86
closed trades
42%
win rate
-55.03
total pnl ($)
1.295
weight
7d window — n=10 wr=60% pnl=+11.91
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Cumulative P&L (last 86 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 09:00 | BTC | Sell | 60206→60430 | -2.30 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:58 | BTC | Buy | 59610→59582 | -0.71 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:26 | BTC | Sell | 59962→59761 | +1.24 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:03 | BTC | Sell | 61652.9→61255.1 | +2.76 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:46 | BTC | Buy | 59602→60908 | +10.52 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:22 | BTC | Buy | 62661.1→61808 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:06 | BTC | Sell | 64936.8→64337.2 | +4.17 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:09 | BTC | Buy | 63679.2→64004.8 | +2.09 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:01 | BTC | Sell | 64263.8→63955.2 | +1.98 | timeout |
| 06-20 21:05 | BTC | Sell | 63909.8→63927.2 | -0.59 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:03 | BTC | Sell | 63507.8→63680.2 | -1.81 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:03 | BTC | Buy | 62522.1→63090.8 | +4.12 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:02 | BTC | Buy | 63970.2→64143.8 | +0.89 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:28 | BTC | Buy | 64911.2→66359.7 | +10.71 | take_profit |
| 06-17 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 65790.3→65664.7 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 06-16 12:00 | BTC | Sell | 66320.7→66435.3 | -1.30 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:00 | BTC | Buy | 66287.3→66133.7 | -1.60 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:01 | BTC | Sell | 65518.7→65598.3 | -1.05 | timeout |
| 06-14 12:00 | BTC | Buy | 64397.2→64536.8 | +0.64 | timeout |
| 06-13 21:28 | BTC | Sell | 64049.8→64236.2 | -1.90 | timeout |
| 06-13 13:06 | BTC | Sell | 63815.8→64130.2 | -2.90 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:37 | BTC | Sell | 63875.8→63545.2 | +2.15 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:04 | BTC | Sell | 63781.8→63935.2 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-12 00:01 | BTC | Sell | 63563.8→63598.2 | -0.71 | timeout |
| 06-11 14:01 | BTC | Sell | 62900.9→62985.1 | -1.10 | timeout |
| 06-11 07:35 | BTC | Sell | 62454.9→62705.1 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 06-10 21:24 | BTC | Sell | 62057.9→61575.1 | +3.44 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:15 | BTC | Buy | 61116.1→61847.9 | +5.53 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:19 | BTC | Buy | 62563.1→61711 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:06 | BTC | Sell | 63657.8→63594.2 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:14 | BTC | Buy | 61682.1→63032.8 | +10.50 | take_profit |
| 06-07 08:28 | BTC | Sell | 61729.9→62586.4 | -7.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:52 | BTC | Buy | 60238→59418.3 | -7.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:03 | BTC | Buy | 62888.1→62030.9 | -7.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 23:03 | BTC | Buy | 65345.3→64455.5 | -7.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 07:02 | BTC | Buy | 70774.5→69797.6 | -7.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 04:09 | BTC | Sell | 73724.3→73649.7 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 05-31 15:02 | BTC | Buy | 73916.7→73591.3 | -2.66 | timeout |
| 05-30 23:59 | BTC | Sell | 73976.3→73840.7 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 05-29 03:19 | BTC | Sell | 73582.3→73382.7 | +0.93 | timeout |
| 05-28 20:00 | BTC | Buy | 72888.6→73412.3 | +3.12 | timeout |
| 05-28 03:18 | BTC | Buy | 74458.7→73435.6 | -7.32 | stop_loss |
| 05-27 20:21 | BTC | Buy | 75063.8→75293.2 | +1.07 | timeout |
| 05-27 09:59 | BTC | Buy | 75687.8→75875.2 | +0.81 | timeout |
| 05-27 04:00 | BTC | Buy | 75898.8→75609.2 | -2.35 | timeout |
| 05-26 20:59 | BTC | Buy | 76517.8→76045.2 | -3.55 | timeout |
| 05-26 07:59 | BTC | Buy | 76622.8→76666.2 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 05-26 01:59 | BTC | Buy | 77328.9→76710.2 | -4.45 | timeout |
| 05-25 12:03 | BTC | Sell | 77300.1→77276.9 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 05-25 06:03 | BTC | Sell | 76999.1→77334.9 | -2.61 | timeout |
| 05-24 12:00 | BTC | Sell | 76777.2→77286.9 | -3.76 | timeout |
| 05-23 06:00 | BTC | Buy | 75467.8→75444.2 | -0.61 | timeout |
| 05-22 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 76936.8→75868.3 | -7.40 | stop_loss |
| 05-22 13:59 | BTC | Buy | 77288.9→77222.1 | -0.90 | timeout |
| 05-21 23:52 | BTC | Sell | 77716.1→77711.9 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 05-21 16:59 | BTC | Buy | 77256.9→77133.1 | -1.26 | timeout |
| 05-21 07:00 | BTC | Sell | 77928.1→77567.9 | +1.88 | timeout |
| 05-20 18:16 | BTC | Sell | 77456.1→77463.9 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 05-20 12:00 | BTC | Sell | 77249.1→77379.9 | -1.28 | timeout |
| 05-19 04:00 | BTC | Sell | 76982.2→76762.8 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:59 | BTC | Buy | 76409.8→76896.2 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 05-18 12:36 | BTC | Buy | 76875.8→77520.1 | +3.72 | timeout |
| 05-15 12:30 | BTC | Buy | 80498→80488 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 05-12 02:43 | BTC | Buy | 81724.1→81715.9 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 05-12 00:01 | BTC | Sell | 81968.9→81724.1 | +1.04 | timeout |
| 05-10 23:02 | BTC | Sell | 81252.9→82355.3 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-10 07:01 | BTC | Buy | 80753→80721 | -0.65 | timeout |
| 05-09 08:01 | BTC | Sell | 80366→80220 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 05-08 17:01 | BTC | Sell | 80016→79832 | +0.71 | timeout |
| 05-07 15:26 | BTC | Buy | 80814→79719.1 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-07 07:01 | BTC | Buy | 81069.1→81381.9 | +1.48 | timeout |
| 05-06 17:17 | BTC | Sell | 82088.9→81360.1 | +3.98 | timeout |
| 05-04 20:02 | BTC | Sell | 79920→79937 | -0.57 | timeout |
| 05-04 09:01 | BTC | Sell | 80338→79633 | +3.94 | timeout |
| 05-03 15:02 | BTC | Sell | 78339.1→78736.9 | -2.97 | timeout |
| 05-03 08:01 | BTC | Buy | 78135.9→78345.1 | +0.89 | timeout |
| 05-02 22:01 | BTC | Sell | 78336.1→78712.9 | -2.86 | timeout |
| 05-01 13:10 | BTC | Sell | 77205.1→78252 | -7.23 | stop_loss |
| 05-01 07:01 | BTC | Sell | 76542.2→76946.8 | -3.11 | timeout |
| 04-30 06:01 | BTC | Sell | 76190→75548 | +3.76 | timeout |
| 04-29 02:01 | BTC | Sell | 76339→76585 | -2.06 | timeout |
| 04-28 20:00 | BTC | Buy | 76015→76344 | +1.71 | timeout |
| 04-28 12:02 | BTC | Buy | 76818→76172 | -4.65 | timeout |
| 04-27 22:01 | BTC | Buy | 76708→76791 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 04-27 07:04 | BTC | Sell | 79143→77673 | +8.84 | timeout |
| 04-27 00:55 | BTC | Sell | 78161→79178 | -6.96 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
86
closed
42%
win rate
-55.03
total pnl ($)
-12.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 86 | 42% | -12.8 | -55.03 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:01 | BTC | Buy | -0.65 | BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight 1-hour decline but a positive 24-hour trend. The trade failed because the timeout close_reason indicates the position was held too long without reaching a target or stop, likely due to … |
| 05-09 08:01 | BTC | Sell | +0.47 | BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight hourly uptick but a broader weekly decline. The short thesis failed because the timeout closed the trade before the anticipated downward move materialized, capturing only minor funding gains. |
| 05-08 17:01 | BTC | Sell | +0.71 | The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with stable open interest, offering no clear directional edge. The thesis failed because the timeout close reason indicates the trade lacked a catalyst to trigger an entry, resulting in no active posit… |
| 05-07 15:26 | BTC | Buy | -7.23 | The market was trending downward with elevated open interest, indicating persistent selling pressure. The thesis failed because the stop-loss was triggered as the price continued to decline against the long position. |
| 05-07 07:01 | BTC | Buy | +1.48 | The market was in a mild downtrend across timeframes, with BTC down 1.52% over 24 hours and negative momentum persisting. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout without reaching its target or stop, as the sideways-to-bearish regime did no… |
| 05-06 17:17 | BTC | Sell | +3.98 | The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC declining 1.47% over 24 hours and negative funding rates. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected move materialized, as the slow grind lower did not trigger an exit condition. |
| 05-04 20:02 | BTC | Sell | -0.57 | The market was in a state of consolidation with flat hourly momentum and neutral funding rates, creating a low-volatility environment. The trade failed because the thesis could not be validated within the allotted time, resulting in a timeout exit before an… |
| 05-02 22:01 | BTC | Sell | -2.86 | Bitcoin drifted lower in the hour before close (-0.39% 1h), failing to sustain momentum in a choppy range where funding remained elevated at 0.09%, signaling weak conviction among longs. The thesis faltered because the retest of the failed breakout (78333–7… |
| 05-01 13:10 | BTC | Sell | -7.23 | Bitcoin's intraday momentum was consolidating higher at close ($78,313, +0.74% 1h, +2.69% 24h), with positive funding rates (0.0224%) signaling residual bullish positioning despite the 7-day stagnation. The trade thesis failed because the retest of the prio… |
| 05-01 07:01 | BTC | Sell | -3.11 | Bitcoin rallied 1.59% over 24h into the close, with BTC pushing to $76,969 (above the entry at $76,542) as the retest failed to hold the lower bound of the prior 8h range, contradicting the fade signal. The trade's thesis broke because price never retested … |