46
closed trades
50%
win rate
-43.04
total pnl ($)
0.926
weight
7d window — n=6 wr=17% pnl=-32.34
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 46 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 19:34 | BTC | Sell | 60068→60301 | -2.35 | timeout |
| 06-28 23:51 | BTC | Buy | 59534→59679 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:19 | BTC | Buy | 59600→58487.8 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | BTC | Buy | 61100.1→59963 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:30 | BTC | Buy | 61893.1→60740.6 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 18:00 | BTC | Buy | 62470.1→62345.9 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:07 | BTC | Sell | 65295.7→64513.2 | +5.55 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:28 | BTC | Sell | 64145.8→63911.2 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:54 | BTC | Sell | 63239.8→63178.2 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:58 | BTC | Buy | 63415.2→62232.8 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 18:17 | BTC | Buy | 64810.2→65320.7 | +3.46 | timeout |
| 06-16 18:18 | BTC | Sell | 66576.7→66090.3 | +3.22 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:37 | BTC | Sell | 66727.7→66573.3 | +0.73 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:14 | BTC | Sell | 64657.8→65864.2 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 03:49 | BTC | Sell | 64468.8→64473.2 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:04 | BTC | Sell | 63862.8→63459.2 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:06 | BTC | Sell | 63064.8→63364.2 | -2.80 | timeout |
| 06-10 18:01 | BTC | Buy | 60933→61981.9 | +8.15 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:46 | BTC | Buy | 62403.1→61239.3 | -9.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:14 | BTC | Buy | 62826.1→63574.8 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-07 18:08 | BTC | Sell | 62554.9→62184.1 | +2.50 | timeout |
| 06-06 18:02 | BTC | Sell | 60852→60573 | +1.83 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:56 | BTC | Buy | 62102.1→60938.5 | -9.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 19:54 | BTC | Buy | 63767.2→63587.8 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-03 20:45 | BTC | Buy | 66288.3→65054.2 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 19:28 | BTC | Buy | 68112.4→66846.2 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 03:50 | BTC | Buy | 71080.6→70972.5 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 05-29 21:41 | BTC | Sell | 74104.3→73564.7 | +3.20 | timeout |
| 05-28 18:19 | BTC | Buy | 73327.7→73635.3 | +1.61 | timeout |
| 05-27 20:31 | BTC | Buy | 74984.7→75248.2 | +1.29 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:31 | BTC | Sell | 77796.1→76124.8 | +10.31 | timeout |
| 05-24 20:20 | BTC | Buy | 76243.8→76612.2 | +1.96 | timeout |
| 05-23 20:37 | BTC | Sell | 75382.2→76420.8 | -7.33 | timeout |
| 05-23 00:48 | BTC | Buy | 76329.8→75293.2 | -7.26 | timeout |
| 05-21 19:52 | BTC | Buy | 76926.8→77681.1 | +4.42 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:37 | BTC | Buy | 76318.8→77089.1 | +4.57 | timeout |
| 05-15 19:46 | BTC | Buy | 78997.9→79083 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 05-07 20:52 | BTC | Buy | 80251→79945 | -2.38 | timeout |
| 05-06 19:17 | BTC | Sell | 82088.9→81214.1 | +4.87 | timeout |
| 05-04 18:01 | BTC | Buy | 78706.9→80245 | +9.34 | timeout |
| 05-01 18:59 | BTC | Sell | 77925.1→78385.9 | -3.42 | timeout |
| 04-29 18:02 | BTC | Sell | 77543→75965 | +9.72 | timeout |
| 04-28 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 76070→76114 | -0.16 | timeout |
| 04-27 18:02 | BTC | Buy | 77771→76746 | -7.04 | timeout |
| 04-27 03:57 | BTC | Sell | 78510→79069 | -4.01 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
46
closed
50%
win rate
-43.04
total pnl ($)
-18.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 46 | 50% | -18.6 | -43.04 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 20:52 | BTC | Buy | -2.38 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways regime with stable open interest, offering no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching the target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented any meaningful price mov… |
| 05-06 19:17 | BTC | Sell | +4.87 | The market was in a mild short-term uptrend with BTC gaining 0.46% on the hour, but the broader 24h and 7d trends remained negative. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected bearish continuation materialized, as th… |
| 05-04 18:01 | BTC | Buy | +9.34 | The market was in a consolidation phase with Bitcoin trading near $81,000 and neutral funding rates indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, meaning the anticipated move never materia… |
| 05-01 18:59 | BTC | Sell | -3.42 | # Trade Analysis: BTC Intraday Drawdown Recovery — LOSS At close, BTC had rallied 2.81% over 24h and was holding near $78,507, but the 1-hour candle showed near-flat momentum (-0.01%), indicating exhaustion after the broader uptrend. The trade's thesis—tha… |
| 04-29 18:02 | BTC | Sell | +9.72 | # Trade Analysis: BTC Intraday Drawdown Recovery (Sell) Bitcoin was consolidating near session lows with minimal hourly momentum (+0.14% 1h), having declined 3.45% over the week, while funding rates remained positive at 0.18%, suggesting lingering long bia… |
| 04-27 18:02 | BTC | Buy | -7.04 | BTC was consolidating near daily lows with minimal hourly momentum (1h=+0.09%) after a 1.70% 24-hour decline, while elevated funding rates (0.005519%) signaled lingering long positioning despite weakness. The thesis failed because the intraday drawdown reco… |
| 04-27 03:57 | BTC | Sell | -4.01 | BTC was consolidating near session highs at $79,078 with modest hourly weakness (-0.13%) but sustained 24-hour strength (+2.11%), indicating buyer resilience despite short-term pullback pressures. The trade's bearish thesis failed because the intraday drawd… |