11
closed trades
18%
win rate
-41.85
total pnl ($)
0.933
weight
7d window — n=3 wr=0% pnl=-15.94
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 03:09:36 (18.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
bk
n: 38
· wr: 47.4%
· total_bps: -488.9
· mean_bps: -12.87
· sharpe: -0.15
· max_dd_bps: -549.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 11 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 65247.3→64354.6 | -7.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:32 | BTC | Buy | 66228.3→65328.1 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 01:07 | BTC | Buy | 66397.3→66270.7 | -1.40 | timeout |
| 06-13 01:44 | BTC | Buy | 63559.2→63761.8 | +1.13 | timeout |
| 06-12 17:24 | BTC | Buy | 63366.2→63755.8 | +2.62 | timeout |
| 05-11 04:53 | BTC | Buy | 81374.1→80802 | -3.98 | timeout |
| 05-06 17:21 | BTC | Buy | 82008.1→81473.9 | -3.70 | timeout |
| 05-04 10:07 | BTC | Buy | 79709→78628.7 | -7.22 | stop_loss |
| 04-27 05:30 | BTC | Buy | 78683→77738 | -6.46 | stop_loss |
| 04-23 17:40 | BTC | Buy | 77861→76926 | -6.35 | stop_loss |
| 04-22 20:45 | BTC | Buy | 78713→78462 | -1.94 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
11
closed
18%
win rate
-41.85
total pnl ($)
-76.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 11 | 18% | -76.0 | -41.85 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 17:21 | BTC | Buy | -3.70 | The market was in a mild downtrend across timeframes, with BTC and ETH both declining over the past week. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allowed window. |
| 04-27 05:30 | BTC | Buy | -6.46 | Bitcoin was declining sharply in the final hour before the trade closed, dropping 1.73% as the broader market weakened with ETH also falling 2.57% in the same period. The long trade thesis failed because BTC broke below the 78,053 swing low that defined the… |
| 04-22 20:45 | BTC | Buy | -1.94 | BTC was trading sideways to slightly lower at the time of timeout exit, with elevated open interest of $4B and modest positive funding suggesting balanced but firm conviction among leverage traders. The Fibonacci 61.8 pullback setup failed because price nev… |