37
closed trades
41%
win rate
-38.63
total pnl ($)
1.328
weight
7d window — n=5 wr=80% pnl=+12.02
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 37 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 01:01 | BTC | Buy | 59404→59727 | +2.27 | timeout |
| 06-24 14:03 | BTC | Sell | 62657.9→61312.1 | +10.28 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:00 | BTC | Sell | 62846.9→62444.1 | +2.73 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:02 | BTC | Buy | 64503.2→64131.8 | -3.35 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:04 | BTC | Sell | 64192.8→64123.2 | +0.08 | timeout |
| 06-18 04:00 | BTC | Sell | 64177.8→64258.2 | -1.07 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:00 | BTC | Sell | 66467.7→66291.3 | +0.87 | timeout |
| 06-12 17:00 | BTC | Sell | 63658.8→63939.2 | -2.64 | timeout |
| 06-11 13:02 | BTC | Sell | 62736.9→62903.1 | -1.75 | timeout |
| 06-06 17:02 | BTC | Sell | 60639→60814 | -1.90 | timeout |
| 06-05 21:00 | BTC | Sell | 60780→61599.1 | -7.19 | timeout |
| 06-05 09:00 | BTC | Sell | 62593.9→62463.1 | +0.59 | timeout |
| 06-04 12:33 | BTC | Sell | 62522.9→63687 | -9.76 | stop_loss |
| 05-29 17:00 | BTC | Sell | 73561.3→74075.7 | -3.92 | timeout |
| 05-27 16:59 | BTC | Buy | 75883.8→75267.2 | -4.53 | timeout |
| 05-26 18:00 | BTC | Buy | 77148.9→75827.2 | -9.02 | timeout |
| 05-24 03:00 | BTC | Buy | 77303.9→76782.2 | -3.84 | timeout |
| 05-23 12:00 | BTC | Sell | 75452.2→74743.7 | +4.24 | timeout |
| 05-22 13:59 | BTC | Sell | 77359.1→77249.9 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 05-15 15:59 | BTC | Sell | 80434→79164 | +7.44 | timeout |
| 05-12 04:43 | BTC | Sell | 81715.9→81724.1 | -0.47 | timeout |
| 05-11 22:59 | BTC | Sell | 81531.9→81724.1 | -1.62 | timeout |
| 05-10 23:00 | BTC | Sell | 81330.9→82160.1 | -5.54 | timeout |
| 05-10 07:02 | BTC | Buy | 80585→80730 | +0.45 | timeout |
| 05-09 17:02 | BTC | Sell | 80209→80588 | -2.80 | timeout |
| 05-08 23:00 | BTC | Sell | 79767→80244 | -3.43 | timeout |
| 05-07 14:01 | BTC | Sell | 81485.9→80471 | +5.80 | timeout |
| 05-04 22:01 | BTC | Sell | 79959→80310 | -2.67 | timeout |
| 05-04 02:00 | BTC | Sell | 78529.1→79987 | -9.73 | stop_loss |
| 05-03 12:59 | BTC | Sell | 78249.1→78703.9 | -3.34 | timeout |
| 05-02 14:01 | BTC | Buy | 78141.9→78300.1 | +0.57 | timeout |
| 05-01 14:00 | BTC | Buy | 77099.9→78668.1 | +9.72 | timeout |
| 04-29 18:09 | BTC | Buy | 76491→75114 | -9.45 | stop_loss |
| 04-29 09:03 | BTC | Sell | 76522→76985 | -3.48 | timeout |
| 04-28 21:01 | BTC | Buy | 75990→76441 | +2.52 | timeout |
| 04-28 02:01 | BTC | Sell | 76829→77058 | -1.94 | timeout |
| 04-27 10:00 | BTC | Sell | 79034→77859 | +6.98 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
37
closed
41%
win rate
-38.63
total pnl ($)
-20.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 37 | 41% | -20.9 | -38.63 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 23:06 | BTC | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:02 | BTC | Buy | +0.45 | BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight intraday weakness but maintaining a positive weekly trend. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to a timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within … |
| 05-09 17:02 | BTC | Sell | -2.80 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.45% over 24 hours, but the short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the expected move materialized. |
| 05-08 23:00 | BTC | Sell | -3.43 | BTC was in a mild intraday uptick but remained in a broader downtrend over 24h and 7d. The short thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout before the expected bearish continuation materialized. |
| 05-07 14:01 | BTC | Sell | +5.80 | The market was in a mild downtrend across timeframes with low volatility and neutral funding. The short thesis failed to capture significant downside as price remained range-bound, leading to a timeout exit with minimal profit. |
| 05-04 22:01 | BTC | Sell | -2.67 | The market was exhibiting low volatility with minimal funding rates and stable order flow during the trade window. The thesis failed because the anticipated price movement never materialized, resulting in a timeout exit due to the lack of a defined stop-los… |
| 05-02 14:01 | BTC | Buy | +0.57 | At close, Bitcoin was trading sideways near $78,352 with minimal intraday momentum (1h +0.08%, 24h -0.41%) while funding rates had turned slightly negative (-0.34% annualized), indicating a shift away from the extreme long-biased regime that triggered the e… |
| 05-01 14:00 | BTC | Buy | +9.72 | Bitcoin rallied 2.80% over 24 hours and maintained positive momentum through the trade's 6-hour hold, with BTC climbing from $77,100 to $78,668 as institutional positioning normalized. The trade's thesis succeeded because the funding rate flip from deeply n… |
| 04-29 18:09 | BTC | Buy | -9.45 | Bitcoin was in a mild pullback phase at close ($75,055, down 1.16% on the 1h and 4.69% over 7d) with funding rates still slightly positive (0.002492%), suggesting the regime hadn't yet flipped back to sustained negative funding despite the intraday weakness… |
| 04-29 09:03 | BTC | Sell | -3.48 | BTC was range-bound and flat during the 6-hour holding period, with the spot price drifting from $76,522 to $76,985 (+0.6%) while funding remained deeply negative at -88.3 bps annualized at close, indicating sustained short positioning. The trade's thesis f… |
| 04-27 10:00 | BTC | Sell | +6.98 | BTC was consolidating near $77,816 with minimal intraday momentum (1h flat, 24h -0.30%) when funding rates had just crossed from persistently positive (8-hour average +399.1 bps/yr) into negative territory (-143.9 bps/yr), signaling a regime shift from leve… |