105
closed trades
40%
win rate
-100.32
total pnl ($)
1.188
weight
7d window — n=11 wr=45% pnl=-5.99
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:27 | BTC | Sell | 60380→60420 | -0.77 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:40 | BTC | Sell | 60463→59906 | +4.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:14 | BTC | Buy | 58621.9→60495 | +15.53 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:57 | BTC | Buy | 59337→58233 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:19 | BTC | Buy | 62076.1→60879.5 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 14:00 | BTC | Buy | 62853.1→62437.9 | -3.73 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:00 | BTC | Buy | 64002.2→63346.8 | -5.58 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:34 | BTC | Sell | 64585.8→64437.2 | +0.70 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:11 | BTC | Buy | 63429.2→64215.8 | +5.75 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:50 | BTC | Sell | 64377.8→64120.2 | +1.54 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:02 | BTC | Sell | 64230.8→64206.2 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:36 | BTC | Sell | 63608.8→64098.2 | -4.28 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:04 | BTC | Sell | 63538.8→63669.2 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 06-19 17:16 | BTC | Buy | 62469.1→62965.9 | +3.52 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:15 | BTC | Buy | 62587.1→62413.9 | -1.79 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 63940.2→62750.5 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 10:00 | BTC | Buy | 64259.2→64153.8 | -1.29 | timeout |
| 06-17 15:19 | BTC | Buy | 65007.3→65174.7 | +0.84 | timeout |
| 06-17 07:23 | BTC | Buy | 65515.3→65510.7 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:20 | BTC | Buy | 65734.3→65781.7 | -0.11 | timeout |
| 06-16 09:02 | BTC | Buy | 65735.3→66820.7 | +7.81 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | BTC | Sell | 67137.6→66404.3 | +5.02 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:25 | BTC | Sell | 65721.7→66950.8 | -9.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 06:02 | BTC | Sell | 65686.7→65798.3 | -1.30 | timeout |
| 06-14 15:59 | BTC | Sell | 64595.8→64002.2 | +4.18 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:10 | BTC | Sell | 64626.8→64222.2 | +2.68 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:05 | BTC | Sell | 64209.8→64293.2 | -1.09 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:31 | BTC | Sell | 63768.8→64018.2 | -2.39 | timeout |
| 06-12 06:12 | BTC | Sell | 63659.8→63282.2 | +2.53 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:01 | BTC | Sell | 63028.8→63709.2 | -5.82 | timeout |
| 06-11 09:56 | BTC | Sell | 62674.9→62908.1 | -2.28 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:16 | BTC | Buy | 61033.1→61896.9 | +6.62 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:30 | BTC | Buy | 62624.1→61459.2 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 06:34 | BTC | Buy | 62727.1→63353.8 | +4.53 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:37 | BTC | Sell | 63778.8→63371.2 | +2.77 | timeout |
| 06-07 15:17 | BTC | Sell | 62798.9→61721.1 | +8.13 | timeout |
| 06-07 06:36 | BTC | Sell | 61131.9→62274.2 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:32 | BTC | Buy | 59707→60312 | +4.61 | timeout |
| 06-05 15:39 | BTC | Buy | 61251.1→60069.9 | -10.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:22 | BTC | Buy | 62582.1→61414.2 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 02:02 | BTC | Buy | 62928.1→61758 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 22:22 | BTC | Buy | 65775.3→65006.7 | -6.29 | timeout |
| 06-03 00:30 | BTC | Buy | 67307.4→66735.7 | -4.70 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:00 | BTC | Buy | 70232.5→68926.1 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 07:45 | BTC | Buy | 70926.5→70149.5 | -5.97 | timeout |
| 05-31 20:04 | BTC | Buy | 73771.7→73598.3 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 05-31 06:32 | BTC | Sell | 73981.3→74037.7 | -0.82 | timeout |
| 05-30 23:23 | BTC | Sell | 73952.3→73818.7 | +0.48 | timeout |
| 05-29 23:01 | BTC | Sell | 74115.3→73388.7 | +4.46 | timeout |
| 05-29 12:51 | BTC | Sell | 73717.3→73308.7 | +2.33 | timeout |
| 05-28 14:31 | BTC | Buy | 73196.7→73006.3 | -1.78 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:56 | BTC | Buy | 74434.7→73048.8 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 18:06 | BTC | Buy | 75656.8→74839.3 | -5.87 | timeout |
| 05-27 07:05 | BTC | Buy | 75980.8→75790.2 | -1.67 | timeout |
| 05-26 23:06 | BTC | Buy | 76491.8→75826.2 | -4.81 | timeout |
| 05-26 15:01 | BTC | Buy | 76658.8→76954.2 | +1.47 | timeout |
| 05-26 06:36 | BTC | Buy | 77050.9→76860.2 | -1.69 | timeout |
| 05-25 16:07 | BTC | Sell | 77562.1→77553.9 | -0.37 | timeout |
| 05-25 08:06 | BTC | Sell | 77114.1→77347.9 | -1.93 | timeout |
| 05-24 17:05 | BTC | Sell | 77264.1→76656.8 | +3.48 | timeout |
| 05-24 09:05 | BTC | Sell | 76910.2→76801.8 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 05-23 14:00 | BTC | Buy | 74570.7→75180.2 | +3.64 | timeout |
| 05-23 05:59 | BTC | Buy | 75504.8→75444.2 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 05-22 19:41 | BTC | Buy | 77007.9→75577.4 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 05-21 23:30 | BTC | Sell | 77937.1→77624.9 | +1.58 | timeout |
| 05-21 14:11 | BTC | Sell | 78057.1→77086.9 | +5.79 | timeout |
| 05-21 06:11 | BTC | Sell | 77625.1→77755.9 | -1.27 | timeout |
| 05-20 20:53 | BTC | Sell | 77491.1→77706.9 | -1.82 | timeout |
| 05-20 11:11 | BTC | Sell | 77224.1→77504.9 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 05-19 20:47 | BTC | Buy | 76289.8→76948.2 | +3.83 | timeout |
| 05-18 15:10 | BTC | Buy | 76875.8→76144.2 | -5.23 | timeout |
| 05-18 06:09 | BTC | Buy | 76992.8→76684.2 | -2.48 | timeout |
| 05-17 15:55 | BTC | Sell | 78179.1→78017.9 | +0.58 | timeout |
| 05-17 06:58 | BTC | Buy | 77889.9→78055.1 | +0.61 | timeout |
| 05-16 06:01 | BTC | Buy | 79051→78985.1 | -0.86 | timeout |
| 05-15 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 79871→79098 | -5.28 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.53 | timeout |
| 05-11 20:31 | BTC | Buy | 80755→81825.9 | +6.18 | timeout |
| 05-11 06:02 | BTC | Sell | 82248.9→80814 | +8.30 | timeout |
| 05-10 17:03 | BTC | Sell | 80907→81317.1 | -2.97 | timeout |
| 05-09 21:40 | BTC | Sell | 80465→80718 | -2.03 | timeout |
| 05-09 07:15 | BTC | Sell | 80298→80171 | +0.33 | timeout |
| 05-08 20:21 | BTC | Sell | 80317→80240 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 05-08 07:29 | BTC | Buy | 79696→79284 | -3.05 | timeout |
| 05-07 23:28 | BTC | Buy | 79623→79951 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 05-07 15:28 | BTC | Buy | 80975→79784 | -7.82 | timeout |
| 05-07 06:29 | BTC | Buy | 81200.1→80995.9 | -1.71 | timeout |
| 05-04 16:10 | BTC | Buy | 78762.9→79702 | +5.57 | timeout |
| 05-04 07:55 | BTC | Sell | 79231→79699 | -3.39 | timeout |
| 05-03 07:38 | BTC | Buy | 78136.9→78366.1 | +1.03 | timeout |
| 05-02 22:09 | BTC | Sell | 78490.1→78707.9 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 05-01 23:56 | BTC | Sell | 78497.1→78147.9 | +1.74 | timeout |
| 05-01 13:53 | BTC | Sell | 77190.1→78623.2 | -9.73 | stop_loss |
| 05-01 06:03 | BTC | Sell | 76384.2→77103.9 | -5.19 | timeout |
| 04-30 11:28 | BTC | Buy | 75349→76059.2 | +4.26 | timeout |
| 04-29 17:37 | BTC | Sell | 77601→75876 | +10.66 | timeout |
| 04-29 09:37 | BTC | Sell | 76824→77190 | -2.83 | timeout |
| 04-28 16:41 | BTC | Buy | 76518→75914 | -4.40 | timeout |
| 04-28 08:40 | BTC | Buy | 76801→76851 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 04-27 22:02 | BTC | Buy | 76710→76752 | -0.18 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
105
closed
40%
win rate
-100.32
total pnl ($)
-19.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 105 | 40% | -19.2 | -100.32 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 21:40 | BTC | Sell | -2.03 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing minimal directional bias across timeframes. The short thesis failed because the market lacked the momentum to trigger a decline before the trade expired, resulting in a timeout loss. |
| 05-09 07:15 | BTC | Sell | +0.33 | The market was in a mild downtrend with low volatility, as BTC declined 1.64% over 24 hours and funding remained neutral. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching the target or stop, indicating the expected directional move… |
| 05-08 20:21 | BTC | Sell | +0.05 | BTC was in a choppy, low-volatility recovery within a broader downtrend, with the 1h gain failing to reverse the 24h and 7d losses. The thesis failed because the trade expired before the anticipated directional move materialized, as the timeout close_reason… |
| 05-08 07:29 | BTC | Buy | -3.05 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight hourly gain but a broader weekly decline. The trade failed because the thesis did not trigger an entry before the timeout, leaving the position unexecuted and resulting in a small negat… |
| 05-07 23:28 | BTC | Buy | +1.59 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with low volatility and neutral funding. The trade's small profit came from a brief favorable move, but the thesis failed to capture a larger trend as the timeout closed the position befor… |
| 05-07 15:28 | BTC | Buy | -7.82 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching entry or exit, indicating the expected move never materialized in the given window. |
| 05-07 06:29 | BTC | Buy | -1.71 | The market was in a mild downtrend across timeframes, with BTC declining 1.52% in 24 hours and 2.37% over the week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without entry, likely due to the persistent bearish momentum preventing a favorable… |
| 05-04 16:10 | BTC | Buy | +5.57 | The market was in a low-volatility consolidation phase with minimal funding rates and stable price action across both Bitcoin and Ethereum. The trade failed because the anticipated move never materialized within the allotted time, resulting in a timeout exit. |
| 05-02 22:09 | BTC | Sell | -1.84 | BTC was consolidating near the upper bound of its 24-hour range ($77,710–$78,586) with elevated open interest ($3.99B) and positive funding (0.00145%), indicating sustained long positioning without directional conviction. The fade signal failed because BTC … |
| 05-01 23:56 | BTC | Sell | +1.74 | Bitcoin was consolidating near its 24-hour highs with modest intraday strength (+0.14% in the final hour), while the negative funding rate (-0.014%) signaled mild overbought positioning typical of range-bound conditions. The thesis failed because the 86.3% … |