btc_fear_greed_extreme_fear_long_v18 · strategy

closed trades

50%

win rate

-233.36

total pnl ($)

0.270

weight

7d window — n=26 wr=42% pnl=-157.66 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Cumulative P&L (last 94 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 12:11	BTC	Buy	59376→60255	+8.32	timeout
06-27 05:58	BTC	Buy	59941→60229	+2.35	timeout
06-26 17:15	BTC	Buy	59492→60139	+5.87	timeout
06-26 02:16	BTC	Buy	60110→58571.8	-15.89	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	BTC	Buy	60519→58967.6	-15.82	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	60878→59317.4	-15.85	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	61019.1→59456.3	-15.87	stop_loss
06-25 13:46	BTC	Buy	61273.1→59704.1	-15.89	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62571.1→60966.5	-15.92	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62594.1→60966.5	-16.12	stop_loss
06-24 14:19	BTC	Buy	62563.1→60960.5	-15.88	stop_loss
06-24 14:17	BTC	Buy	62656.1→61051.4	-15.89	stop_loss
06-24 10:00	BTC	Buy	62362.1→62649.9	+2.16	timeout
06-23 08:24	BTC	Buy	63847.2→62209.8	-15.92	stop_loss
06-23 08:17	BTC	Buy	63986.2→62341.7	-15.96	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	BTC	Buy	64236.2→62588.6	-15.96	stop_loss
06-23 06:18	BTC	Buy	64700.2→63041.3	-15.94	stop_loss
06-23 03:33	BTC	Buy	64276.2→64034.8	-2.79	timeout
06-22 21:18	BTC	Buy	63470.2→64361.8	+7.88	timeout
06-22 15:14	BTC	Buy	64178.2→65060.7	+7.62	timeout
06-22 09:13	BTC	Buy	63961.2→64185.8	+1.47	timeout
06-22 03:06	BTC	Buy	64231.2→64075.8	-2.09	timeout
06-21 19:17	BTC	Buy	63887.2→64158.8	+2.05	timeout
06-21 13:13	BTC	Buy	63558.2→64093.8	+4.59	timeout
06-21 07:11	BTC	Buy	63655.2→64233.8	+4.92	timeout
06-20 19:04	BTC	Buy	63039.2→63819.8	+6.90	timeout
06-20 12:55	BTC	Buy	62697.1→63551.8	+7.59	timeout
06-20 06:49	BTC	Buy	62767.1→63716.8	+8.52	timeout
06-20 01:07	BTC	Buy	63038.2→63441.8	+3.32	timeout
06-19 18:52	BTC	Buy	62820.1→63033.8	+1.47	timeout
06-18 15:51	BTC	Buy	64155.2→62512.6	-15.74	stop_loss
06-18 15:40	BTC	Buy	64387.2→62733.5	-15.90	stop_loss
06-18 15:37	BTC	Buy	64559.2→62897.4	-15.70	stop_loss
06-18 12:11	BTC	Buy	64831.2→63991.8	-8.38	timeout
06-17 19:50	BTC	Buy	65659.3→63969.8	-15.98	stop_loss
06-17 19:50	BTC	Buy	65746.3→64057.8	-15.97	stop_loss
06-17 19:40	BTC	Buy	65898.3→64211.7	-15.92	stop_loss
06-17 17:07	BTC	Buy	65791.3→65918.7	+0.54	timeout
06-17 08:51	BTC	Buy	66503.3→64801.3	-15.91	stop_loss
06-17 05:02	BTC	Buy	65850.3→65860.7	-0.49	timeout
06-16 22:58	BTC	Buy	66189.3→65742.7	-4.70	timeout
06-16 14:23	BTC	Buy	67164.4→65444	-16.00	stop_loss
06-16 08:50	BTC	Buy	65723.3→66746.7	+8.84	timeout
06-16 02:41	BTC	Buy	65589.3→65843.7	+1.77	timeout
06-15 14:30	BTC	Buy	64140.2→66470.7	+21.27	timeout
06-15 13:22	BTC	Buy	64044.2→66860.7	+25.86	take_profit
06-15 08:28	BTC	Buy	64460.2→65626.7	+10.31	timeout
06-15 02:25	BTC	Buy	64538.2→65651.7	+9.77	timeout
06-14 20:21	BTC	Buy	64241.2→63856.8	-4.19	timeout
06-14 13:38	BTC	Buy	64206.2→64257.8	-0.06	timeout
06-14 07:36	BTC	Buy	63798.2→64299.8	+4.17	timeout
06-14 01:31	BTC	Buy	63642.2→64581.8	+8.37	timeout
06-13 19:30	BTC	Buy	63699.2→64162.8	+3.82	timeout
06-13 12:31	BTC	Buy	63483.2→63948.8	+3.76	timeout
06-13 06:47	BTC	Buy	62977.1→63666.8	+6.02	timeout
06-13 00:43	BTC	Buy	63666.2→63566.8	-1.57	timeout
06-12 15:50	BTC	Buy	62590.1→63706.8	+10.10	timeout
06-12 08:46	BTC	Buy	62868.1→63320.8	+3.67	timeout
06-12 02:42	BTC	Buy	62032.1→63557.8	+14.10	timeout
06-11 20:33	BTC	Buy	61861.1→63367.8	+13.91	timeout
06-11 14:27	BTC	Buy	62096.1→62865.9	+6.78	timeout
06-11 08:19	BTC	Buy	61597.1→62803.9	+11.04	timeout
06-10 13:24	BTC	Buy	62289.1→61517.9	-7.97	timeout
06-09 15:57	BTC	Buy	62597.1→60995.4	-16.00	stop_loss
06-09 14:20	BTC	Buy	63323.2→61702	-15.90	stop_loss
06-09 14:18	BTC	Buy	63395.2→61773	-15.90	stop_loss
06-09 11:35	BTC	Buy	63605.2→62595.9	-10.00	timeout
06-09 04:40	BTC	Buy	62718.1→63274.8	+4.80	timeout
06-08 22:34	BTC	Buy	63034.2→63265.8	+1.63	timeout
06-08 16:49	BTC	Buy	62158.1→63612.8	+13.38	timeout
06-08 10:24	BTC	Buy	62522.1→63198.8	+5.96	timeout
06-08 04:08	BTC	Buy	61595.1→62896.9	+12.12	timeout
06-07 22:14	BTC	Buy	60489→63145.8	+25.82	take_profit
06-07 15:23	BTC	Buy	60489→61782.9	+12.26	timeout
06-07 08:08	BTC	Buy	61016.1→62318.9	+12.37	timeout
06-07 02:04	BTC	Buy	60958→61454.9	+4.26	timeout
06-06 19:57	BTC	Buy	60180→60644	+4.17	timeout
06-05 13:56	BTC	Buy	62587.1→60985.4	-15.90	stop_loss
06-05 13:49	BTC	Buy	62843.1→61233.3	-15.91	stop_loss
06-05 06:17	BTC	Buy	63480.2→61854	-15.88	stop_loss
06-05 06:16	BTC	Buy	63491.2→61866	-15.82	stop_loss
06-05 03:11	BTC	Buy	63901.2→62265.7	-15.86	stop_loss
06-05 01:58	BTC	Buy	62166.1→63343.8	+10.83	timeout
06-03 20:55	BTC	Buy	66462.3→64738.4	-16.15	stop_loss
06-03 20:46	BTC	Buy	66760.3→65025.2	-16.15	stop_loss
06-03 03:33	BTC	Buy	67713.4→65980.7	-15.90	stop_loss
06-02 14:10	BTC	Buy	70161.5→68362.4	-15.94	stop_loss
06-02 13:13	BTC	Buy	70653.5→68845.1	-15.91	stop_loss
05-31 23:50	BTC	Buy	73815.7→73667.3	-1.71	timeout
05-31 21:30	BTC	Buy	73964.7→73622.3	-3.33	timeout
05-31 09:49	BTC	Buy	73536.7→73962.3	+2.75	timeout
05-30 07:48	BTC	Buy	73376.7→73480.3	+0.26	timeout
05-29 21:20	BTC	Buy	73663.7→73681.3	-0.45	timeout
05-29 06:44	BTC	Buy	72860.6→73655.3	+5.86	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

closed

50%

win rate

-233.36

total pnl ($)

-41.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	94	50%	-41.1	-233.36

Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 18:07	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker
06-27 18:04	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker
06-27 13:10	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker
06-27 13:10	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…