btc_fee_spike_mempool_volume_short_v2

64

closed trades

47%

win rate

+112.04

total pnl ($)

1.302

weight

7d window — n=15 wr=27% pnl=+15.01 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-01 11:21:30 (25.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485392_08545

n: 20 · wr: 50.0% · total_bps: +260.6 · mean_bps: +13.03 · sharpe: +0.16 · max_dd_bps: -225.6

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 06:46	BTC	Sell	58650.1→60446.2	-15.78	stop_loss
06-26 04:13	BTC	Sell	59662→59933	-2.73	timeout
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61579.9→58505.9	+24.49	take_profit
06-25 04:55	BTC	Sell	59453→61299.7	-15.99	stop_loss
06-24 17:21	BTC	Sell	62472.9→59354	+24.48	take_profit
06-24 14:58	BTC	Sell	62624.9→61052.1	+12.07	timeout
06-24 07:52	BTC	Sell	62310.9→62610.1	-2.83	timeout
06-23 21:57	BTC	Sell	62359.9→62571.1	-2.15	timeout
06-23 05:55	BTC	Sell	64612.8→63355.2	+9.30	timeout
06-22 22:06	BTC	Sell	64190.8→64309.2	-1.37	timeout
06-22 05:13	BTC	Sell	64169.8→64227.2	-0.89	timeout
06-21 09:25	BTC	Sell	63949.8→64024.2	-0.97	timeout
06-21 03:20	BTC	Sell	64298.8→64287.2	-0.36	timeout
06-20 04:56	BTC	Sell	62902.9→63546.2	-5.57	timeout
06-19 21:26	BTC	Sell	62382.9→63165.2	-6.69	timeout
06-19 11:39	BTC	Sell	62860.9→62591.1	+1.65	timeout
06-19 03:35	BTC	Sell	63245.8→62718.1	+3.69	timeout
06-18 18:49	BTC	Sell	64078.8→62756.1	+9.74	timeout
06-18 06:01	BTC	Sell	65497.7→63927.2	+11.55	timeout
06-17 23:50	BTC	Sell	64811.8→64443.2	+2.42	timeout
06-17 07:42	BTC	Sell	65582.7→65519.3	+0.05	timeout
06-17 00:23	BTC	Sell	66537.7→65698.3	+5.89	timeout
06-16 10:40	BTC	Sell	66265.7→66567.3	-2.70	timeout
06-16 04:21	BTC	Sell	67104.6→66084.3	+7.13	timeout
06-15 22:20	BTC	Sell	65686.7→66338.3	-5.39	timeout
06-14 22:26	BTC	Sell	64576.8→65171.3	-5.03	timeout
06-14 10:57	BTC	Sell	64441.8→64505.2	-0.94	timeout
06-14 04:25	BTC	Sell	63984.8→64475.2	-4.30	timeout
06-13 22:15	BTC	Sell	63729.8→64392.2	-5.63	timeout
06-13 15:13	BTC	Sell	63666.8→64259.2	-5.09	timeout
06-13 08:58	BTC	Sell	63434.8→63800.2	-3.29	timeout
06-13 02:06	BTC	Sell	63344.8→63777.2	-3.84	timeout
06-12 18:17	BTC	Sell	63147.8→63791.2	-5.54	timeout
06-12 07:55	BTC	Sell	63605.8→62988.1	+4.39	timeout
06-12 01:52	BTC	Sell	63067.8→63402.2	-3.05	timeout
06-11 09:15	BTC	Sell	61554.9→62822.1	-10.69	timeout
06-11 03:03	BTC	Sell	62314.9→62138.1	+1.00	timeout
06-10 04:51	BTC	Sell	61343.9→62023.1	-6.04	timeout
06-09 23:07	BTC	Sell	62584.9→62023.1	+3.98	timeout
06-09 14:57	BTC	Sell	62795.9→61392.1	+10.74	timeout
06-09 05:27	BTC	Sell	63576.8→63313.2	+1.64	timeout
06-08 23:07	BTC	Sell	63189.8→63454.2	-2.53	timeout
06-08 16:06	BTC	Sell	62912.9→63872.2	-8.02	timeout
06-07 08:03	BTC	Sell	60606→62463.3	-15.81	stop_loss
06-07 03:08	BTC	Sell	60653→61458.1	-7.06	timeout
06-06 21:04	BTC	Sell	61131.9→60711	+2.96	timeout
06-06 10:48	BTC	Sell	61742.9→60368	+10.68	timeout
06-06 03:25	BTC	Sell	60890→60710	+1.03	timeout
06-05 18:52	BTC	Sell	62554.9→59433	+24.53	take_profit
06-05 06:23	BTC	Sell	63496.8→61369.1	+16.27	timeout
06-04 19:20	BTC	Sell	63479.8→63950.2	-4.15	timeout
06-04 02:01	BTC	Sell	65246.7→61990.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-04 00:29	BTC	Sell	66826.7→63491.2	+24.50	take_profit
06-03 17:15	BTC	Sell	67128.6→65767.3	+9.72	timeout
06-03 14:14	BTC	Sell	66807.7→66819.3	-0.51	timeout
06-03 05:59	BTC	Sell	67482.6→67346.4	+0.58	timeout
06-02 21:45	BTC	Sell	69463.5→67711.4	+12.18	timeout
06-02 08:28	BTC	Sell	71568.4→70003.5	+10.54	timeout
06-02 00:59	BTC	Sell	72180.4→71270.6	+5.93	timeout
05-31 22:58	BTC	Sell	73858.3→73993.7	-1.38	timeout
05-31 04:34	BTC	Sell	73915.3→74125.7	-1.84	timeout
05-30 02:53	BTC	Sell	73060.3→73736.7	-5.06	timeout
05-29 07:52	BTC	Sell	73470.3→73397.7	+0.06	timeout
05-29 00:43	BTC	Sell	73462.3→73769.7	-2.47	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

64

closed

47%

win rate

+112.04

total pnl ($)

+34.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	64	47%	+34.9	+112.04

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 09:21	BTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 13:19	BTC	Sell	stale_intent

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 64 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)