btc_fee_spike_mempool_congestion_short_v13

68

closed trades

51%

win rate

+125.93

total pnl ($)

1.411

weight

7d window — n=16 wr=38% pnl=+28.61 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-01 16:31:40 (26.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: PASS · strict: STRICT-PASS · batch: x3485394_08899

n: 21 · wr: 47.6% · total_bps: +440.2 · mean_bps: +20.96 · sharpe: +0.25 · max_dd_bps: -223.5

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 11:59	BTC	Sell	60094→60341	-2.49	timeout
06-27 05:56	BTC	Sell	59939→60226	-2.85	timeout
06-26 21:08	BTC	Sell	60053→59691	+2.61	timeout
06-26 06:46	BTC	Sell	58637.1→60433.2	-15.77	stop_loss
06-26 04:23	BTC	Sell	59753→59983	-2.40	timeout
06-25 13:54	BTC	Sell	61583.9→58502.9	+24.55	take_profit
06-25 04:51	BTC	Sell	59745→61083.1	-11.65	timeout
06-24 17:20	BTC	Sell	62599.9→59474	+24.47	take_profit
06-24 14:57	BTC	Sell	62646.9→61036.1	+12.38	timeout
06-24 03:14	BTC	Sell	62311.9→62598.1	-2.72	timeout
06-23 20:24	BTC	Sell	62194.9→62432.1	-2.35	timeout
06-23 05:56	BTC	Sell	64614.8→63427.2	+8.76	timeout
06-22 22:03	BTC	Sell	64151.8→64338.2	-1.90	timeout
06-22 05:13	BTC	Sell	64169.8→64241.2	-1.00	timeout
06-21 09:25	BTC	Sell	63945.8→64040.2	-1.12	timeout
06-21 03:20	BTC	Sell	64354.8→64287.2	+0.08	timeout
06-20 04:54	BTC	Sell	63070.8→63553.2	-4.28	timeout
06-19 21:24	BTC	Sell	62375.9→63210.2	-7.11	timeout
06-19 11:41	BTC	Sell	62898.9→62599.1	+1.89	timeout
06-19 03:31	BTC	Sell	63267.8→62797.1	+3.24	timeout
06-18 18:51	BTC	Sell	64064.8→62774.1	+9.50	timeout
06-18 05:58	BTC	Sell	66005.7→63950.2	+15.13	timeout
06-17 23:50	BTC	Sell	64822.8→64466.2	+2.32	timeout
06-17 07:44	BTC	Sell	65619.7→65532.3	+0.19	timeout
06-17 00:25	BTC	Sell	66532.7→65691.3	+5.91	timeout
06-16 05:55	BTC	Sell	66835.7→66057.3	+5.35	timeout
06-15 23:25	BTC	Sell	66297.7→66148.3	+0.70	timeout
06-14 22:26	BTC	Sell	64573.8→65126.3	-4.70	timeout
06-14 11:04	BTC	Sell	64427.8→64453.2	-0.64	timeout
06-14 05:00	BTC	Sell	64013.8→64343.2	-3.04	timeout
06-13 22:56	BTC	Sell	63774.8→64441.2	-5.66	timeout
06-13 14:40	BTC	Sell	63671.8→64192.2	-4.52	timeout
06-13 04:38	BTC	Sell	63920.8→63578.2	+2.23	timeout
06-12 21:51	BTC	Sell	63785.8→63453.2	+2.18	timeout
06-12 15:38	BTC	Sell	63460.8→63916.2	-4.02	timeout
06-12 07:50	BTC	Sell	63641.8→62995.1	+4.71	timeout
06-12 01:40	BTC	Sell	62762.9→63333.2	-4.94	timeout
06-11 09:13	BTC	Sell	61519.9→62800.1	-10.80	timeout
06-11 03:05	BTC	Sell	62065.9→62151.1	-1.10	timeout
06-10 01:50	BTC	Sell	62423.9→62023.1	+2.71	timeout
06-09 19:48	BTC	Sell	63158.8→61763.1	+10.65	timeout
06-09 12:07	BTC	Sell	63050.8→62878.1	+0.89	timeout
06-09 05:07	BTC	Sell	63548.8→63131.2	+2.83	timeout
06-08 23:03	BTC	Sell	63043.8→63404.2	-3.29	timeout
06-08 16:00	BTC	Sell	63118.8→63685.2	-4.93	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Sell	61778.9→63671	-15.77	stop_loss
06-07 08:46	BTC	Sell	60860→62727.5	-15.80	stop_loss
06-07 03:08	BTC	Sell	60617→61458.1	-7.36	timeout
06-06 21:03	BTC	Sell	61196.9→60714	+3.46	timeout
06-06 09:55	BTC	Sell	61703.9→60936	+5.80	timeout
06-06 03:19	BTC	Sell	60771→60829	-0.92	timeout
06-05 18:44	BTC	Sell	62875.9→59738	+24.53	take_profit
06-05 06:21	BTC	Sell	63370.8→61650.1	+13.09	timeout
06-04 17:02	BTC	Sell	64130.8→63534.2	+4.24	timeout
06-04 14:11	BTC	Sell	62549.9→64471.4	-15.82	stop_loss
06-04 01:58	BTC	Sell	65345.7→62084.1	+24.51	take_profit
06-04 00:29	BTC	Sell	66734.7→63404.2	+24.49	take_profit
06-03 17:16	BTC	Sell	67207.6→65749.3	+10.43	timeout
06-03 12:47	BTC	Sell	66972.7→66991.3	-0.61	timeout
06-03 04:55	BTC	Sell	67555.6→66285.3	+8.96	timeout
06-02 20:10	BTC	Sell	69969.5→67457.4	+17.48	timeout
06-02 08:16	BTC	Sell	71551.4→70007.5	+10.39	timeout
06-02 00:46	BTC	Sell	72158.4→71161.6	+6.53	timeout
05-31 22:56	BTC	Sell	73831.3→73930.7	-1.13	timeout
05-31 04:28	BTC	Sell	73874.3→74178.7	-2.48	timeout
05-30 02:54	BTC	Sell	72948.4→73738.7	-5.85	timeout
05-29 07:49	BTC	Sell	73481.3→73378.7	+0.27	timeout
05-29 00:44	BTC	Sell	73466.3→73781.7	-2.52	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

68

closed

51%

win rate

+125.93

total pnl ($)

+36.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	68	51%	+36.9	+125.93

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 68 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)