btc_fee_spike_short_term_mean_rev_short

75

closed trades

47%

win rate

+28.75

total pnl ($)

1.254

weight

7d window — n=16 wr=38% pnl=+0.62 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-27 11:10:04 (31.6d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485392_76486

n: 245 · wr: 45.3% · total_bps: -1642.6 · mean_bps: -6.70 · sharpe: -0.05 · max_dd_bps: -3293.5

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 20:04	BTC	Sell	60494→60212	+1.49	timeout
06-27 05:30	BTC	Sell	59929→60147	-1.82	timeout
06-26 22:58	BTC	Sell	60053→60040	-0.27	timeout
06-26 15:09	BTC	Sell	60072→59891	+0.86	timeout
06-26 04:17	BTC	Sell	58644.1→60147.1	-10.61	stop_loss
06-25 22:13	BTC	Sell	59750→59856	-1.06	timeout
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61573.9→59114	+15.61	take_profit
06-24 20:50	BTC	Sell	59685→61214.7	-10.64	stop_loss
06-24 16:06	BTC	Sell	62590.9→60284	+14.34	timeout
06-24 08:58	BTC	Sell	62615.9→62783.1	-1.41	timeout
06-23 21:13	BTC	Sell	62338.9→62506.1	-1.44	timeout
06-23 14:24	BTC	Sell	62193.9→62578.1	-2.85	timeout
06-22 23:55	BTC	Sell	64627.8→64014.2	+3.42	timeout
06-22 16:02	BTC	Sell	64122.8→64737.2	-4.20	timeout
06-21 23:13	BTC	Sell	64169.8→63715.2	+2.47	timeout
06-21 03:27	BTC	Sell	63933.8→64401.2	-3.28	timeout
06-20 21:24	BTC	Sell	64177.8→63919.2	+1.25	timeout
06-19 22:54	BTC	Sell	63057.8→63313.2	-1.97	timeout
06-19 15:26	BTC	Sell	62388.9→63016.2	-4.40	timeout
06-19 05:42	BTC	Sell	62898.9→62580.1	+1.66	timeout
06-18 21:33	BTC	Sell	63164.8→62960.1	+0.91	timeout
06-18 12:46	BTC	Sell	64078.8→64262.2	-1.50	timeout
06-17 23:54	BTC	Sell	66034.7→64465.2	+9.18	timeout
06-17 17:48	BTC	Sell	64826.8→65792.3	-6.30	timeout
06-17 01:42	BTC	Sell	65580.7→65734.3	-1.29	timeout
06-16 18:23	BTC	Sell	66533.7→65920.3	+3.34	timeout
06-16 10:06	BTC	Sell	66161.7→66550.3	-2.71	timeout
06-15 22:21	BTC	Sell	67095.6→66370.3	+3.97	timeout
06-15 16:19	BTC	Sell	65686.7→67084.4	-8.87	timeout
06-14 23:27	BTC	Sell	64067.8→65711.1	-10.62	stop_loss
06-14 16:26	BTC	Sell	64585.8→64165.2	+2.26	timeout
06-14 05:03	BTC	Sell	64428.8→64357.2	+0.08	timeout
06-13 23:00	BTC	Sell	64013.8→64427.2	-2.94	timeout
06-13 16:56	BTC	Sell	63789.8→63983.2	-1.57	timeout
06-13 10:37	BTC	Sell	63571.8→63823.2	-1.92	timeout
06-13 03:15	BTC	Sell	63601.8→63653.2	-0.68	timeout
06-12 21:07	BTC	Sell	64127.8→63458.2	+3.83	timeout
06-12 13:59	BTC	Sell	63058.8→63200.2	-1.24	timeout
06-12 07:46	BTC	Sell	63377.8→63033.2	+1.85	timeout
06-12 01:41	BTC	Sell	63744.8→63331.2	+2.26	timeout
06-11 19:39	BTC	Sell	62835.9→63646.2	-5.49	timeout
06-11 13:04	BTC	Sell	62656.9→62902.1	-1.90	timeout
06-11 03:10	BTC	Sell	61566.9→62083.1	-3.70	timeout
06-10 21:05	BTC	Sell	62021.9→61662.1	+1.97	timeout
06-10 01:13	BTC	Sell	61785.9→62023.1	-1.91	timeout
06-09 19:04	BTC	Sell	62558.9→61849.1	+4.20	timeout
06-09 12:41	BTC	Sell	63307.8→62557.1	+4.37	timeout
06-09 06:01	BTC	Sell	63047.8→63285.2	-1.86	timeout
06-08 23:07	BTC	Sell	63548.8→63441.2	+0.32	timeout
06-08 17:03	BTC	Sell	63043.8→63297.2	-1.95	timeout
06-08 10:00	BTC	Sell	63118.8→63511.2	-2.85	timeout
06-07 20:11	BTC	Sell	61778.9→61617.1	+0.68	timeout
06-07 03:29	BTC	Sell	60861→61624.1	-5.37	timeout
06-06 21:08	BTC	Sell	60654→60721	-0.82	timeout
06-06 15:03	BTC	Sell	61191.9→60625	+3.35	timeout
06-06 08:58	BTC	Sell	60931→61292.1	-2.72	timeout
06-05 20:09	BTC	Sell	59347→60867.5	-10.61	stop_loss
06-05 18:51	BTC	Sell	62017.9→59543	+15.61	take_profit
06-05 11:54	BTC	Sell	62685.9→61997.1	+4.04	timeout
06-05 04:01	BTC	Sell	63280.8→62652.1	+3.60	timeout
06-04 20:00	BTC	Sell	64220.8→63556.2	+3.78	timeout
06-04 12:54	BTC	Sell	64095.8→63823.2	+1.33	timeout
06-04 01:23	BTC	Sell	65209.7→62607.1	+15.61	take_profit
06-03 21:00	BTC	Sell	66793.7→64957.2	+10.65	timeout
06-03 11:16	BTC	Sell	67197.6→67273.4	-0.78	timeout
06-03 06:45	BTC	Sell	67045.6→67202.4	-1.28	timeout
06-02 22:55	BTC	Sell	67550.6→66602.3	+5.26	timeout
06-02 14:09	BTC	Sell	69975.5→68423.4	+8.52	timeout
06-02 02:21	BTC	Sell	71590.4→70395.5	+6.35	timeout
06-01 02:25	BTC	Sell	73666.3→73489.7	+0.61	timeout
05-31 17:02	BTC	Sell	73909.3→73532.7	+1.69	timeout
05-30 16:30	BTC	Sell	73611.3→73874.7	-1.77	timeout
05-29 20:53	BTC	Sell	73046.3→73633.7	-3.57	timeout
05-29 01:44	BTC	Sell	73406.3→73500.7	-0.84	timeout
05-28 18:43	BTC	Sell	73466.3→73581.7	-0.96	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

75

closed

47%

win rate

+28.75

total pnl ($)

+9.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	75	47%	+9.5	+28.75

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 75 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)