btc_fees_spike_extreme_fear_short_v2 · strategy

155

closed trades

43%

win rate

-12.11

total pnl ($)

1.449

weight

7d window — n=40 wr=52% pnl=+31.04 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 10:50	BTC	Sell	60145→60116	-0.18	timeout
06-28 06:35	BTC	Sell	60109→59938	+0.87	timeout
06-28 02:33	BTC	Sell	60235→60112	+0.52	timeout
06-27 21:55	BTC	Sell	60755→60195	+3.73	timeout
06-27 18:31	BTC	Sell	60321→60484	-1.63	timeout
06-27 13:30	BTC	Sell	60404→60437	-0.65	timeout
06-27 09:05	BTC	Sell	60233→60428	-1.86	timeout
06-27 04:57	BTC	Sell	60046→60230	-1.79	timeout
06-27 00:41	BTC	Sell	59739→59951	-2.00	timeout
06-26 20:43	BTC	Sell	59583→59620	-0.66	timeout
06-26 16:56	BTC	Sell	59354→60001	-5.29	timeout
06-26 12:38	BTC	Sell	60143→59407	+5.11	timeout
06-26 06:39	BTC	Sell	58812.1→60333.2	-12.04	stop_loss
06-26 04:04	BTC	Sell	60101→59902	+1.08	timeout
06-25 23:21	BTC	Sell	59480→60093	-5.04	timeout
06-25 19:48	BTC	Sell	59729→59173	+3.78	timeout
06-25 13:49	BTC	Sell	61728.9→59264	+17.55	take_profit
06-25 11:44	BTC	Sell	61497.9→61284.1	+1.16	timeout
06-25 07:20	BTC	Sell	60773→61809.1	-8.08	timeout
06-25 03:01	BTC	Sell	60875→60829	-0.07	timeout
06-24 22:36	BTC	Sell	60449→60889	-3.70	timeout
06-24 15:49	BTC	Sell	62856.9→60341	+17.60	take_profit
06-24 14:56	BTC	Sell	62778.9→60986	+12.43	timeout
06-24 10:45	BTC	Sell	62678.9→62567.1	+0.41	timeout
06-24 06:19	BTC	Sell	62894.9→62768.1	+0.51	timeout
06-24 01:00	BTC	Sell	62205.9→63002.1	-6.16	timeout
06-23 20:36	BTC	Sell	62730.9→62444.1	+1.65	timeout
06-23 16:21	BTC	Sell	62396.9→62593.1	-1.83	timeout
06-23 12:37	BTC	Sell	62869.9→62332.1	+3.41	timeout
06-23 08:24	BTC	Sell	64138.8→62329.1	+12.28	timeout
06-23 04:07	BTC	Sell	64284.8→64049.2	+1.24	timeout
06-22 23:34	BTC	Sell	64403.8→63968.2	+2.63	timeout
06-22 19:08	BTC	Sell	65015.7→64311.2	+4.48	timeout
06-22 15:06	BTC	Sell	64181.8→64889.2	-5.35	timeout
06-22 10:59	BTC	Sell	64073.8→64119.2	-0.70	timeout
06-22 06:34	BTC	Sell	63735.8→64049.2	-2.61	timeout
06-22 01:27	BTC	Sell	64197.8→64665.2	-3.67	timeout
06-21 21:21	BTC	Sell	64158.8→63678.2	+2.97	timeout
06-21 17:05	BTC	Sell	64314.8→64144.2	+0.77	timeout
06-21 12:58	BTC	Sell	64263.8→64182.2	+0.15	timeout
06-21 07:26	BTC	Sell	64218.8→64169.2	-0.06	timeout
06-21 03:21	BTC	Sell	63929.8→64288.2	-2.93	timeout
06-20 23:30	BTC	Sell	63952.8→64252.2	-2.51	timeout
06-20 19:13	BTC	Sell	63550.8→63871.2	-2.68	timeout
06-20 15:10	BTC	Sell	63447.8→63865.2	-3.35	timeout
06-20 10:25	BTC	Sell	63492.8→63633.2	-1.38	timeout
06-20 06:21	BTC	Sell	63467.8→63649.2	-1.69	timeout
06-20 01:41	BTC	Sell	62952.9→63539.2	-4.59	timeout
06-19 21:35	BTC	Sell	63152.8→63100.2	-0.02	timeout
06-19 17:14	BTC	Sell	62423.9→62970.1	-4.34	timeout
06-19 13:12	BTC	Sell	62802.9→62802.1	-0.42	timeout
06-19 08:21	BTC	Sell	62950.9→62640.1	+1.79	timeout
06-19 04:05	BTC	Sell	62891.9→62621.1	+1.52	timeout
06-18 23:57	BTC	Sell	62496.9→62954.1	-3.73	timeout
06-18 20:00	BTC	Sell	63951.8→62970.1	+6.46	timeout
06-18 15:45	BTC	Sell	64274.8→62808.1	+9.85	timeout
06-18 11:05	BTC	Sell	63703.8→64081.2	-3.05	timeout
06-18 06:32	BTC	Sell	64646.8→64038.2	+3.83	timeout
06-18 02:00	BTC	Sell	64209.8→64542.2	-2.72	timeout
06-17 21:42	BTC	Sell	65506.7→64270.2	+8.09	timeout
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64719.8→66398.5	-12.09	stop_loss
06-17 13:34	BTC	Sell	65538.7→64985.2	+3.41	timeout
06-17 09:16	BTC	Sell	65711.7→64963.2	+4.73	timeout
06-17 05:00	BTC	Sell	65756.7→65865.3	-1.14	timeout
06-17 00:56	BTC	Sell	65844.7→65735.3	+0.36	timeout
06-16 20:05	BTC	Sell	66203.7→65613.3	+3.63	timeout
06-16 15:40	BTC	Sell	66617.7→65851.3	+4.79	timeout
06-16 11:26	BTC	Sell	66063.7→66395.3	-2.65	timeout
06-16 07:00	BTC	Sell	66211.7→66414.3	-1.80	timeout
06-16 02:48	BTC	Sell	66529.7→65844.3	+4.24	timeout
06-15 22:43	BTC	Sell	67215.6→66264.3	+5.97	timeout
06-15 18:43	BTC	Sell	66436.7→66763.3	-2.59	timeout
06-15 14:08	BTC	Sell	65671.7→66354.3	-5.09	timeout
06-15 10:09	BTC	Sell	65773.7→65693.3	+0.14	timeout
06-15 06:06	BTC	Sell	65636.7→65857.3	-1.91	timeout
06-14 21:40	BTC	Sell	63787.8→65422	-11.93	stop_loss
06-14 21:20	BTC	Sell	64009.8→64828.2	-6.15	timeout
06-14 17:17	BTC	Sell	64522.8→63948.2	+3.62	timeout
06-14 13:14	BTC	Sell	64216.8→64322.2	-1.14	timeout
06-14 08:07	BTC	Sell	64580.8→64390.2	+0.94	timeout
06-14 04:04	BTC	Sell	64408.8→64505.2	-1.09	timeout
06-14 00:04	BTC	Sell	63983.8→64380.2	-3.20	timeout
06-13 19:56	BTC	Sell	64054.8→64302.2	-2.14	timeout
06-13 14:52	BTC	Sell	63791.8→64198.2	-3.26	timeout
06-13 10:49	BTC	Sell	63612.8→63863.2	-2.15	timeout
06-13 06:45	BTC	Sell	63549.8→63673.2	-1.28	timeout
06-13 02:44	BTC	Sell	63496.8→63609.2	-1.20	timeout
06-12 22:43	BTC	Sell	63805.8→63493.2	+1.81	timeout
06-12 18:39	BTC	Sell	63413.8→63809.2	-3.21	timeout
06-12 13:51	BTC	Sell	62988.9→63232.2	-2.13	timeout
06-12 09:46	BTC	Sell	63432.8→63871.2	-3.49	timeout
06-12 05:04	BTC	Sell	63383.8→63621.2	-2.07	timeout
06-12 01:01	BTC	Sell	63473.8→63527.2	-0.75	timeout
06-11 20:58	BTC	Sell	62829.9→63383.2	-4.34	timeout
06-11 16:51	BTC	Sell	63015.8→62586.1	+2.68	timeout
06-11 12:48	BTC	Sell	62806.9→62853.1	-0.71	timeout
06-11 08:42	BTC	Sell	62025.9→62906.1	-6.76	timeout
06-11 03:41	BTC	Sell	61604.9→62357.1	-5.88	timeout
06-10 23:35	BTC	Sell	61779.9→61529.1	+1.42	timeout
06-10 18:47	BTC	Sell	61723.9→61725.1	-0.40	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

155

closed

43%

win rate

-12.11

total pnl ($)

-1.8 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	155	43%	-1.8	-12.11

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

time	sym	side	reason
06-28 04:54	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker
06-28 00:38	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…