btc_fee_spike_mempool_congestion_short_v14

72

closed trades

46%

win rate

+139.67

total pnl ($)

1.599

weight

7d window — n=17 wr=41% pnl=+54.43 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-02 12:54:09 (25.7d ago) · src: canon

verdict: PASS · strict: STRICT-PASS · batch: x3485394_12783

n: 26 · wr: 53.8% · total_bps: +917.7 · mean_bps: +35.30 · sharpe: +0.37 · max_dd_bps: -245.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 02:05	BTC	Sell	60486→60242	+1.58	timeout
06-27 11:59	BTC	Sell	60071→60340	-2.67	timeout
06-27 05:55	BTC	Sell	59996→60222	-2.34	timeout
06-26 21:07	BTC	Sell	60051→59662	+2.84	timeout
06-26 04:23	BTC	Sell	59743→59982	-2.48	timeout
06-26 03:47	BTC	Sell	58357.1→59851.9	-13.26	stop_loss
06-25 13:59	BTC	Sell	60797→58064.9	+21.98	take_profit
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61584.9→58802.9	+22.13	take_profit
06-25 04:50	BTC	Sell	60050→61062.1	-8.88	timeout
06-24 16:51	BTC	Sell	62626.9→59794	+22.11	take_profit
06-24 14:57	BTC	Sell	62638.9→61033.1	+12.34	timeout
06-24 03:14	BTC	Sell	62309.9→62599.1	-2.74	timeout
06-23 20:23	BTC	Sell	62354.9→62456.1	-1.26	timeout
06-23 05:56	BTC	Sell	64614.8→63427.2	+8.76	timeout
06-22 22:04	BTC	Sell	64173.8→64354.2	-1.85	timeout
06-22 05:13	BTC	Sell	64168.8→64227.2	-0.90	timeout
06-21 09:24	BTC	Sell	63919.8→63989.2	-0.92	timeout
06-21 03:20	BTC	Sell	64280.8→64287.2	-0.50	timeout
06-20 04:53	BTC	Sell	63073.8→63554.2	-4.26	timeout
06-19 21:24	BTC	Sell	62368.9→63210.2	-7.17	timeout
06-19 11:43	BTC	Sell	62892.9→62633.1	+1.57	timeout
06-19 03:34	BTC	Sell	63239.8→62748.1	+3.40	timeout
06-18 18:47	BTC	Sell	64068.8→62757.1	+9.65	timeout
06-18 05:53	BTC	Sell	66046.7→63857.2	+16.14	timeout
06-17 23:49	BTC	Sell	64819.8→64461.2	+2.31	timeout
06-17 07:43	BTC	Sell	65606.7→65524.3	+0.19	timeout
06-17 00:24	BTC	Sell	66538.7→65710.3	+5.82	timeout
06-16 10:41	BTC	Sell	66323.7→66566.3	-2.26	timeout
06-16 04:22	BTC	Sell	67124.6→66084.3	+7.27	timeout
06-15 22:19	BTC	Sell	65697.7→66342.3	-5.33	timeout
06-14 22:26	BTC	Sell	64576.8→65168.3	-5.01	timeout
06-14 10:52	BTC	Sell	64463.8→64537.2	-1.01	timeout
06-14 04:20	BTC	Sell	64037.8→64503.2	-4.11	timeout
06-13 22:15	BTC	Sell	63730.8→64393.2	-5.63	timeout
06-13 14:41	BTC	Sell	63670.8→64192.2	-4.52	timeout
06-13 08:37	BTC	Sell	63515.8→63843.2	-2.98	timeout
06-13 02:03	BTC	Sell	63332.8→63796.2	-4.08	timeout
06-12 19:58	BTC	Sell	63067.8→63598.2	-4.65	timeout
06-12 13:45	BTC	Sell	63391.8→63119.2	+1.74	timeout
06-12 07:44	BTC	Sell	63650.8→63042.2	+4.35	timeout
06-12 01:45	BTC	Sell	63040.8→63406.2	-3.30	timeout
06-11 09:17	BTC	Sell	61636.9→62774.1	-9.61	timeout
06-11 03:05	BTC	Sell	62071.9→62149.1	-1.03	timeout
06-10 04:49	BTC	Sell	61290.9→62023.1	-6.47	timeout
06-09 22:59	BTC	Sell	62767.9→62023.1	+5.43	timeout
06-09 14:58	BTC	Sell	62808.9→61420.1	+10.62	timeout
06-09 05:10	BTC	Sell	63435.8→63131.2	+1.95	timeout
06-08 23:03	BTC	Sell	63041.8→63402.2	-3.30	timeout
06-08 16:00	BTC	Sell	63105.8→63766.2	-5.61	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	62166.9→63760.1	-13.26	stop_loss
06-07 08:03	BTC	Sell	60913→62474.3	-13.30	stop_loss
06-07 03:08	BTC	Sell	60601→61458.1	-7.49	timeout
06-06 21:03	BTC	Sell	61196.9→60709	+3.50	timeout
06-06 09:56	BTC	Sell	61703.9→60953	+5.66	timeout
06-06 03:19	BTC	Sell	60790→60829	-0.76	timeout
06-05 16:11	BTC	Sell	62706.9→59861	+22.21	take_profit
06-05 11:08	BTC	Sell	63773.8→62329.1	+10.90	timeout
06-05 02:19	BTC	Sell	64164.8→63068.2	+8.09	timeout
06-04 19:15	BTC	Sell	63787.8→63863.2	-1.03	timeout
06-04 01:50	BTC	Sell	65346.7→62412.1	+22.00	take_profit
06-04 00:26	BTC	Sell	66795.7→63796.2	+21.99	take_profit
06-03 17:16	BTC	Sell	67202.6→65749.3	+10.39	timeout
06-03 14:12	BTC	Sell	66822.7→66780.3	-0.11	timeout
06-03 05:06	BTC	Sell	67540.6→66957.3	+3.88	timeout
06-02 20:11	BTC	Sell	69965.5→67378.4	+18.02	timeout
06-02 08:18	BTC	Sell	71548.4→69907.5	+11.07	timeout
06-02 00:48	BTC	Sell	72113.4→71174.6	+6.13	timeout
05-31 22:58	BTC	Sell	73858.3→73993.7	-1.38	timeout
05-31 04:26	BTC	Sell	73871.3→74177.7	-2.49	timeout
05-30 02:54	BTC	Sell	72931.4→73753.7	-6.07	timeout
05-29 07:52	BTC	Sell	73470.3→73397.7	+0.06	timeout
05-29 00:44	BTC	Sell	73484.3→73781.7	-2.40	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

72

closed

46%

win rate

+139.67

total pnl ($)

+38.6 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	72	46%	+38.6	+139.67

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 72 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)