btc_fee_spike_contrarian_long_v2 · strategy

closed trades

46%

win rate

-117.23

total pnl ($)

0.927

weight

7d window — n=23 wr=48% pnl=-49.31 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 92 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 13:37	BTC	Buy	59239→59164	-0.66	timeout
06-26 07:10	BTC	Buy	59345→60380	+4.96	timeout
06-25 13:53	BTC	Buy	61273.1→58785.7	-12.45	stop_loss
06-25 13:49	BTC	Buy	61745.1→59236.4	-12.45	stop_loss
06-25 10:09	BTC	Buy	61059.1→61639.9	+2.58	timeout
06-25 04:07	BTC	Buy	60341→60819	+2.11	timeout
06-24 16:43	BTC	Buy	62654.1→60110.9	-12.41	stop_loss
06-24 14:45	BTC	Buy	62713.1→61151.9	-7.73	timeout
06-24 04:17	BTC	Buy	62648.1→62648.9	-0.29	timeout
06-23 22:03	BTC	Buy	62531.1→62621.9	+0.17	timeout
06-23 16:01	BTC	Buy	64060.2→62484.9	-7.65	timeout
06-23 07:54	BTC	Buy	64429.2→62849.9	-7.63	timeout
06-23 01:46	BTC	Buy	65416.3→63999.8	-6.76	timeout
06-22 19:44	BTC	Buy	64237.2→64396.8	+0.46	timeout
06-22 03:16	BTC	Buy	64186.2→64159.8	-0.42	timeout
06-21 20:33	BTC	Buy	63983.2→64033.8	-0.03	timeout
06-21 13:40	BTC	Buy	64200.2→63978.8	-1.28	timeout
06-21 07:37	BTC	Buy	63854.2→64192.8	+1.32	timeout
06-21 01:35	BTC	Buy	63335.2→64211.8	+3.87	timeout
06-20 16:45	BTC	Buy	63575.2→63940.8	+1.44	timeout
06-20 08:44	BTC	Buy	63069.2→63416.8	+1.35	timeout
06-20 02:31	BTC	Buy	63222.2→63406.8	+0.61	timeout
06-19 20:28	BTC	Buy	62658.1→63044.8	+1.57	timeout
06-19 11:42	BTC	Buy	62905.1→62623.9	-1.59	timeout
06-19 05:42	BTC	Buy	62576.1→62592.9	-0.17	timeout
06-18 23:39	BTC	Buy	63946.2→62881.9	-5.24	timeout
06-18 17:18	BTC	Buy	63934.2→62504.9	-6.90	timeout
06-18 10:13	BTC	Buy	64138.2→63964.8	-1.11	timeout
06-18 04:06	BTC	Buy	65808.3→64170.8	-7.74	timeout
06-17 22:04	BTC	Buy	64804.2→64001.8	-3.98	timeout
06-17 15:34	BTC	Buy	65814.3→65373.7	-2.28	timeout
06-17 01:27	BTC	Buy	66111.3→65552.7	-2.82	timeout
06-16 19:31	BTC	Buy	66333.3→65749.7	-2.94	timeout
06-16 13:00	BTC	Buy	66250.3→66405.7	+0.41	timeout
06-16 06:52	BTC	Buy	66805.3→66493.7	-1.65	timeout
06-16 00:43	BTC	Buy	66443.3→66396.7	-0.47	timeout
06-15 17:58	BTC	Buy	65824.3→66812.7	+4.20	timeout
06-15 10:45	BTC	Buy	65425.3→65736.7	+1.16	timeout
06-15 04:16	BTC	Buy	64097.2→65698.7	+7.22	timeout
06-14 22:15	BTC	Buy	64501.2→65110.7	+2.55	timeout
06-14 16:07	BTC	Buy	64505.2→64009.8	-2.60	timeout
06-14 09:35	BTC	Buy	64263.2→64429.8	+0.49	timeout
06-14 03:34	BTC	Buy	64275.2→64499.8	+0.79	timeout
06-13 21:28	BTC	Buy	63794.2→64229.8	+1.77	timeout
06-13 14:13	BTC	Buy	63772.2→64149.8	+1.49	timeout
06-13 07:02	BTC	Buy	63703.2→63669.8	-0.43	timeout
06-13 00:48	BTC	Buy	63470.2→63562.8	+0.14	timeout
06-12 11:16	BTC	Buy	63412.2→63794.8	+1.52	timeout
06-12 05:10	BTC	Buy	62518.1→63533.8	+4.59	timeout
06-11 22:46	BTC	Buy	62905.1→63454.8	+2.31	timeout
06-11 15:12	BTC	Buy	62006.1→62753.9	+3.32	timeout
06-11 09:01	BTC	Buy	61755.1→62892.9	+5.23	timeout
06-11 02:58	BTC	Buy	61877.1→62181.9	+1.19	timeout
06-10 20:31	BTC	Buy	61569.1→61810.9	+0.89	timeout
06-10 05:28	BTC	Buy	61759.1→62016.9	+1.01	timeout
06-09 23:34	BTC	Buy	62587.1→62016.9	-2.97	timeout
06-09 16:40	BTC	Buy	63308.2→60734.6	-12.50	stop_loss
06-09 11:04	BTC	Buy	63411.2→62579.9	-4.19	timeout
06-09 04:49	BTC	Buy	63605.2→63315.8	-1.63	timeout
06-08 22:43	BTC	Buy	63229.2→63256.8	-0.15	timeout
06-08 16:13	BTC	Buy	62913.1→63850.8	+4.17	timeout
06-08 10:09	BTC	Buy	61842.1→63388.8	+7.23	timeout
06-08 03:14	BTC	Buy	61788.1→63225.8	+6.70	timeout
06-07 21:08	BTC	Buy	62790.1→61703.9	-5.45	timeout
06-07 14:17	BTC	Buy	61309.1→61814.9	+2.20	timeout
06-07 07:54	BTC	Buy	60600→62285.9	+8.10	timeout
06-07 01:21	BTC	Buy	61010.1→61403.9	+1.65	timeout
06-06 19:18	BTC	Buy	61004.1→60656	-1.96	timeout
06-06 13:07	BTC	Buy	61336.1→60997.9	-1.91	timeout
06-06 06:44	BTC	Buy	59757→60807	+4.99	timeout
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	61991.1→59475.3	-12.45	stop_loss
06-05 18:22	BTC	Buy	61503.1→60410	-5.62	timeout
06-05 06:23	BTC	Buy	63780.2→61176.3	-12.51	stop_loss
06-05 05:25	BTC	Buy	63194.2→63403.8	+0.74	timeout
06-04 21:51	BTC	Buy	63009.2→63333.8	+1.28	timeout
06-04 16:59	BTC	Buy	64363.2→63525.8	-4.20	timeout
06-04 01:22	BTC	Buy	65235.3→62587.6	-12.45	stop_loss
06-03 16:41	BTC	Buy	66373.3→65927.7	-2.30	timeout
06-03 11:41	BTC	Buy	66521.3→67091.6	+2.26	timeout
06-03 04:01	BTC	Buy	67229.4→65998.7	-5.76	timeout
06-02 15:30	BTC	Buy	70111.5→67263	-12.47	stop_loss
06-02 06:23	BTC	Buy	71425.6→70308.5	-5.01	timeout
06-01 04:41	BTC	Buy	73499.7→73453.3	-0.47	timeout
05-31 19:59	BTC	Buy	73846.7→73538.3	-1.52	timeout
05-31 12:11	BTC	Buy	73892.7→73882.3	-0.35	timeout
05-30 22:20	BTC	Buy	73627.7→73863.3	+0.66	timeout
05-30 08:02	BTC	Buy	73530.7→73509.3	-0.37	timeout
05-29 22:55	BTC	Buy	73638.7→73425.3	-1.15	timeout
05-29 14:41	BTC	Buy	73412.7→72696.4	-3.24	timeout
05-29 07:57	BTC	Buy	73407.7→73419.3	-0.25	timeout
05-29 00:53	BTC	Buy	73493.7→73715.3	+0.59	timeout
05-28 18:52	BTC	Buy	73069.7→73639.3	+2.02	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

46%

win rate

-117.23

total pnl ($)

-42.2 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	92	46%	-42.2	-117.23

Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 08:39	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-26 01:41	BTC	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 19:13	BTC	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 16:23	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-24 10:06	BTC	Buy	below_min_notional_skip

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…