btc_fee_spike_capitulation_long

not live
26
closed trades
42%
win rate
-42.73
total pnl ($)
1.150
weight
7d window — n=7 wr=43% pnl=-10.76  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=  ·  SL=  ·  TP=  ·  class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-27 03:57:31 (30.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: x2189873_32614
n: 48  ·  wr: 45.8%  ·  total_bps: -424.2  ·  mean_bps: -8.84  ·  sharpe: -0.04  ·  max_dd_bps: -1750.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 26 closed)


Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
06-26 19:12BTCBuy59277→59953+5.13timeout
06-25 18:51BTCBuy59461→59410-0.85timeout
06-24 15:31BTCBuy62300.1→60701.6-13.22stop_loss
06-23 06:18BTCBuy64613.2→62953.4-13.31stop_loss
06-22 17:11BTCBuy64192.2→64648.8+3.10timeout
06-21 15:19BTCBuy64265.2→64204.8-0.86timeout
06-20 09:23BTCBuy62304.1→63526.8+9.25timeout
06-18 15:53BTCBuy64093.2→62450.6-13.13stop_loss
06-17 19:50BTCBuy65695.3→64010.8-13.29stop_loss
06-16 21:35BTCBuy66422.3→65690.7-6.05timeout
06-15 15:47BTCBuy64369.2→67196.6+21.53take_profit
06-14 19:48BTCBuy64277.2→63724.8-4.79timeout
06-13 20:39BTCBuy63525.2→64236.8+5.14timeout
06-12 18:26BTCBuy63402.2→63701.8+1.90timeout
06-11 17:44BTCBuy61733.1→63277.8+11.97timeout
06-10 16:12BTCBuy61058.1→62362.9+10.18timeout
06-09 13:36BTCBuy63787.2→62154.8-13.23stop_loss
06-08 16:10BTCBuy62000.1→63796.8+13.93timeout
06-07 14:17BTCBuy60873→61827.9+7.37timeout
06-05 13:56BTCBuy62524.1→60920.5-13.28stop_loss
06-05 06:24BTCBuy62728.1→61121.4-13.20stop_loss
06-03 19:54BTCBuy67069.4→65352-13.27stop_loss
06-02 14:27BTCBuy69531.5→67745.7-13.30stop_loss
05-31 17:19BTCBuy73878.7→73514.3-2.97timeout
05-30 14:58BTCBuy73096.7→73888.3+4.82timeout
05-29 12:41BTCBuy73501.7→73234.3-2.29timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
26
closed
42%
win rate
-42.73
total pnl ($)
-32.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
win rate
total pnl ($)
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC2642%-32.4-42.73

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

timesymsidereason
06-25 19:17BTCBuybelow_min_notional_skip
06-24 18:58BTCBuybelow_min_notional_skip

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
no postmortems