btc_fee_spike_contrarian_fear_long · strategy

closed trades

35%

win rate

-378.21

total pnl ($)

0.303

weight

7d window — n=18 wr=28% pnl=-124.54 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 96 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-29 22:33	BTC	Buy	60119→60380	+1.77	timeout
06-28 17:00	BTC	Buy	60000→59656	-3.25	timeout
06-28 14:02	BTC	Buy	59877→60042	+0.86	timeout
06-28 11:39	BTC	Buy	59442→60273	+6.45	timeout
06-28 02:17	BTC	Buy	58769.9→60258	+12.20	timeout
06-27 19:11	BTC	Buy	59315→60564	+10.16	timeout
06-26 13:19	BTC	Buy	60104→58619.7	-12.81	stop_loss
06-26 02:24	BTC	Buy	59750→58277.9	-12.73	stop_loss
06-25 13:58	BTC	Buy	59637→58168	-12.68	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	BTC	Buy	60275→58792.6	-12.65	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60772→59276.4	-12.68	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60834→59338.3	-12.69	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60874→59377.3	-12.68	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62429.1→60883.5	-12.77	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62446.1→60883.5	-12.90	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62384.1→60842.5	-12.74	stop_loss
06-24 14:13	BTC	Buy	62614.1→61073.4	-12.71	stop_loss
06-24 14:13	BTC	Buy	62620.1→61078.4	-12.69	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	BTC	Buy	64331.2→62745.5	-12.78	stop_loss
06-23 06:20	BTC	Buy	64425.2→62837.4	-12.82	stop_loss
06-23 06:18	BTC	Buy	64611.2→63015.3	-12.81	stop_loss
06-23 02:11	BTC	Buy	64227.2→64021.8	-2.05	timeout
06-23 00:06	BTC	Buy	64254.2→63995.8	-2.40	timeout
06-22 20:01	BTC	Buy	63930.2→64498.8	+3.95	timeout
06-22 15:44	BTC	Buy	64090.2→65051.7	+7.10	timeout
06-21 09:24	BTC	Buy	62375.1→63982.8	+12.19	timeout
06-20 23:41	BTC	Buy	62905.1→64293.8	+10.56	timeout
06-20 19:57	BTC	Buy	62932.1→63896.8	+7.28	timeout
06-20 17:56	BTC	Buy	62565.1→63843.8	+9.75	timeout
06-20 15:34	BTC	Buy	63259.2→64140.8	+6.38	timeout
06-18 15:51	BTC	Buy	64083.2→62506.6	-12.61	stop_loss
06-18 15:51	BTC	Buy	64159.2→62579.6	-12.67	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64335.2→62752.5	-12.87	stop_loss
06-18 15:17	BTC	Buy	64842.2→63247.2	-12.72	stop_loss
06-18 05:04	BTC	Buy	65303.3→63696.9	-12.76	stop_loss
06-17 19:50	BTC	Buy	65612.3→63964.8	-13.02	stop_loss
06-17 19:40	BTC	Buy	65802.3→64180.7	-12.78	stop_loss
06-17 11:02	BTC	Buy	66333.3→64702.4	-12.91	stop_loss
06-17 11:02	BTC	Buy	66332.3→64701.4	-12.92	stop_loss
06-17 10:56	BTC	Buy	66384.3→64751.4	-12.88	stop_loss
06-17 08:31	BTC	Buy	66803.3→65160.1	-12.73	stop_loss
06-16 14:23	BTC	Buy	67201.4→65548.9	-12.82	stop_loss
06-15 15:47	BTC	Buy	64236.2→67070.6	+21.64	take_profit
06-15 15:46	BTC	Buy	64147.2→66966.7	+21.56	take_profit
06-15 14:19	BTC	Buy	64151.2→66506.7	+17.93	timeout
06-15 12:09	BTC	Buy	63909.2→66174.7	+17.30	timeout
06-15 04:54	BTC	Buy	63585.2→65656.7	+15.78	timeout
06-13 20:32	BTC	Buy	63346.2→64225.8	+6.47	timeout
06-13 18:25	BTC	Buy	63401.2→64128.8	+5.25	timeout
06-12 20:02	BTC	Buy	61843.1→63582.8	+13.61	timeout
06-12 17:44	BTC	Buy	61733.1→63801.8	+16.27	timeout
06-12 15:07	BTC	Buy	62024.1→64138.8	+16.43	timeout
06-11 19:30	BTC	Buy	61163.1→63849.8	+21.40	take_profit
06-11 16:23	BTC	Buy	61035.1→62631.9	+12.41	timeout
06-09 16:39	BTC	Buy	62330.1→60794.5	-12.78	stop_loss
06-09 14:29	BTC	Buy	63067.2→61516.1	-12.76	stop_loss
06-09 14:29	BTC	Buy	63088.2→61531.1	-12.81	stop_loss
06-09 14:11	BTC	Buy	61785.1→62063.9	+1.81	timeout
06-09 13:19	BTC	Buy	63842.2→62268.7	-12.75	stop_loss
06-09 13:19	BTC	Buy	63889.2→62314.7	-12.74	stop_loss
06-07 22:15	BTC	Buy	61206.1→63893.8	+21.52	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60875→63547.8	+21.52	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60826→63496.8	+21.52	take_profit
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60603→63263.8	+21.52	take_profit
06-07 05:18	BTC	Buy	59431→62039.9	+21.54	take_profit
06-06 04:11	BTC	Buy	61780.1→60255.8	-12.79	stop_loss
06-05 18:52	BTC	Buy	60890→59392.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 18:37	BTC	Buy	61425.1→59914	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 14:26	BTC	Buy	61842.1→60320.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62546.1→61006.4	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 13:52	BTC	Buy	62617.1→61076.4	-12.76	stop_loss
06-05 06:24	BTC	Buy	62676.1→61122.4	-12.79	stop_loss
06-05 06:20	BTC	Buy	63235.2→61679.1	-12.67	stop_loss
06-04 11:10	BTC	Buy	63766.2→62197.8	-12.73	stop_loss
06-04 00:39	BTC	Buy	64596.2→63007.3	-12.75	stop_loss
06-04 00:29	BTC	Buy	65080.3→63480.1	-12.74	stop_loss
06-03 19:55	BTC	Buy	66851.3→65167.1	-13.06	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	66952.3→65297.1	-12.87	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	66963.3→65316.1	-12.78	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	66998.3→65324.1	-13.01	stop_loss
06-03 19:54	BTC	Buy	67011.4→65363	-12.79	stop_loss
06-03 03:43	BTC	Buy	67421.4→65762.8	-12.75	stop_loss
06-03 03:39	BTC	Buy	67579.4→65913.7	-12.78	stop_loss
06-02 19:33	BTC	Buy	68081.4→66404.5	-12.77	stop_loss
06-02 14:26	BTC	Buy	69546.5→67830.7	-12.79	stop_loss
06-02 14:10	BTC	Buy	69976.5→68252.4	-12.78	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73734.7→71299.8	-17.06	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73671.7→71299.8	-16.67	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73933.7→71299.8	-18.43	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73781.7→71299.8	-17.45	stop_loss
06-01 15:32	BTC	Buy	73999.7→71299.8	-18.97	stop_loss
05-31 18:22	BTC	Buy	73810.7→73620.3	-1.88	timeout
05-31 14:58	BTC	Buy	73097.7→73584.3	+2.85	timeout
05-30 19:51	BTC	Buy	73497.7→74023.3	+2.90	timeout
05-30 15:18	BTC	Buy	72757.6→73890.3	+7.04	timeout
05-30 12:54	BTC	Buy	73504.7→73634.3	+0.31	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

35%

win rate

-378.21

total pnl ($)

-78.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	96	35%	-78.3	-378.21

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…