btc_fee_spike_fear_greed_confluence

72

closed trades

39%

win rate

+13.46

total pnl ($)

1.291

weight

7d window — n=16 wr=44% pnl=+5.74 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-30 14:34:24 (28.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485389_97082

n: 9 · wr: 22.2% · total_bps: -221.9 · mean_bps: -24.65 · sharpe: -0.44 · max_dd_bps: -221.9

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-28 02:49	BTC	Sell	60251→60093	+0.86	timeout
06-27 20:04	BTC	Sell	60494→60212	+1.87	timeout
06-27 05:59	BTC	Sell	60070→60235	-1.82	timeout
06-26 23:56	BTC	Sell	59928→60050	-1.46	timeout
06-26 15:08	BTC	Sell	60050→59763	+1.98	timeout
06-26 08:17	BTC	Sell	58734.1→60230	-13.20	timeout
06-25 22:13	BTC	Sell	59740→59866	-1.50	timeout
06-25 13:46	BTC	Sell	61553.9→59590	+15.49	take_profit
06-24 22:50	BTC	Sell	60074→60802	-6.54	timeout
06-24 15:38	BTC	Sell	62626.9→60620	+15.55	take_profit
06-24 08:59	BTC	Sell	62602.9→62784.1	-1.88	timeout
06-24 00:08	BTC	Sell	62246.9→62818.1	-5.04	timeout
06-23 15:57	BTC	Sell	62358.9→62381.1	-0.63	timeout
06-22 23:54	BTC	Sell	64629.8→64012.2	+4.32	timeout
06-22 16:00	BTC	Sell	64098.8→64746.2	-5.50	timeout
06-21 23:15	BTC	Sell	64169.8→63696.2	+3.23	timeout
06-21 03:23	BTC	Sell	63911.8→64408.2	-4.33	timeout
06-20 21:19	BTC	Sell	64208.8→63942.2	+1.62	timeout
06-19 22:53	BTC	Sell	63074.8→63305.2	-2.27	timeout
06-19 15:26	BTC	Sell	62389.9→63025.2	-5.57	timeout
06-19 09:18	BTC	Sell	62354.9→62397.1	-0.83	timeout
06-19 02:54	BTC	Sell	63090.8→62953.1	+0.63	timeout
06-18 21:31	BTC	Sell	63279.8→62945.1	+2.17	timeout
06-18 12:46	BTC	Sell	64090.8→64270.2	-1.85	timeout
06-17 22:03	BTC	Sell	66014.7→63898.2	+15.58	take_profit
06-17 17:51	BTC	Sell	64828.8→65845.3	-8.27	timeout
06-17 01:44	BTC	Sell	65618.7→65728.3	-1.28	timeout
06-16 18:21	BTC	Sell	66631.7→65974.3	+4.50	timeout
06-16 10:06	BTC	Sell	66231.7→66529.3	-2.68	timeout
06-15 22:33	BTC	Sell	67150.6→66151.3	+7.00	timeout
06-15 16:21	BTC	Sell	65685.7→67111.4	-11.28	timeout
06-15 03:17	BTC	Sell	64387.8→65703.3	-10.66	timeout
06-14 16:26	BTC	Sell	64573.8→64154.2	+2.81	timeout
06-14 05:10	BTC	Sell	64418.8→64349.2	+0.09	timeout
06-13 22:59	BTC	Sell	63996.8→64435.2	-3.87	timeout
06-13 16:56	BTC	Sell	63781.8→64023.2	-2.34	timeout
06-13 08:40	BTC	Sell	63670.8→63847.2	-1.81	timeout
06-13 02:40	BTC	Sell	63516.8→63678.2	-1.72	timeout
06-12 20:05	BTC	Sell	63343.8→63620.2	-2.63	timeout
06-12 13:58	BTC	Sell	63082.8→63159.2	-1.04	timeout
06-12 07:44	BTC	Sell	63377.8→63037.2	+2.25	timeout
06-12 01:46	BTC	Sell	63656.8→63385.2	+1.71	timeout
06-11 19:39	BTC	Sell	62765.9→63708.2	-7.92	timeout
06-11 12:58	BTC	Sell	62747.9→63004.2	-2.47	timeout
06-11 03:12	BTC	Sell	61505.9→62035.1	-4.73	timeout
06-10 21:04	BTC	Sell	62177.9→61739.1	+3.09	timeout
06-09 23:02	BTC	Sell	61458.9→62023.1	-5.07	timeout
06-09 17:00	BTC	Sell	62753.9→61394.1	+10.40	timeout
06-09 06:00	BTC	Sell	63043.8→63314.2	-2.58	timeout
06-08 23:11	BTC	Sell	63359.8→63470.2	-1.31	timeout
06-08 17:06	BTC	Sell	63103.8→63509.2	-3.64	timeout
06-08 10:05	BTC	Sell	62929.9→63431.2	-4.43	timeout
06-07 20:35	BTC	Sell	62190.9→61801.1	+2.68	timeout
06-07 03:29	BTC	Sell	60860→61625.1	-6.72	timeout
06-06 21:08	BTC	Sell	60653→60720	-1.02	timeout
06-06 15:03	BTC	Sell	61218.9→60660	+4.11	timeout
06-06 03:58	BTC	Sell	61623.9→60711	+6.96	timeout
06-05 21:05	BTC	Sell	60905→61881.1	-8.46	timeout
06-05 14:04	BTC	Sell	62596.9→60596	+15.53	take_profit
06-05 05:55	BTC	Sell	63875.8→62622.1	+9.35	timeout
06-04 23:53	BTC	Sell	63473.8→63839.2	-3.35	timeout
06-04 16:27	BTC	Sell	62717.9→63641.2	-7.78	timeout
06-04 11:01	BTC	Sell	64223.8→62403.1	+13.70	timeout
06-04 01:16	BTC	Sell	64990.8→62917.1	+15.50	take_profit
06-03 20:49	BTC	Sell	66826.7→65115.3	+12.37	timeout
06-03 11:15	BTC	Sell	67128.6→67297.4	-1.67	timeout
06-03 07:00	BTC	Sell	66879.7→66911.3	-0.68	timeout
06-02 23:04	BTC	Sell	67494.6→66247.3	+8.79	timeout
05-30 16:28	BTC	Sell	73594.3→73884.7	-2.39	timeout
05-29 20:52	BTC	Sell	73007.3→73645.7	-4.81	timeout
05-29 01:52	BTC	Sell	73484.3→73496.7	-0.50	timeout
05-28 18:42	BTC	Sell	73495.3→73603.7	-1.15	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

72

closed

39%

win rate

+13.46

total pnl ($)

+3.7 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	72	39%	+3.7	+13.46

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 72 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

Postmortem feed (last 10)