btc_funding_compression_short_regime_gated

54

closed trades

43%

win rate

-6.81

total pnl ($)

1.398

weight

7d window — n=12 wr=50% pnl=+22.85 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-04 09:13:49 (24.0d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485392_75922

n: 27 · wr: 66.7% · total_bps: +1171.3 · mean_bps: +43.38 · sharpe: +0.25 · max_dd_bps: -698.6

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 00:19	BTC	Sell	60259→60120	+0.66	timeout
06-27 09:09	BTC	Sell	59712→60430	-6.45	timeout
06-26 20:21	BTC	Sell	60226→59709	+3.90	timeout
06-26 07:06	BTC	Sell	59314→60303	-8.79	timeout
06-25 18:54	BTC	Sell	61725.9→59492	+17.63	timeout
06-25 04:07	BTC	Sell	60336→60828	-4.53	timeout
06-24 14:45	BTC	Sell	62706.9→61159.1	+11.87	timeout
06-23 22:03	BTC	Sell	62524.9→62628.1	-1.29	timeout
06-23 07:56	BTC	Sell	64463.8→62903.1	+11.69	timeout
06-22 19:43	BTC	Sell	64244.8→64406.2	-1.68	timeout
06-22 03:21	BTC	Sell	64158.8→64261.2	-1.21	timeout
06-21 13:40	BTC	Sell	64194.8→63996.2	+1.06	timeout
06-21 01:36	BTC	Sell	63354.8→64218.2	-7.24	timeout
06-20 08:44	BTC	Sell	63062.8→63424.2	-3.26	timeout
06-19 20:28	BTC	Sell	62642.9→63050.2	-3.68	timeout
06-19 04:15	BTC	Sell	62580.9→62844.1	-2.58	timeout
06-18 14:05	BTC	Sell	64599.8→63893.2	+5.01	timeout
06-17 19:00	BTC	Sell	65587.7→65537.3	-0.05	timeout
06-17 04:26	BTC	Sell	65757.7→65848.3	-1.12	timeout
06-16 15:52	BTC	Sell	66078.7→65902.3	+0.91	timeout
06-15 21:18	BTC	Sell	65750.7→66488.3	-6.03	timeout
06-15 07:24	BTC	Sell	63774.8→66047.3	-18.26	stop_loss
06-14 19:21	BTC	Sell	64305.8→63803.2	+3.49	timeout
06-14 04:48	BTC	Sell	63973.8→64349.2	-3.41	timeout
06-13 16:23	BTC	Sell	63566.8→63995.2	-3.84	timeout
06-13 03:36	BTC	Sell	63963.8→63465.2	+3.45	timeout
06-12 09:29	BTC	Sell	63433.8→63743.2	-2.84	timeout
06-11 21:14	BTC	Sell	62793.9→63564.2	-6.51	timeout
06-11 08:59	BTC	Sell	61766.9→62912.1	-9.67	timeout
06-10 20:31	BTC	Sell	61568.9→61815.1	-2.42	timeout
06-09 17:55	BTC	Sell	63312.8→61739.1	+12.02	timeout
06-09 04:58	BTC	Sell	63471.8→63255.2	+1.26	timeout
06-08 15:47	BTC	Sell	63102.8→63841.2	-6.23	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61525.9→63718	-18.27	stop_loss
06-07 14:14	BTC	Sell	61414.9→61823.1	-3.76	timeout
06-07 01:21	BTC	Sell	61006.9→61418.1	-3.79	timeout
06-06 13:07	BTC	Sell	61318.9→61004.1	+2.09	timeout
06-06 00:44	BTC	Sell	61984.9→61231.1	+5.62	timeout
06-05 11:56	BTC	Sell	63773.8→62046.1	+13.11	timeout
06-04 21:51	BTC	Sell	63002.8→63340.2	-3.14	timeout
06-04 09:02	BTC	Sell	65251.7→63496.2	+13.00	timeout
06-03 16:39	BTC	Sell	66334.7→65897.3	+2.88	timeout
06-03 04:01	BTC	Sell	67222.6→66005.3	+8.61	timeout
06-02 06:23	BTC	Sell	71418.4→70315.5	+7.35	timeout
06-01 04:40	BTC	Sell	73479.3→73439.7	-0.17	timeout
05-31 19:59	BTC	Sell	73839.3→73545.7	+1.53	timeout
05-31 12:12	BTC	Sell	73868.3→73870.7	-0.40	timeout
05-30 22:20	BTC	Sell	73620.3→73871.7	-2.10	timeout
05-30 07:50	BTC	Sell	73611.3→73509.7	+0.26	timeout
05-29 22:56	BTC	Sell	73630.3→73431.7	+0.91	timeout
05-29 14:40	BTC	Sell	73429.3→72714.6	+4.49	timeout
05-29 07:44	BTC	Sell	73406.3→73377.7	-0.24	timeout
05-29 00:52	BTC	Sell	73472.3→73755.7	-2.30	timeout
05-28 18:52	BTC	Sell	73062.3→73645.7	-4.37	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

54

closed

43%

win rate

-6.81

total pnl ($)

-2.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	54	43%	-2.9	-6.81

time	sym	side	reason
06-28 07:00	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 54 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

Postmortem feed (last 10)