btc_fear_greed_extreme_fear_long_v13 · strategy

114

closed trades

49%

win rate

-223.74

total pnl ($)

0.764

weight

7d window — n=28 wr=50% pnl=-81.84 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-31 18:05:22 (28.6d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485392_03499

n: 20 · wr: 35.0% · total_bps: -645.9 · mean_bps: -32.29 · sharpe: -0.40 · max_dd_bps: -771.4

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-29 06:25	BTC	Buy	59617→60235	+4.72	timeout
06-29 00:06	BTC	Buy	60345→59298	-9.17	timeout
06-28 17:39	BTC	Buy	59900→59395	-4.65	timeout
06-28 11:38	BTC	Buy	59987→60241	+1.64	timeout
06-28 05:38	BTC	Buy	60581→59877	-6.26	timeout
06-28 01:23	BTC	Buy	60433→60134	-2.94	timeout
06-27 18:56	BTC	Buy	60339→60520	+1.06	timeout
06-27 12:43	BTC	Buy	59906→60297	+2.80	timeout
06-27 06:34	BTC	Buy	59804→60279	+3.49	timeout
06-27 00:38	BTC	Buy	59471→59876	+2.94	timeout
06-26 18:35	BTC	Buy	59978→59800	-2.00	timeout
06-26 12:13	BTC	Buy	59785→59459	-3.20	timeout
06-26 05:52	BTC	Buy	59487→59814	+2.30	timeout
06-25 13:53	BTC	Buy	61169.1→58992.5	-18.23	stop_loss
06-25 13:48	BTC	Buy	61713.1→59517.2	-18.21	stop_loss
06-25 11:42	BTC	Buy	60965→61299.9	+2.30	timeout
06-25 05:26	BTC	Buy	59610→61598.9	+16.25	timeout
06-24 15:38	BTC	Buy	62817.1→60578.7	-18.17	stop_loss
06-24 15:33	BTC	Buy	62886.1→60648.6	-18.21	stop_loss
06-24 11:49	BTC	Buy	62706.1→63121.8	+2.86	timeout
06-24 05:23	BTC	Buy	62586.1→62797.9	+1.21	timeout
06-23 22:50	BTC	Buy	62248.1→62521.9	+1.76	timeout
06-23 17:30	BTC	Buy	63436.2→62615.9	-6.91	timeout
06-23 11:26	BTC	Buy	63988.2→62485.9	-12.09	timeout
06-23 05:23	BTC	Buy	64565.2→63438.8	-9.19	timeout
06-22 23:15	BTC	Buy	64288.2→63919.8	-3.27	timeout
06-22 17:11	BTC	Buy	64241.2→64651.8	+2.73	timeout
06-22 11:07	BTC	Buy	63677.2→64329.8	+4.60	timeout
06-22 05:02	BTC	Buy	64102.2→64054.8	-0.83	timeout
06-21 22:48	BTC	Buy	64352.2→63658.8	-5.83	timeout
06-21 16:35	BTC	Buy	64532.2→64026.8	-4.34	timeout
06-21 10:28	BTC	Buy	64228.2→64290.8	+0.02	timeout
06-21 04:34	BTC	Buy	63908.2→64509.8	+4.26	timeout
06-20 22:24	BTC	Buy	63627.2→64127.8	+3.48	timeout
06-20 16:14	BTC	Buy	63393.2→63960.8	+3.99	timeout
06-20 10:12	BTC	Buy	63053.2→63656.8	+4.30	timeout
06-20 04:14	BTC	Buy	63351.2→63383.8	-0.18	timeout
06-19 22:07	BTC	Buy	62410.1→63026.8	+4.47	timeout
06-19 16:30	BTC	Buy	62676.1→63273.8	+4.32	timeout
06-19 10:05	BTC	Buy	62909.1→62373.9	-4.66	timeout
06-19 04:23	BTC	Buy	62726.1→62725.9	-0.43	timeout
06-18 22:16	BTC	Buy	64011.2→62900.9	-9.08	timeout
06-18 15:59	BTC	Buy	64249.2→62328.9	-15.22	timeout
06-18 10:00	BTC	Buy	64142.2→64153.8	-0.41	timeout
06-18 03:53	BTC	Buy	65727.3→64318.8	-11.18	timeout
06-17 21:41	BTC	Buy	64955.2→64285.8	-5.59	timeout
06-17 15:50	BTC	Buy	65776.3→65681.7	-1.12	timeout
06-17 09:51	BTC	Buy	65753.3→64879.8	-7.13	timeout
06-17 03:45	BTC	Buy	65819.3→65784.7	-0.74	timeout
06-16 21:40	BTC	Buy	66625.3→65633.7	-7.94	timeout
06-16 15:31	BTC	Buy	65970.3→65864.7	-1.29	timeout
06-16 09:31	BTC	Buy	66351.3→66635.7	+1.69	timeout
06-16 03:28	BTC	Buy	66652.3→65941.7	-5.77	timeout
06-15 21:26	BTC	Buy	65682.3→66435.7	+5.26	timeout
06-15 15:27	BTC	Buy	65698.3→66645.7	+6.77	timeout
06-15 09:19	BTC	Buy	64790.2→65750.7	+6.97	timeout
06-15 03:15	BTC	Buy	64079.2→65696.7	+12.15	timeout
06-14 21:10	BTC	Buy	64437.2→63993.8	-3.90	timeout
06-14 15:07	BTC	Buy	64477.2→64083.8	-3.51	timeout
06-14 09:01	BTC	Buy	64280.2→64391.8	+0.39	timeout
06-14 02:57	BTC	Buy	64215.2→64467.8	+1.53	timeout
06-13 20:53	BTC	Buy	63781.2→64235.8	+3.10	timeout
06-13 14:47	BTC	Buy	63622.2→64181.8	+3.93	timeout
06-13 08:44	BTC	Buy	63503.2→63857.8	+2.30	timeout
06-13 02:45	BTC	Buy	63470.2→63595.8	+0.54	timeout
06-12 20:42	BTC	Buy	63369.2→63528.8	+0.80	timeout
06-12 14:39	BTC	Buy	63573.2→63724.8	+0.71	timeout
06-12 08:38	BTC	Buy	63306.2→63429.8	+0.49	timeout
06-12 02:40	BTC	Buy	62860.1→63575.8	+5.19	timeout
06-11 20:33	BTC	Buy	62913.1→63338.8	+2.87	timeout
06-11 14:31	BTC	Buy	61991.1→62883.9	+6.70	timeout
06-11 08:27	BTC	Buy	61893.1→62872.9	+7.39	timeout
06-11 02:26	BTC	Buy	62036.1→62063.9	-0.25	timeout
06-10 20:17	BTC	Buy	61681.1→61772.9	+0.26	timeout
06-10 04:00	BTC	Buy	61147.1→62016.9	+6.72	timeout
06-09 22:00	BTC	Buy	62698.1→62016.9	-5.83	timeout
06-09 15:58	BTC	Buy	62802.1→61058.9	-14.40	timeout
06-09 09:57	BTC	Buy	63726.2→62691.9	-8.55	timeout
06-09 03:58	BTC	Buy	63755.2→62773.9	-8.14	timeout
06-08 21:49	BTC	Buy	63455.2→63755.8	+1.90	timeout
06-08 15:46	BTC	Buy	63131.2→63809.8	+4.90	timeout
06-08 09:42	BTC	Buy	61686.1→63280.8	+12.47	timeout
06-08 03:42	BTC	Buy	62134.1→63159.8	+7.79	timeout
06-07 21:39	BTC	Buy	62553.1→61761.9	-6.76	timeout
06-07 15:34	BTC	Buy	61603.1→61957.9	+2.42	timeout
06-07 09:28	BTC	Buy	60867→62631.9	+14.06	timeout
06-07 03:23	BTC	Buy	60496→61652.9	+9.09	timeout
06-06 21:17	BTC	Buy	61201.1→60844	-3.33	timeout
06-06 15:14	BTC	Buy	60904→60588	-3.04	timeout
06-06 04:34	BTC	Buy	61769.1→59570.2	-18.25	stop_loss
06-06 03:15	BTC	Buy	60497→60889	+2.78	timeout
06-05 14:26	BTC	Buy	62588.1→60360.8	-18.24	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	63004.2→60761.6	-18.25	stop_loss
06-05 06:22	BTC	Buy	63717.2→61449.2	-18.22	stop_loss
06-05 03:45	BTC	Buy	63784.2→62655.9	-9.27	timeout
06-04 21:40	BTC	Buy	62890.1→63218.8	+2.17	timeout
06-04 17:00	BTC	Buy	64263.2→63457.8	-6.76	timeout
06-04 01:16	BTC	Buy	65223.3→62902.4	-18.24	stop_loss
06-03 23:03	BTC	Buy	66925.3→64541.5	-18.26	stop_loss
06-03 16:40	BTC	Buy	66353.3→65872.7	-4.10	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

114

closed

49%

win rate

-223.74

total pnl ($)

-39.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	114	49%	-39.1	-223.74

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

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