btc_fear_greed_extreme_fear_long_v4

87

closed trades

48%

win rate

-127.58

total pnl ($)

0.819

weight

7d window — n=25 wr=44% pnl=-68.00 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-04 11:18:00 (23.1d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485394_78047

n: 37 · wr: 43.2% · total_bps: -2350.0 · mean_bps: -63.51 · sharpe: -0.44 · max_dd_bps: -2450.3

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 09:44	BTC	Buy	60017→60378	+2.54	timeout
06-27 03:46	BTC	Buy	60298→60283	-0.57	timeout
06-26 20:44	BTC	Buy	60173→59621	-5.09	timeout
06-26 14:30	BTC	Buy	58938.9→59945	+8.06	timeout
06-26 08:08	BTC	Buy	59664→60232	+4.33	timeout
06-25 13:57	BTC	Buy	60719→58254.9	-20.70	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	BTC	Buy	61338.1→58783.7	-21.26	stop_loss
06-25 08:51	BTC	Buy	60989→61751.9	+5.80	timeout
06-25 02:50	BTC	Buy	61139.1→60686	-4.15	timeout
06-24 16:46	BTC	Buy	62631.1→60087.9	-20.68	stop_loss
06-24 13:18	BTC	Buy	62761.1→62115.9	-5.59	timeout
06-24 07:10	BTC	Buy	62312.1→62690.9	+2.56	timeout
06-24 01:00	BTC	Buy	62229.1→62995.9	+5.72	timeout
06-23 17:52	BTC	Buy	63423.2→62453.9	-8.09	timeout
06-23 11:47	BTC	Buy	63967.2→62501.9	-11.80	timeout
06-23 05:30	BTC	Buy	64504.2→63441.8	-8.70	timeout
06-22 22:42	BTC	Buy	64078.2→63890.8	-1.91	timeout
06-22 16:15	BTC	Buy	63945.2→64667.8	+5.20	timeout
06-22 09:50	BTC	Buy	63860.2→64089.8	+1.31	timeout
06-22 03:44	BTC	Buy	64271.2→64125.8	-1.62	timeout
06-21 21:08	BTC	Buy	63945.2→63749.8	-1.98	timeout
06-21 15:06	BTC	Buy	64231.2→64259.8	-0.20	timeout
06-21 07:44	BTC	Buy	63917.2→64174.8	+1.57	timeout
06-20 22:58	BTC	Buy	63646.2→64277.8	+4.51	timeout
06-20 16:51	BTC	Buy	63584.2→63993.8	+2.74	timeout
06-20 10:43	BTC	Buy	63280.2→63563.8	+1.76	timeout
06-20 03:56	BTC	Buy	63232.2→63403.8	+0.92	timeout
06-19 20:12	BTC	Buy	62608.1→63041.8	+3.00	timeout
06-19 14:06	BTC	Buy	63091.2→63177.8	+0.29	timeout
06-19 07:27	BTC	Buy	62772.1→62760.9	-0.52	timeout
06-19 00:23	BTC	Buy	64099.2→62909.9	-9.70	timeout
06-18 17:41	BTC	Buy	63936.2→62550.9	-11.16	timeout
06-18 11:16	BTC	Buy	64363.2→64007.8	-3.24	timeout
06-18 01:28	BTC	Buy	64902.2→64638.8	-2.52	timeout
06-17 17:52	BTC	Buy	65773.3→65932.7	+0.71	timeout
06-17 11:46	BTC	Buy	65684.3→64803.8	-7.19	timeout
06-17 05:22	BTC	Buy	65724.3→65741.7	-0.34	timeout
06-16 23:15	BTC	Buy	66489.3→65727.7	-6.22	timeout
06-16 17:02	BTC	Buy	65850.3→65768.7	-1.12	timeout
06-16 09:02	BTC	Buy	66488.3→66837.7	+2.19	timeout
06-16 00:09	BTC	Buy	66190.3→66350.7	+0.80	timeout
06-15 18:06	BTC	Buy	65857.3→66820.7	+6.81	timeout
06-15 11:54	BTC	Buy	65708.3→66203.7	+3.32	timeout
06-15 05:50	BTC	Buy	63751.2→65745.7	+15.19	timeout
06-14 23:44	BTC	Buy	64594.2→65554.7	+6.97	timeout
06-14 16:19	BTC	Buy	64502.2→64069.8	-3.84	timeout
06-14 06:54	BTC	Buy	64079.2→64223.8	+0.68	timeout
06-14 00:51	BTC	Buy	64094.2→64517.8	+2.87	timeout
06-13 18:51	BTC	Buy	63684.2→64061.8	+2.51	timeout
06-13 08:16	BTC	Buy	63529.2→63785.8	+1.53	timeout
06-12 21:10	BTC	Buy	63470.2→63544.8	+0.12	timeout
06-12 13:22	BTC	Buy	63391.2→63411.8	-0.33	timeout
06-12 00:38	BTC	Buy	62787.1→63698.8	+6.74	timeout
06-11 18:29	BTC	Buy	62836.1→63387.8	+3.87	timeout
06-11 12:20	BTC	Buy	61914.1→62974.9	+8.06	timeout
06-11 04:59	BTC	Buy	62200.1→62681.9	+3.35	timeout
06-10 21:06	BTC	Buy	61189.1→61661.9	+3.40	timeout
06-10 03:54	BTC	Buy	61188.1→62016.9	+6.37	timeout
06-09 21:54	BTC	Buy	62653.1→62016.9	-5.48	timeout
06-09 15:52	BTC	Buy	62728.1→61321.9	-11.67	timeout
06-09 08:59	BTC	Buy	63434.2→62825.9	-5.25	timeout
06-09 02:09	BTC	Buy	63804.2→62787.9	-8.41	timeout
06-08 16:51	BTC	Buy	62783.1→63578.8	+5.84	timeout
06-08 09:41	BTC	Buy	61706.1→63228.8	+11.88	timeout
06-08 03:32	BTC	Buy	62096.1→63151.8	+8.04	timeout
06-07 20:37	BTC	Buy	62588.1→61725.9	-7.33	timeout
06-07 13:50	BTC	Buy	61393.1→61761.9	+2.54	timeout
06-07 07:42	BTC	Buy	60560→62191.9	+13.04	timeout
06-06 22:26	BTC	Buy	60601→60463	-1.55	timeout
06-06 14:29	BTC	Buy	60832→60834	-0.43	timeout
06-06 08:22	BTC	Buy	60848→61135.9	+1.87	timeout
06-05 16:11	BTC	Buy	62275.1→59746.1	-20.74	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	63365.2→60786.6	-20.80	stop_loss
06-05 11:20	BTC	Buy	63404.2→62454.9	-7.96	timeout
06-05 04:30	BTC	Buy	63568.2→63053.8	-4.47	timeout
06-04 20:43	BTC	Buy	63484.2→63622.8	+0.64	timeout
06-04 15:57	BTC	Buy	64284.2→63807.8	-4.23	timeout
06-03 18:11	BTC	Buy	67127.4→65902.7	-9.60	timeout
06-02 15:26	BTC	Buy	70225.5→67375.9	-20.75	stop_loss
06-02 13:59	BTC	Buy	70742.5→68731.6	-14.69	timeout
05-31 11:53	BTC	Buy	73811.7→73881.3	-0.05	timeout
05-30 21:52	BTC	Buy	73554.7→73928.3	+2.03	timeout
05-29 20:20	BTC	Buy	73700.7→73638.3	-0.89	timeout
05-29 11:09	BTC	Buy	73551.7→73603.3	-0.12	timeout
05-29 05:06	BTC	Buy	73351.7→73380.3	-0.32	timeout
05-29 05:06	BTC	Buy	73351.7→73218.3	-1.42	timeout
05-28 18:36	BTC	Buy	72733.6→73592.3	+5.38	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

87

closed

48%

win rate

-127.58

total pnl ($)

-29.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	87	48%	-29.1	-127.58

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 10:01	BTC	Buy	trigger_already_opened

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 87 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)

Postmortem feed (last 10)