btc_etf_outflow_fear_long

43

closed trades

47%

win rate

-126.10

total pnl ($)

1.239

weight

7d window — n=1 wr=100% pnl=+2.41 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-01 04:15:33 (26.5d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: x3485393_05458

n: 18 · wr: 61.1% · total_bps: -198.0 · mean_bps: -11.00 · sharpe: -0.14 · max_dd_bps: -441.9

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 11:03	BTC	Buy	60053→60399	+2.41	timeout
06-12 08:39	BTC	Buy	63303.2→63434.8	+0.55	timeout
06-12 02:39	BTC	Buy	62890.1→63573.8	+4.93	timeout
06-11 20:33	BTC	Buy	62927.1→63367.8	+2.99	timeout
06-11 14:32	BTC	Buy	61944.1→62922.9	+7.40	timeout
06-11 08:27	BTC	Buy	61876.1→62883.9	+7.62	timeout
06-11 02:26	BTC	Buy	62041.1→62063.9	-0.29	timeout
06-10 20:19	BTC	Buy	61596.1→61808.9	+1.25	timeout
06-10 04:00	BTC	Buy	61099.1→62016.9	+7.11	timeout
06-09 22:00	BTC	Buy	62698.1→62016.9	-5.83	timeout
06-09 15:58	BTC	Buy	62821.1→61095.9	-14.26	timeout
06-09 09:58	BTC	Buy	63768.2→62695.9	-8.84	timeout
06-09 03:58	BTC	Buy	63755.2→62779.9	-8.10	timeout
06-08 21:50	BTC	Buy	63457.2→63761.8	+1.93	timeout
06-08 15:47	BTC	Buy	63097.2→63815.8	+5.22	timeout
06-08 09:47	BTC	Buy	61697.1→63346.8	+12.92	timeout
06-08 03:42	BTC	Buy	62142.1→63159.8	+7.73	timeout
06-07 21:40	BTC	Buy	62562.1→61734.9	-7.05	timeout
06-07 15:35	BTC	Buy	61610.1→62053.9	+3.14	timeout
06-07 09:29	BTC	Buy	60867→62659.9	+14.29	timeout
06-07 03:23	BTC	Buy	60496→61652.9	+9.09	timeout
06-06 21:17	BTC	Buy	61238.1→60852	-3.57	timeout
06-06 15:15	BTC	Buy	60887→60567	-3.08	timeout
06-06 04:34	BTC	Buy	61759.1→59560.2	-18.25	stop_loss
06-06 03:16	BTC	Buy	60536→60827	+1.95	timeout
06-05 14:26	BTC	Buy	62588.1→60360.8	-18.24	stop_loss
06-05 13:57	BTC	Buy	63004.2→60761.6	-18.25	stop_loss
06-05 06:22	BTC	Buy	63717.2→61450.2	-18.21	stop_loss
06-05 03:46	BTC	Buy	63752.2→62710.9	-8.59	timeout
06-04 21:40	BTC	Buy	62890.1→63218.8	+2.17	timeout
06-04 17:17	BTC	Buy	63922.2→63240.8	-5.83	timeout
06-04 00:39	BTC	Buy	65340.3→63015.3	-18.24	stop_loss
06-03 23:38	BTC	Buy	66653.3→64279.6	-18.26	stop_loss
06-03 16:41	BTC	Buy	66382.3→65908.7	-4.05	timeout
06-03 11:16	BTC	Buy	66731.3→67302.6	+3.76	timeout
06-03 03:48	BTC	Buy	67322.4→65794.7	-11.80	timeout
06-02 14:27	BTC	Buy	70174.5→67667.8	-18.32	stop_loss
06-02 13:49	BTC	Buy	70899.5→68864.6	-14.83	timeout
05-31 11:51	BTC	Buy	73816.7→73893.3	-0.00	timeout
05-31 08:16	BTC	Buy	73930.7→73883.3	-0.85	timeout
05-30 21:51	BTC	Buy	73566.7→73902.3	+1.77	timeout
05-29 18:38	BTC	Buy	73638.7→73768.3	+0.41	timeout
05-29 11:03	BTC	Buy	73515.7→73583.3	-0.01	timeout

Paper (trades.jsonl)

43

closed

47%

win rate

-126.10

total pnl ($)

-58.3 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

0

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	43	47%	-58.3	-126.10

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 11:10	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker
06-27 11:10	BTC	Buy	circuit_breaker

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…

Cumulative P&L (last 43 closed)

Last 100 trades

Paper vs Live

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)

Postmortem feed (last 10)