btc_dominance_rotation_basis_confluence

← ericai / trading
not live
301
closed trades
40%
win rate
-154.20
total pnl ($)
1.213
weight
7d window — n=0 wr=0% pnl=+0.00  ·  venues=(unknown)  ·  horizon=—  ·  SL=—  ·  TP=—  ·  class=? in ?
Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-17 00:50:26 (40.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT  ·  strict: STRICT-FAIL  ·  batch: restored_btc_dominance_rotation_basis_confluence
n: 0  ·  wr: 0.0%  ·  total_bps: +0.0  ·  mean_bps: +0.00  ·  sharpe: +0.00  ·  max_dd_bps: +0.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

timesymsideentry→exitpnlclose
05-16 01:39BTCBuy79059→79002-0.81timeout
05-16 01:07BTCBuy79063→79075-0.37timeout
05-16 00:37BTCBuy79049→79137+0.11timeout
05-16 00:06BTCBuy78996.9→79080+0.08timeout
05-15 23:34BTCBuy79081→79058-0.59timeout
05-15 23:03BTCBuy79123→79082-0.70timeout
05-15 22:31BTCBuy79148→79066-0.96timeout
05-15 22:01BTCBuy79176→78954.1-1.85timeout
05-15 21:30BTCBuy79126→79074-0.77timeout
05-15 21:00BTCBuy79238→79070-1.50timeout
05-15 20:19BTCBuy79185→79107-0.94timeout
05-15 19:49BTCBuy79367→79129-1.95timeout
05-15 19:18BTCBuy79199→79062-1.31timeout
05-15 18:47BTCBuy79228→79192-0.67timeout
05-15 18:16BTCBuy79138→79385+1.11timeout
05-15 17:46BTCBuy79038→79376+1.69timeout
05-15 17:15BTCBuy79203→79249-0.16timeout
05-15 16:44BTCBuy79200→79234-0.24timeout
05-15 16:13BTCBuy79201→79191-0.51timeout
05-15 15:43BTCBuy79109→79108-0.45timeout
05-15 13:38BTCBuy80080→79315.4-5.22stop_loss
05-15 13:31BTCBuy80407→79639.2-5.22stop_loss
05-15 13:31BTCBuy80556→79786.1-5.23stop_loss
05-15 13:30BTCBuy80573→79803.1-5.23stop_loss
05-15 13:10BTCBuy80566→80052-3.64timeout
05-15 12:39BTCBuy80458→80399-0.81timeout
05-15 12:08BTCBuy80486→80371-1.16timeout
05-15 11:37BTCBuy80549→80583-0.24timeout
05-15 11:06BTCBuy80574→80610-0.23timeout
05-15 10:35BTCBuy80559→80509-0.76timeout
05-15 10:02BTCBuy80650→80445-1.72timeout
05-15 09:19BTCBuy80688→80471-1.80timeout
05-12 00:41BTCBuy81750.1→81715.9-0.66timeout
05-12 00:10BTCBuy81802.1→81715.9-0.98timeout
05-11 23:40BTCBuy81686.1→81715.9-0.27timeout
05-11 23:08BTCBuy81729.1→81715.9-0.53timeout
05-11 22:37BTCBuy81829.1→81740.9-0.99timeout
05-11 22:07BTCBuy82015.1→81879.9-1.28timeout
05-11 21:36BTCBuy81835.1→81631.9-1.69timeout
05-11 21:06BTCBuy81842.1→81798.9-0.72timeout
05-11 20:36BTCBuy81999.1→81863.9-1.28timeout
05-11 20:05BTCBuy81946.1→81982.9-0.23timeout
05-11 19:33BTCBuy81600.1→81820.9+0.90timeout
05-11 19:03BTCBuy81439.1→81744.9+1.43timeout
05-10 14:42BTCBuy80902→80894-0.50timeout
05-10 14:12BTCBuy80805→80941+0.39timeout
05-10 13:26BTCBuy80771→80954+0.68timeout
05-09 21:36BTCBuy80763→80747-0.55timeout
05-09 21:05BTCBuy80833→80809-0.60timeout
05-09 20:33BTCBuy81003→80685-2.41timeout
05-08 18:27BTCBuy79996→80251+1.14timeout
05-08 17:44BTCBuy79979→80073+0.13timeout
05-08 17:13BTCBuy79881→79754-1.25timeout
05-08 16:42BTCBuy80171→79742-3.14timeout
05-08 16:11BTCBuy79832→79964+0.36timeout
05-08 15:42BTCBuy79648→79953+1.46timeout
05-08 15:11BTCBuy79825→79948+0.32timeout
05-08 14:40BTCBuy80197→80214-0.35timeout
05-08 14:11BTCBuy80158→79824-2.54timeout
05-08 13:39BTCBuy80165→79736-3.13timeout
05-08 13:09BTCBuy80206→79863-2.59timeout
05-08 12:39BTCBuy80047→80191+0.45timeout
05-08 12:07BTCBuy79951→80167+0.90timeout
05-08 11:36BTCBuy79887→80243+1.78timeout
05-08 11:05BTCBuy79833→80213+1.93timeout
05-08 10:35BTCBuy79733→79943+0.87timeout
05-08 10:05BTCBuy79691→79961+1.24timeout
05-08 09:34BTCBuy79455→79850+2.03timeout
05-08 09:02BTCBuy79432→79820+1.99timeout
05-08 08:30BTCBuy79517→79729+0.88timeout
05-08 08:00BTCBuy79547→79683+0.39timeout
05-08 07:17BTCBuy79601→79341-2.09timeout
05-08 06:46BTCBuy79565→79505-0.83timeout
05-08 06:15BTCBuy79693→79577-1.18timeout
05-08 02:37BTCBuy79964→79492-3.41timeout
05-08 02:07BTCBuy80042→79518-3.73timeout
05-08 01:36BTCBuy79897→79689-1.76timeout
05-08 01:05BTCBuy79936→79811-1.24timeout
05-08 00:34BTCBuy79926→79999+0.00timeout
05-08 00:03BTCBuy79649→80002+1.75timeout
05-07 23:33BTCBuy79872→79894-0.32timeout
05-07 23:02BTCBuy79798→79918+0.30timeout
05-07 22:32BTCBuy80094→79917-1.56timeout
05-07 22:01BTCBuy80159→79711-3.25timeout
05-07 21:31BTCBuy79992→79876-1.18timeout
05-07 20:58BTCBuy80225→79846-2.82timeout
05-07 20:21BTCBuy80185→80072-1.16timeout
05-07 19:47BTCBuy79896→80095+0.79timeout
05-07 19:16BTCBuy79867→80124+1.15timeout
05-07 18:43BTCBuy79844→80151+1.46timeout
05-07 18:13BTCBuy79765→80082+1.53timeout
05-07 17:43BTCBuy79957→79885-0.91timeout
05-07 17:12BTCBuy80199→79818-2.83timeout
05-07 16:41BTCBuy80143→79832-2.40timeout
05-07 16:07BTCBuy80423→79655.2-5.23stop_loss
05-07 15:18BTCBuy80689→79918-5.23stop_loss
05-07 13:51BTCBuy80961→80187.9-5.23stop_loss
05-07 13:49BTCBuy80994→80220.9-5.23stop_loss
05-07 13:49BTCBuy80983→80209.9-5.23stop_loss
05-07 13:33BTCBuy80921→80784-1.30timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)
301
closed
40%
win rate
-154.20
total pnl ($)
-10.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbolnwrnet bpstotal pnl ($)
BTC30140%-10.2-154.20

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

timesymsidereason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

timesymsidepnlnarrative
05-10 13:26BTCBuy+0.68BTC was trading in a narrow, low-volatility range with minimal directional bias across timeframes. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected move did not materialize within the holding period.
05-09 21:36BTCBuy-0.55BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing slight hourly gains but weekly weakness. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, indicating the expected directional move did not materialize within the allowed timeframe.
05-09 21:05BTCBuy-0.60BTC traded in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight 1-hour gain but a weekly decline. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, likely as the market lacked directional momentum to trigger an exit within the expected timef…
05-09 20:33BTCBuy-2.41BTC was trading in a narrow range with low volatility, showing a slight hourly uptick but remaining flat over the day. The trade failed because the position was closed by timeout without reaching a target or stop, as the market lacked directional momentum t…
05-08 18:27BTCBuy+1.14BTC was in a mild short-term uptick (+0.02% 1h) within a broader 24h and 7d downtrend. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout, likely due to insufficient directional conviction or lack of a clear trigger to exit profitably in the prevaili…
05-08 17:44BTCBuy+0.13The market was in a mild downtrend with BTC down 2.47% over 24 hours, showing persistent selling pressure. The thesis failed because the trade was closed due to timeout, indicating the expected short-term reversal or breakout did not materialize within the …
05-08 17:13BTCBuy-1.25The market was in a low-funding, sideways consolidation with steady open interest, offering no clear directional catalyst. The thesis failed because the trade expired via timeout without reaching a target or stop, as the lack of volatility prevented any pro…
05-08 16:42BTCBuy-3.14BTC was declining across multiple timeframes with negative funding and falling open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was not entered (entry=None) and was closed due to timeout, likely missing a favorable short opportunity in the downtrend.
05-08 16:11BTCBuy+0.36The market was in a mild downtrend across BTC and ETH, with negative hourly, daily, and weekly performance. The trade closed due to timeout, failing to reach its target as the persistent bearish pressure prevented a profitable exit within the allotted time.
05-08 15:42BTCBuy+1.46BTC was in a persistent downtrend across all timeframes with negative funding and declining open interest. The thesis failed because the trade was closed by timeout before the expected reversal materialized in the bearish regime.
More…
Cached 60s per strategy.