btc_fees_congestion_short · strategy

closed trades

44%

win rate

+2.59

total pnl ($)

1.152

weight

7d window — n=23 wr=39% pnl=-7.17 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-18 08:05 (35.8d ago) · src: backtest-gate-results.jsonl

verdict: ERROR · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_pa

n: 0 · wr: 0.0% · total_bps: +0.0 · mean_bps: +0.00 · sharpe: +0.00 · max_dd_bps: +0.0

gate: min_trades=5 min_wr=0.45 min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=226.331

Cumulative P&L (last 97 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 20:58	BTC	Sell	64595.8→64412.2	+0.97	timeout
06-22 12:38	BTC	Sell	64172.8→65046.8	-7.24	stop_loss
06-21 23:57	BTC	Sell	63743.8→63293.2	+3.08	timeout
06-21 17:52	BTC	Sell	64041.8→64146.2	-1.28	timeout
06-21 11:49	BTC	Sell	63898.8→64241.2	-3.14	timeout
06-21 05:27	BTC	Sell	64200.8→64267.2	-0.97	timeout
06-20 23:27	BTC	Sell	63896.8→64242.2	-3.15	timeout
06-20 15:18	BTC	Sell	63308.8→64171.3	-7.26	stop_loss
06-20 10:48	BTC	Sell	63700.8→63594.2	+0.40	timeout
06-20 04:41	BTC	Sell	63547.8→63529.2	-0.30	timeout
06-19 22:29	BTC	Sell	62967.9→63249.2	-2.68	timeout
06-19 16:15	BTC	Sell	62738.9→63325.2	-5.12	timeout
06-19 10:02	BTC	Sell	62843.9→62373.1	+3.28	timeout
06-19 04:17	BTC	Sell	63045.8→62888.1	+0.80	timeout
06-18 21:57	BTC	Sell	62637.9→62959.1	-3.03	timeout
06-18 15:37	BTC	Sell	64360.8→62937.1	+10.57	take_profit
06-18 10:14	BTC	Sell	63997.8→63971.2	-0.23	timeout
06-18 03:42	BTC	Sell	64510.8→64238.2	+1.67	timeout
06-17 21:04	BTC	Sell	65266.7→64326.2	+6.75	timeout
06-17 14:51	BTC	Sell	64815.8→65094.3	-2.60	timeout
06-16 22:38	BTC	Sell	65651.7→65693.3	-0.76	timeout
06-16 15:25	BTC	Sell	66535.7→65766.3	+5.34	timeout
06-16 07:08	BTC	Sell	66166.7→66408.3	-2.29	timeout
06-15 19:23	BTC	Sell	67117.6→66533.3	+3.91	timeout
06-15 12:50	BTC	Sell	65685.7→66586.6	-7.31	stop_loss
06-15 06:56	BTC	Sell	65944.7→65853.3	+0.25	timeout
06-14 21:40	BTC	Sell	64342.8→65225.9	-7.31	stop_loss
06-14 13:28	BTC	Sell	64573.8→64293.2	+1.72	timeout
06-14 02:16	BTC	Sell	64446.8→64590.2	-1.56	timeout
06-13 20:15	BTC	Sell	63943.8→64255.2	-2.89	timeout
06-13 13:58	BTC	Sell	63808.8→64075.2	-2.53	timeout
06-13 07:39	BTC	Sell	63580.8→63798.2	-2.16	timeout
06-13 01:09	BTC	Sell	63476.8→63662.2	-1.90	timeout
06-12 18:55	BTC	Sell	63815.8→63781.2	-0.18	timeout
06-12 12:32	BTC	Sell	63836.8→63482.2	+2.34	timeout
06-12 06:41	BTC	Sell	63431.8→62927.1	+3.53	timeout
06-11 22:44	BTC	Sell	63706.8→63493.2	+1.24	timeout
06-11 16:41	BTC	Sell	62768.9→62682.1	+0.25	timeout
06-11 10:00	BTC	Sell	62715.9→62918.1	-2.05	timeout
06-11 00:14	BTC	Sell	61505.9→61665.1	-1.75	timeout
06-10 18:06	BTC	Sell	62017.9→62033.1	-0.57	timeout
06-09 22:12	BTC	Sell	61790.9→62023.1	-2.34	timeout
06-09 14:46	BTC	Sell	62650.9→61277.1	+10.52	take_profit
06-09 09:40	BTC	Sell	63379.8→62603.1	+5.67	timeout
06-09 03:02	BTC	Sell	63101.8→62815.1	+1.82	timeout
06-08 20:10	BTC	Sell	63426.8→63294.2	+0.60	timeout
06-08 12:57	BTC	Sell	63061.8→63920.1	-7.25	stop_loss
06-08 07:03	BTC	Sell	63080.8→62903.1	+0.96	timeout
06-07 22:13	BTC	Sell	61707.9→62549.4	-7.27	stop_loss
06-07 17:36	BTC	Sell	62256.9→62268.1	-0.54	timeout
06-07 00:25	BTC	Sell	60852→60782	+0.13	timeout
06-06 18:04	BTC	Sell	60585→60542	-0.10	timeout
06-06 12:04	BTC	Sell	61131.9→60917	+1.30	timeout
06-06 04:33	BTC	Sell	60962→59625	+10.52	take_profit
06-05 19:46	BTC	Sell	59218→60024	-7.25	stop_loss
06-05 14:04	BTC	Sell	61911.9→60552	+10.53	take_profit
06-05 06:23	BTC	Sell	62662.9→61283.1	+10.56	take_profit
06-05 01:50	BTC	Sell	63611.8→63243.2	+2.45	timeout
06-04 19:18	BTC	Sell	63705.8→63878.2	-1.80	timeout
06-04 12:24	BTC	Sell	62506.9→63366.8	-7.34	stop_loss
06-04 07:45	BTC	Sell	64369.8→63851.2	+3.58	timeout
06-03 23:42	BTC	Sell	65284.7→64320.2	+6.94	timeout
06-03 17:59	BTC	Sell	66837.7→65947.3	+6.22	timeout
06-03 05:52	BTC	Sell	66416.7→67324	-7.28	stop_loss
06-03 02:35	BTC	Sell	66600.7→66636.3	-0.72	timeout
06-02 18:59	BTC	Sell	67292.6→67328.4	-0.71	timeout
06-02 10:08	BTC	Sell	69964.5→69546.5	+2.56	timeout
06-02 04:53	BTC	Sell	70882.5→70884.5	-0.45	timeout
06-01 04:58	BTC	Sell	73307.3→73541.7	-2.04	timeout
05-31 19:44	BTC	Sell	73496.3→73523.7	-0.64	timeout
05-31 10:55	BTC	Sell	73854.3→73837.7	-0.32	timeout
05-31 03:14	BTC	Sell	73857.3→74108.7	-2.14	timeout
05-30 23:52	BTC	Sell	73908.3→73815.7	+0.18	timeout
05-30 13:19	BTC	Sell	73626.3→73747.7	-1.27	timeout
05-30 04:24	BTC	Sell	73581.3→73382.7	+0.90	timeout
05-29 17:12	BTC	Sell	72632.4→74238.7	+0.00	take_profit
05-29 10:45	BTC	Sell	73360.3→73572.7	-1.89	timeout
05-29 05:41	BTC	Sell	73399.3→73394.7	-0.40	timeout
05-28 20:14	BTC	Sell	73454.3→73413.7	-0.15	timeout
05-28 13:33	BTC	Sell	73377.3→72932.6	+2.59	timeout
05-28 07:24	BTC	Sell	72908.4→73284.7	-3.03	timeout
05-28 01:24	BTC	Sell	74520.3→74459.7	-0.04	timeout
05-27 19:18	BTC	Sell	75102.2→75011.8	+0.16	timeout
05-27 13:17	BTC	Sell	75948.2→75378.8	+3.29	timeout
05-27 07:17	BTC	Sell	75533.2→75744.8	-1.87	timeout
05-27 01:16	BTC	Sell	75727.2→75990.8	-2.20	timeout
05-26 19:16	BTC	Sell	76377.2→75828.8	+3.15	timeout
05-26 13:16	BTC	Sell	76745.2→77043.9	-2.39	timeout
05-26 07:15	BTC	Sell	76622.2→76637.8	-0.55	timeout
05-26 01:14	BTC	Sell	77376.1→76815.8	+3.17	timeout
05-25 19:13	BTC	Sell	77528.1→77444.9	+0.11	timeout
05-25 13:13	BTC	Sell	77589.1→77282.9	+1.54	timeout
05-25 07:13	BTC	Sell	77023.1→77316.9	-2.34	timeout
05-19 09:40	BTC	Sell	77029.1→76775.8	+1.20	timeout
05-19 03:19	BTC	Sell	77172.1→76832.8	+1.76	timeout
05-18 20:38	BTC	Sell	76586.2→77070.9	-3.60	timeout
05-18 14:39	BTC	Sell	76881.2→76467.8	+2.25	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

44%

win rate

+2.59

total pnl ($)

+0.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	97	44%	+0.5	+2.59

Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 18:14	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 10:24	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-21 21:12	BTC	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…