.97timeout
06-25 16:09BTCSell59077→59886.9-7.31stop_loss
06-25 13:45BTCSell61314.9→59971+10.50take_profit
06-25 00:42BTCBuy60866→60862-0.49timeout
06-24 15:09BTCSell62185.9→60823+10.50take_profit
06-23 10:20BTCSell62883.9→62395.1+3.40timeout
06-23 02:38BTCSell63893.8→64163.2-2.56timeout
06-22 15:35BTCBuy64583.2→65038.7+3.07timeout
06-22 01:23BTCSell63369.8→64235.3-7.27stop_loss
06-20 13:58BTCBuy63727.2→63398.8-3.03timeout
06-19 11:41BTCSell62494.9→62608.1-1.37timeout
06-19 07:17BTCSell62473.9→62739.1-2.58timeout
06-18 20:01BTCSell62296.9→63154.7-7.35stop_loss
06-18 15:51BTCSell63945.8→62544.1+10.48take_profit
06-18 07:26BTCSell64336.8→64231.2+0.37timeout
06-17 18:04BTCBuy66088.3→65188.1-7.27stop_loss
06-17 12:48BTCSell64949.8→65003.3-0.85timeout
06-16 17:29BTCSell66030.7→65720.3+1.91timeout
06-16 12:53BTCBuy66801.3→66356.7-3.79timeout
06-16 06:55BTCSell65755.7→66483.3-6.00timeout
06-15 19:49BTCBuy67108.4→66574.7-4.44timeout
06-15 14:56BTCBuy65891.3→66613.7+5.03timeout
06-15 07:43BTCBuy65821.3→65712.7-1.28timeout
06-15 01:33BTCBuy64835.2→65436.7+4.18timeout
06-14 18:41BTCSell63898.8→63766.2+0.60timeout
06-13 20:35BTCSell63953.8→64231.2-2.62timeout
06-12 18:25BTCBuy63422.2→63707.8+1.80timeout
06-12 13:32BTCBuy63853.2→63287.8-4.89timeout
06-12 09:50BTCSell63336.8→63824.2-4.28timeout
06-12 05:35BTCSell63315.8→63428.2-1.33timeout
06-11 01:19BTCSell61385.9→62222.2-7.26stop_loss
06-10 20:45BTCSell62154.9→61789.1+2.50timeout
06-10 16:32BTCBuy61647.1→62236.9+4.32timeout
06-09 18:42BTCSell61405.9→61665.1-2.55timeout
06-09 02:14BTCSell63267.8→62716.1+3.91timeout
06-08 03:47BTCBuy63376.2→63083.8-2.76timeout
06-07 22:12BTCSell61409.9→62246.2-7.26stop_loss
06-07 18:22BTCBuy61934.1→62161.9+1.40timeout
06-07 13:47BTCSell62464.9→61744.1+5.32timeout
06-07 05:13BTCBuy61321.1→61770.9+3.22timeout
06-06 14:19BTCSell60475→60923-4.16timeout
06-06 03:31BTCBuy61422.1→60584.7-7.27stop_loss
06-05 16:13BTCSell59883→60699.4-7.27stop_loss
06-05 15:37BTCSell61639.9→60289+10.50take_profit
06-05 07:27BTCSell61464.9→62302.2-7.26stop_loss
06-05 04:58BTCSell62596.9→63453.9-7.30stop_loss
06-05 00:27BTCSell63181.8→63794.2-5.29timeout
06-04 12:48BTCSell63077.8→63937.1-7.27stop_loss
06-04 07:05BTCBuy63752.2→63816.8+0.05timeout
06-03 23:03BTCBuy65390.3→64496.5-7.28stop_loss
06-03 19:17BTCSell66413.7→65972.3+2.89timeout
06-03 09:07BTCBuy66954.3→66965.7-0.39timeout
06-03 05:04BTCSell65998.7→66897.8-7.26stop_loss
06-03 02:14BTCSell67197.6→66821.3+2.35timeout
06-02 19:31BTCBuy67941.4→66553.4-10.67stop_loss
06-02 05:57BTCSell70741.5→70363.5+2.25timeout
06-01 05:46BTCSell73420.3→73397.7-0.29timeout
05-29 11:44BTCSell73370.3→73489.7-1.26timeout
05-28 17:34BTCSell72924.4→73444.7-3.99timeout
05-28 07:36BTCSell73418.3→73401.7-0.33timeout
05-28 01:44BTCSell74656.3→74245.7+2.30timeout
05-27 21:41BTCSell74907.3→74673.7+1.12timeout
05-27 17:29BTCSell75154.2→74985.7+0.68timeout
05-26 19:53BTCSell76273.2→76045.8+1.05timeout
05-26 14:35BTCBuy77215.9→77455.1+1.09timeout
05-26 04:40BTCSell76870.2→76722.8+0.51timeout
05-25 06:07BTCBuy77442.9→77343.1-1.11timeout
05-24 23:39BTCSell76085.2→77117.4-7.23stop_loss
05-24 17:56BTCSell76666.2→76664.8-0.43timeout
05-23 22:21BTCBuy75851.8→76655.2+4.84timeout
05-23 17:49BTCBuy75085.8→75373.2+1.45timeout
05-23 11:50BTCSell74954.3→74754.7+0.88timeout
05-22 23:39BTCSell75796.2→75736.8-0.05timeout
05-22 18:20BTCSell76921.2→76850.8+0.02timeout
05-21 21:15BTCBuy77538.9→77752.1+0.91timeout
05-21 04:49BTCBuy77867.9→77975.1+0.23timeout
05-20 17:32BTCSell77222.1→77517.9-2.34timeout
05-20 09:11BTCBuy77231.9→77411.1+0.69timeout
05-19 05:26BTCSell76689.2→76670.8-0.32timeout
05-18 22:19BTCSell76320.2→77105.9-5.58timeout
05-18 14:17BTCBuy77617.9→76558.9-7.28stop_loss
05-18 02:23BTCSell77994.1→76975.8+6.08timeout
05-16 10:49BTCSell78677.1→77886.9+4.58timeout
05-15 17:29BTCSell79981→79413+3.10timeout
05-15 11:27BTCBuy80959→80565-2.88timeout
05-12 02:43BTCSell81715.9→81724.1-0.50timeout
05-11 07:14BTCSell80703→80757-0.77timeout
05-10 22:33BTCSell80886→81983.1-7.23stop_loss
05-08 17:47BTCSell79545→80185-4.46timeout
05-07 17:38BTCSell80681→79823+4.88timeout
05-07 04:45BTCSell80975→80882+0.13timeout
05-06 17:47BTCSell81777.9→81425.1+1.70timeout
05-06 09:40BTCBuy80278→82040.9+10.46take_profit
05-04 21:11BTCBuy80378→80094-2.20timeout
05-04 14:27BTCSell78374.1→79293-6.32timeout
05-04 10:27BTCSell79545→78381.9+6.86timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
113
closed
45%
win rate
-73.60
total pnl ($)
-13.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC11345%-13.0-73.60

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-08 17:47BTCSell-4.46The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down 2.47% over 24 hours, but the short thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching a target or stop, resulting in a small loss from the timeout close reason.
05-07 17:38BTCSell+4.88The market was in a mild downtrend across timeframes with negative 24h and 7d performance for BTC and ETH. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow, grinding decline did not trigger a…
05-07 04:45BTCSell+0.13The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down across all timeframes and low funding rates. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow, grinding decline did not trigger an exit condition.
05-06 17:47BTCSell+1.70The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.47% over 24 hours and negative funding. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the allotted time.
05-06 09:40BTCBuy+10.46BTC was in a mild downtrend across all timeframes with negative funding and declining open interest. The long thesis succeeded because the take_profit was triggered by a short-term bounce against the prevailing bearish bias.
05-04 21:11BTCBuy-2.20The market was in a tight consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and low volatility, causing the trade to expire without a decisive move. The thesis failed because the anticipated breakout never materialized, resulting in a timeout close due to the …
05-04 14:27BTCSell-6.32The market was in a tight consolidation phase with neutral funding rates and low volatility, creating an environment where directional bets faced immediate pressure. The trade failed because the anticipated breakdown never materialized, resulting in a force…
05-03 01:38BTCBuy-6.38# Trade Analysis: BTC Marubozu Continuation The market was drifting sideways with minimal intraday momentum (1h: +0.09%, 24h: +0.24%) while negative funding rates (-0.0026%) signaled weakening leverage demand, contradicting the bullish continuation setup. …
05-02 00:41BTCSell-2.43# Trade Analysis: BTC Marubozu Continuation (Sell) Bitcoin was consolidating near session lows with extremely tight funding rates (-0.011%), indicating neutral to slightly bearish sentiment despite elevated open interest, providing no fresh momentum to sus…
05-01 16:34BTCBuy+1.40Bitcoin was consolidating within a narrow range near $78,255, showing modest hourly weakness (-0.48%) despite underlying 24-hour strength (+2.52%), with funding rates slightly negative suggesting mild deleveraging pressure. The bullish marubozu continuation…