btc_fee_spike_fear_short_v3 · strategy

101

closed trades

39%

win rate

-21.20

total pnl ($)

1.238

weight

7d window — n=22 wr=36% pnl=+2.17 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 05:29	BTC	Sell	59969→60140	-1.50	timeout
06-27 00:07	BTC	Sell	60088→60092	-0.38	timeout
06-26 20:02	BTC	Sell	59861→59822	-0.08	timeout
06-26 15:08	BTC	Sell	60048→59775	+1.47	timeout
06-26 07:14	BTC	Sell	58694.1→60491.3	-12.61	stop_loss
06-25 22:12	BTC	Sell	59654→59920	-2.14	timeout
06-25 13:53	BTC	Sell	61573.9→58803.9	+17.62	take_profit
06-25 01:05	BTC	Sell	59641→60744	-7.76	timeout
06-24 21:08	BTC	Sell	60834→60713	+0.40	timeout
06-24 16:07	BTC	Sell	62599.9→60303	+14.30	timeout
06-24 08:57	BTC	Sell	62640.9→62778.1	-1.23	timeout
06-24 01:53	BTC	Sell	62324.9→62948.1	-4.35	timeout
06-23 21:14	BTC	Sell	62311.9→62471.1	-1.38	timeout
06-23 15:57	BTC	Sell	62363.9→62434.1	-0.81	timeout
06-23 05:20	BTC	Sell	63884.8→63536.2	+1.83	timeout
06-23 01:05	BTC	Sell	64367.8→64181.2	+0.80	timeout
06-22 20:47	BTC	Sell	64914.8→64468.2	+2.40	timeout
06-22 16:04	BTC	Sell	64167.8→64716.2	-3.78	timeout
06-21 23:15	BTC	Sell	64159.8→63659.2	+2.76	timeout
06-21 07:25	BTC	Sell	64218.8→64168.2	-0.05	timeout
06-21 03:25	BTC	Sell	63945.8→64406.2	-3.24	timeout
06-20 21:17	BTC	Sell	63989.8→63948.2	-0.10	timeout
06-20 02:56	BTC	Sell	63183.8→63324.2	-1.25	timeout
06-19 19:27	BTC	Sell	62755.9→62953.1	-1.61	timeout
06-19 15:26	BTC	Sell	62388.9→63052.2	-4.63	timeout
06-19 06:37	BTC	Sell	62987.9→62712.1	+1.38	timeout
06-19 01:53	BTC	Sell	62953.9→62945.1	-0.33	timeout
06-18 21:33	BTC	Sell	63164.8→62960.1	+0.91	timeout
06-18 12:46	BTC	Sell	64078.8→64262.2	-1.50	timeout
06-18 02:14	BTC	Sell	64237.8→64498.2	-1.97	timeout
06-17 22:07	BTC	Sell	65792.7→64152.2	+9.61	timeout
06-17 17:48	BTC	Sell	64826.8→65792.3	-6.30	timeout
06-17 01:43	BTC	Sell	65600.7→65736.3	-1.18	timeout
06-16 18:24	BTC	Sell	66549.7→65934.3	+3.35	timeout
06-16 10:07	BTC	Sell	66176.7→66576.3	-2.77	timeout
06-16 00:58	BTC	Sell	66771.7→66235.3	+2.85	timeout
06-15 20:31	BTC	Sell	66494.7→66612.3	-1.05	timeout
06-15 16:20	BTC	Sell	65686.7→67134.4	-9.17	timeout
06-15 03:14	BTC	Sell	64067.8→65701.3	-10.55	timeout
06-14 22:05	BTC	Sell	63993.8→65251.3	-8.21	timeout
06-14 16:27	BTC	Sell	64573.8→64136.2	+2.36	timeout
06-14 05:14	BTC	Sell	64427.8→64321.2	+0.30	timeout
06-14 01:12	BTC	Sell	64144.8→64640.2	-3.46	timeout
06-13 20:58	BTC	Sell	64212.8→64257.2	-0.63	timeout
06-13 16:56	BTC	Sell	63789.8→63983.2	-1.57	timeout
06-13 08:41	BTC	Sell	63671.8→63854.2	-1.49	timeout
06-13 04:33	BTC	Sell	63509.8→63548.2	-0.60	timeout
06-13 00:24	BTC	Sell	63692.8→63567.2	+0.45	timeout
06-12 20:06	BTC	Sell	63344.8→63639.2	-2.22	timeout
06-12 13:59	BTC	Sell	63079.8→63202.2	-1.12	timeout
06-12 09:40	BTC	Sell	63438.8→63856.2	-2.97	timeout
06-12 04:36	BTC	Sell	63548.8→63720.2	-1.42	timeout
06-12 00:30	BTC	Sell	63369.8→63601.2	-1.80	timeout
06-11 19:39	BTC	Sell	62808.9→63686.2	-5.92	timeout
06-11 13:02	BTC	Sell	62735.9→62898.1	-1.37	timeout
06-11 05:07	BTC	Sell	61297.9→62554.1	-8.53	timeout
06-11 01:05	BTC	Sell	61765.9→61977.1	-1.72	timeout
06-10 21:04	BTC	Sell	62149.9→61744.1	+2.26	timeout
06-09 22:11	BTC	Sell	61005.9→62023.1	-7.05	timeout
06-09 17:02	BTC	Sell	62683.9→61490.1	+7.27	timeout
06-09 08:58	BTC	Sell	62808.9→62829.1	-0.49	timeout
06-09 02:23	BTC	Sell	63269.8→62618.1	+3.76	timeout
06-08 21:43	BTC	Sell	63835.8→63815.2	-0.22	timeout
06-08 17:01	BTC	Sell	63072.8→63429.2	-2.60	timeout
06-08 10:00	BTC	Sell	63096.8→63480.2	-2.79	timeout
06-07 22:15	BTC	Sell	62030.9→63932.1	-12.62	stop_loss
06-07 20:36	BTC	Sell	62217.9→61686.1	+3.05	timeout
06-07 08:38	BTC	Sell	61252.9→62652.1	-9.50	timeout
06-07 02:04	BTC	Sell	60510→61432.1	-6.44	timeout
06-06 20:20	BTC	Sell	60957→60532	+2.41	timeout
06-06 15:04	BTC	Sell	61138.9→60603	+3.15	timeout
06-06 09:02	BTC	Sell	60876→61255.1	-2.84	timeout
06-06 05:01	BTC	Sell	61632.9→59839	+11.28	timeout
06-05 21:05	BTC	Sell	60830→61853.1	-7.09	timeout
06-05 20:31	BTC	Sell	59387→61205.6	-12.61	stop_loss
06-05 16:12	BTC	Sell	62554.9→59744	+17.60	take_profit
06-05 11:54	BTC	Sell	62667.9→61978.1	+4.05	timeout
06-05 04:41	BTC	Sell	63510.8→63075.2	+2.37	timeout
06-05 00:19	BTC	Sell	63356.8→63661.2	-2.27	timeout
06-04 20:01	BTC	Sell	64249.8→63544.2	+4.03	timeout
06-04 13:35	BTC	Sell	63786.8→63709.2	+0.11	timeout
06-04 08:46	BTC	Sell	63337.8→63466.2	-1.18	timeout
06-04 01:51	BTC	Sell	65287.7→62355.1	+17.61	take_profit
06-04 00:31	BTC	Sell	65908.7→63698.2	+13.05	timeout
06-03 18:58	BTC	Sell	67074.6→66057.3	+5.72	timeout
06-03 11:17	BTC	Sell	67127.6→67310.4	-1.42	timeout
06-03 06:49	BTC	Sell	66980.7→67242.4	-1.91	timeout
06-03 01:10	BTC	Sell	67307.6→66735.3	+3.04	timeout
06-02 20:17	BTC	Sell	68465.6→67259.4	+6.68	timeout
06-02 14:09	BTC	Sell	69968.5→68493.4	+8.08	timeout
06-02 04:46	BTC	Sell	71216.4→70972.5	+1.04	timeout
06-01 23:55	BTC	Sell	71705.4→71456.6	+1.06	timeout
06-01 18:50	BTC	Sell	72142.4→71419.6	+3.68	timeout
05-31 22:55	BTC	Sell	73522.3→73941.7	-2.65	timeout
05-31 16:58	BTC	Sell	73859.3→73507.7	+1.56	timeout
05-31 00:07	BTC	Sell	73988.3→73856.7	+0.37	timeout
05-30 16:31	BTC	Sell	73613.3→73881.7	-1.80	timeout
05-30 05:11	BTC	Sell	73398.3→73484.7	-0.82	timeout
05-29 20:55	BTC	Sell	72922.4→73602.7	-4.08	timeout
05-28 23:19	BTC	Sell	73431.3→73590.7	-1.20	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

101

closed

39%

win rate

-21.20

total pnl ($)

-5.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	101	39%	-5.4	-21.20

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 14:09	BTC	Sell	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…