159
closed trades
35%
win rate
-128.85
total pnl ($)
1.220
weight
7d window — n=20 wr=35% pnl=-4.47
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 12:17 | BTC | Sell | 59791→60219 | -4.02 | timeout |
| 06-28 01:02 | BTC | Sell | 60556→60119 | +3.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:38 | BTC | Buy | 60190→60184 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:19 | BTC | Buy | 59925→60399 | +3.51 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:22 | BTC | Buy | 59962→59905 | -0.94 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:21 | BTC | Sell | 59692→59972 | -2.77 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:56 | BTC | Buy | 60015→59724 | -2.88 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:13 | BTC | Buy | 59930→58808.6 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | BTC | Sell | 61276.9→59318 | +15.53 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:02 | BTC | Buy | 61730.1→61173.9 | -4.95 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:30 | BTC | Buy | 60895→60867 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:00 | BTC | Sell | 60281→61134.1 | -7.56 | timeout |
| 06-24 15:33 | BTC | Sell | 62652.9→60736 | +14.83 | timeout |
| 06-24 09:16 | BTC | Sell | 62537.9→62730.1 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:40 | BTC | Sell | 62211.9→62966.1 | -6.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:01 | BTC | Sell | 62334.9→62513.1 | -1.88 | timeout |
| 06-23 07:40 | BTC | Sell | 64030.8→62965.1 | +7.88 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:07 | BTC | Sell | 64329.8→64173.2 | +0.76 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:00 | BTC | Buy | 65096.3→64322.8 | -6.41 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:21 | BTC | Buy | 64064.2→64220.8 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:27 | BTC | Sell | 64162.8→64105.2 | -0.02 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:04 | BTC | Buy | 63936.2→64245.8 | +1.97 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:10 | BTC | Sell | 63451.8→63860.2 | -3.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 09:09 | BTC | Sell | 63299.8→63458.2 | -1.67 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:01 | BTC | Sell | 62914.9→63314.2 | -3.61 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:21 | BTC | Sell | 62346.9→63090.2 | -6.44 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:16 | BTC | Sell | 62494.9→62433.1 | +0.00 | timeout |
| 06-19 00:28 | BTC | Sell | 62917.9→62907.1 | -0.37 | timeout |
| 06-18 18:20 | BTC | Sell | 64036.8→62844.1 | +8.80 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:19 | BTC | Sell | 63826.8→64049.2 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 06-18 06:14 | BTC | Buy | 64605.2→63920.8 | -5.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 65624.3→64384.6 | -9.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 13:24 | BTC | Sell | 65474.7→64911.2 | +3.87 | timeout |
| 06-17 07:23 | BTC | Sell | 65515.7→65516.3 | -0.45 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:18 | BTC | Sell | 65577.7→65652.3 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-16 18:00 | BTC | Sell | 66451.7→65961.3 | +3.26 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:45 | BTC | Sell | 65842.7→66597.3 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:22 | BTC | Sell | 66327.7→66021.3 | +1.85 | timeout |
| 06-15 21:35 | BTC | Buy | 66622.3→66429.7 | -1.91 | timeout |
| 06-15 13:22 | BTC | Sell | 65671.7→66894.8 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:25 | BTC | Sell | 63728.8→64916.7 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 19:01 | BTC | Sell | 64357.8→63801.2 | +3.89 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:50 | BTC | Sell | 64349.8→64517.2 | -1.75 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:00 | BTC | Sell | 63955.8→64418.2 | -4.07 | timeout |
| 06-13 11:05 | BTC | Sell | 63514.8→63833.2 | -2.93 | timeout |
| 06-13 00:22 | BTC | Sell | 63682.8→63564.2 | +0.51 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:59 | BTC | Buy | 63728.2→63550.8 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-12 09:25 | BTC | Sell | 63339.8→63653.2 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-12 03:04 | BTC | Sell | 63401.8→63580.2 | -1.83 | timeout |
| 06-11 18:26 | BTC | Sell | 62744.9→63402.2 | -5.66 | timeout |
| 06-11 12:02 | BTC | Buy | 62572.1→63005.8 | +2.98 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:55 | BTC | Sell | 61454.9→62606.4 | -9.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 23:33 | BTC | Sell | 61755.9→61451.1 | +2.02 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:14 | BTC | Buy | 61587.1→61979.9 | +2.73 | timeout |
| 06-09 20:05 | BTC | Sell | 62151.9→62023.1 | +0.57 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:05 | BTC | Sell | 62964.9→62203.1 | +5.60 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:20 | BTC | Sell | 63140.8→63313.2 | -1.81 | timeout |
| 06-08 23:13 | BTC | Sell | 63419.8→63550.2 | -1.47 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:06 | BTC | Sell | 63094.8→63524.2 | -3.83 | timeout |
| 06-08 09:05 | BTC | Sell | 62982.9→63230.2 | -2.40 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:13 | BTC | Sell | 61455.9→62600.4 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 18:03 | BTC | Sell | 62617.9→62190.1 | +2.96 | timeout |
| 06-06 23:57 | BTC | Sell | 60495→60869 | -3.50 | timeout |
| 06-06 17:02 | BTC | Sell | 60630→60814 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 06-06 08:13 | BTC | Sell | 60859→61135.1 | -2.69 | timeout |
| 06-05 20:50 | BTC | Sell | 60697→61828 | -9.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:17 | BTC | Sell | 60825→60781 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:56 | BTC | Sell | 63044.8→61028.1 | +15.55 | take_profit |
| 06-05 06:24 | BTC | Sell | 63218.8→61192.1 | +15.57 | take_profit |
| 06-04 22:31 | BTC | Sell | 63498.8→63296.2 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 06-04 13:38 | BTC | Sell | 62997.8→64173.3 | -9.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:25 | BTC | Buy | 64108.2→62915.4 | -9.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:38 | BTC | Sell | 65285.7→63202.2 | +15.50 | take_profit |
| 06-03 20:01 | BTC | Sell | 66799.7→65401.3 | +10.04 | timeout |
| 06-03 10:32 | BTC | Sell | 66299.7→67265.4 | -7.70 | timeout |
| 06-03 05:12 | BTC | Sell | 66638.7→67191.4 | -4.59 | timeout |
| 06-02 21:43 | BTC | Sell | 67293.6→67700.4 | -3.47 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:09 | BTC | Sell | 69970.5→68999.4 | +6.53 | timeout |
| 06-02 06:19 | BTC | Sell | 71215.4→70290.5 | +6.08 | timeout |
| 06-01 22:28 | BTC | Sell | 71039.4→71312.6 | -2.33 | timeout |
| 05-31 21:41 | BTC | Sell | 73643.3→73677.7 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 05-31 13:21 | BTC | Sell | 73908.3→73979.7 | -0.93 | timeout |
| 05-30 06:31 | BTC | Sell | 73370.3→73597.7 | -1.99 | timeout |
| 05-29 18:50 | BTC | Sell | 73208.3→73525.7 | -2.61 | timeout |
| 05-29 07:31 | BTC | Sell | 73522.3→73570.7 | -0.75 | timeout |
| 05-28 19:15 | BTC | Sell | 73265.3→73456.7 | -1.72 | timeout |
| 05-28 09:11 | BTC | Sell | 74171.3→73253.7 | +5.73 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:08 | BTC | Buy | 75132.8→74278.3 | -6.14 | timeout |
| 05-27 20:00 | BTC | Sell | 75164.2→75056.8 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 05-27 13:34 | BTC | Buy | 75886.8→75201.2 | -4.95 | timeout |
| 05-26 22:28 | BTC | Sell | 76465.2→75745.8 | +4.26 | timeout |
| 05-26 16:27 | BTC | Buy | 77098.9→76458.2 | -4.59 | timeout |
| 05-26 07:37 | BTC | Sell | 76640.2→76613.8 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 05-25 12:59 | BTC | Buy | 77365.9→77338.1 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 05-25 06:59 | BTC | Buy | 77074.9→77358.1 | +1.36 | timeout |
| 05-25 00:59 | BTC | Buy | 76641.8→77067.1 | +2.31 | timeout |
| 05-24 18:52 | BTC | Buy | 77046.9→76567.2 | -3.58 | timeout |
| 05-24 12:51 | BTC | Buy | 77000.8→77041.1 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 05-24 05:29 | BTC | Buy | 76597.8→76656.2 | -0.09 | timeout |
| 05-23 23:28 | BTC | Buy | 75400.8→76589.2 | +7.42 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
159
closed
35%
win rate
-128.85
total pnl ($)
-16.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 159 | 35% | -16.3 | -128.85 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 17:16 | BTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 22:21 | BTC | Buy | -0.19 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional bias. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching the target or stop, resulting in a small loss from the timeout. |
| 05-09 13:09 | BTC | Sell | -2.06 | The market was in a mild downtrend with low volatility, as BTC slipped 1.66% over 24 hours and funding remained neutral. The thesis failed because the trade expired without reaching the target or stop, as the slow, directionless price action did not trigger… |
| 05-08 17:01 | BTC | Buy | -2.74 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with no clear directional momentum. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the allotted time. |
| 05-08 09:03 | BTC | Sell | -4.03 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.99% over 24 hours and negative funding. The short thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |
| 05-08 03:03 | BTC | Sell | +2.84 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick within a broader weekly downtrend, with low funding and stable OI. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the expected bearish continuation materialized, capturing only a small positive PnL from… |
| 05-07 20:02 | BTC | Sell | +1.27 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down 1.70% over 24 hours and negative across all timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the allotted time. |
| 05-07 14:01 | BTC | Buy | -6.80 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.46% over 24 hours and negative momentum across the board. The thesis failed because the trade never triggered an entry before the timeout, resulting in a small loss from funding costs. |
| 05-07 07:49 | BTC | Sell | -2.10 | The market was in a low-volatility, range-bound regime with neutral funding and stable open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching the target, as the lack of directional momentum prevented the expected move from… |
| 05-07 01:48 | BTC | Sell | +0.50 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight hourly gains but a bearish weekly trend. The thesis failed because the timeout close_reason indicates the trade expired without reaching its target or stop, likely due to insufficient dir… |
| 05-06 19:47 | BTC | Sell | +1.26 | The market was in a mild short-term uptrend with BTC gaining 0.46% in the hour, but the broader 24-hour and 7-day trends remained negative. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize wit… |